Dividend Stocks

Dividends can produce as much as a third of your total return over long periods, and you can even retire on dividends.

There are 4 key stock dividend dates that are involved with dividend payments:

1- The Declaration Date is several weeks in advance of a dividend payment—it’s when company’s board of directors sets the amount and timing of the proposed payment.

2- The Payable Date is the date set by the board on which the dividend will actually be paid out to shareholders.

3- The Record Date is for shareholders who hold the stock before the payable date and receive the dividend payment. That date is set any number of weeks before the payable date.

4-The Ex-Dividend Date is two business days before the record date and it’s when the shares begin to trade without their dividend. If you buy stocks one day or more before their ex-dividend date, you will still get the dividend. That’s when a stock is said to trade cum-dividend. If you buy on the ex-dividend date or later, you won’t get the dividend. The ex-dividend date is in place to allow pending stock trades to settle.

We think very highly of stocks that have been paying dividends for five or more years, at TSI Network. Many of these stocks fit in well with our three-part Successful Investor philosophy:

1- Invest mainly in well-established companies;

2- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; and Utilities);

3- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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A strong performance for our safety-conscious stock of the year for 2013
Kemie Guaida
In the February 2013 issue of Canadian Wealth Advisor, we named Bank of Nova Scotia our #1 safety-conscious pick for 2013 at $58.80 a share. The stock hit all-time highs and by the end of the year it had risen by 12.9%, or 16.8% including dividends. We think it has further gains ahead....
PRECISION DRILLING CORP. $10 (www.precisiondrilling.com) has raised its quarterly dividend by 20.0%, to $0.06 a share from $0.05. The new annual rate of $0.24 yields 2.4%. Volatile oil and gas prices and a lack of pipelines have hurt drilling activity....
TRANSCONTINENTAL INC. $14 (Toronto symbol TCL.A; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 78.0 million; Market cap: $1.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 4.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www. tctranscontinental.com) is Canada’s leading printer of flyers, magazines, newspapers and books. This business accounts for 67% of its revenue and 85% of its earnings. The remaining 33% of revenue and 15% of earnings comes from publishing 35 magazines and 175 daily and weekly newspapers.

Advertisers continue to shift to the Internet. That’s why Transcontinental’s revenue fell from $2.2 billion in 2009 to $2.0 billion in 2011 (fiscal years end October 31). In 2012, the company traded its Mexican printing plants for six Canadian facilities. The new plants brought its revenue up to $2.1 billion in both 2012 and 2013.


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CGI GROUP INC. $35 (Toronto symbol GIB.A; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 310.7 million; Market cap: $10.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.cgi.com) is the lead contractor for the healthcare.gov website, which lets Americans shop for health insurance plans under the Affordable Care Act (or Obamacare).

Due to problems with the website, the U.S. government will not renew CGI’s contract when it expires in February 2014. Even so, the revenue from the renewal—about $90 million U.S.—is small next to the company’s annual revenue of $10 billion. Moreover, the website issues should have little long-term impact on the company’s reputation.

CGI Group is still a buy.

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SHAWCOR LTD. $39 (Toronto symbol SCL; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 60.0 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.shawcor.com) expects its earnings to fall about 50% in the fourth quarter of 2013, compared to the third quarter.

That’s mainly because it completed most of a major pipeline-coating contract in Asia in the third quarter. As well, the operators of new pipeline projects in the North Sea and Brazil have delayed their start-up. As a result, ShawCor will now begin work on these contracts in the first quarter of 2014.

ShawCor is still a buy....
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO. $60 (Toronto symbol CNR; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 836.0 million; Market cap: $50.2 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 4.8; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.cn.ca) expects that its operating ratio crept up to around 63% in 2013 from 62.9% in 2012. (Operating ratio is calculated by dividing a company’s regular operating costs by its revenue. The lower the ratio, the better.)

CN continues to buy fuelefficient locomotives and run longer trains. These moves should cut its operating ratio to around 60% over the next three years.

CN is also benefiting from a lack of pipeline capacity, which is prompting oil producers to ship by rail. Higher demand for automotive equipment and building materials should also increase its shipping volumes. As a result, CN’s earnings should rise 13.2%, from a projected $3.10 a share in 2013 to $3.51 in 2014. The stock trades at a reasonable 17.1 times the 2014 estimate.
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BLACKBERRY LTD. $9.36 (Toronto symbol BB; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 524.6 million; Market cap: $4.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; www.blackberry.com) has sold an additional $250 million worth of convertible debentures (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars) to its largest shareholder, Fairfax Financial Holdings (Toronto symbol FFH).

Fairfax now holds $500 million of these debentures, which it can convert into BlackBerry common shares at $10.00 a share. If it did, Fairfax would own 17.6% of the total shares outstanding.

The extra cash should help the smartphone maker complete its restructuring, which includes cutting 40% of its workforce and focusing on corporate and government clients. However, the stock will remain volatile until its revenue and earnings improve.
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AGRIUM INC. $104 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 144.5 million; Market cap: $15.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 3.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) makes nitrogen-based fertilizers from natural gas. That could weaken its earnings growth, because the particularly cold North American winter has pushed up gas prices.

However, Agrium uses hedging contracts to lock in gas prices, which cuts its risk. Moreover, it gets 70% of its revenue by selling seeds and fertilizers to farmers through its 1,250 stores in North America, South America and Australia. That further reduces its gas-price exposure.

Agrium is a buy....
CANADIAN TIRE CORP. $98 (Toronto symbol CTC.A; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 80.2 million; Market cap: $7.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.7; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www. canadiantire.ca) recently sold 16.9% of CT Real Estate Investment Trust (Toronto symbol CRT.UN) through an initial public offering. CT REIT holds 72% of Canadian Tire’s real estate assets, including 255 stores and one distribution centre. The company received $279.3 million for these shares.

Meanwhile, Canadian Tire earned $145.5 million in the three months ended September 28, 2013, up 10.7% from $131.4 million a year earlier. Earnings per share gained 11.2%, to $1.79 from $1.61, on fewer shares outstanding. Sales rose 4.5%, to $3.0 billion from $2.8 billion.

Strong demand for automotive and kitchen products pushed up same-store sales by 2.0% at the company’s 491 Canadian Tire stores. Same-store sales rose 6.3% at its 415 sports outlets, partly due to the Pro Hockey Life chain, acquired in August 2013. Same-store sales at the 386-store Mark’s clothing chain gained 4.3%.
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MOLSON COORS CANADA INC. (Toronto symbols TPX.A $62 and TPX.B $62; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 183.9 million; Market cap: $11.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.molsoncoors.com) continues to make progress integrating StarBev LP, which it bought for $3.4 billion in June 2012 (all amounts except share prices and market cap in U.S. dollars). StarBev owns nine breweries in central and eastern Europe.

These savings are helping Molson Coors offset slowing beer demand. In the third quarter of 2013, its earnings rose 7.7%, to $268.1 million from $248.9 million a year earlier. Due to more shares outstanding, earnings per share gained 5.8%, to $1.45 from $1.37. However, sales fell 2.0%, to $1.17 billion from $2.0 billion.

The class B shares have less voting power to elect directors than the class A shares, but they are more liquid and receive the same dividend.
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