AIMIA INC. $15.12 (Toronto symbol AIM; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (514-205-7315; www.aimia.com; Shares outstanding: 172.5 million; Market cap: $2.6 billion; Dividend yield: 4.5%) owns and operates Aeroplan, Canada’s largest loyalty program, with over 4.6 million members. It also owns Nectar, the U.K.’s biggest loyalty program. In addition, Aimia has interests in Air Miles Middle East and Nectar Italia, as well as Club Premier, the leading loyalty program in Mexico.
In the three months ended March 31, 2013, Aimia’s revenue rose 7.4%, to $609.5 million from $567.7 million a year earlier. Excluding one-time items, earnings per share fell 12.9%, to $0.27 from $0.31. The earnings decline was due to an increase in the company’s cost per mile, mostly because its expenses rose as it expanded its operations.
TD Bank has just agreed to become the main credit card issuer for Aeroplan. Under a new 10-year deal that will begin January 1, 2014, TD will launch new credit cards under the Aeroplan banner, including cards for frequent flyers and small businesses. TD will also pay Aimia $100 million at the start of the deal and commit to buying a minimum number of Aeroplan miles from Aimia for the first three years. In addition, the partners will spend a total of $140 million in the first four years to promote these new cards and rewards.
The TD deal is important for Aimia, especially because it removes a lot of the uncertainty that surrounded the company as the December 2013 expiry of its Aeroplan contract with CIBC approached.
The company will probably earn $1.65 a share in 2013. The stock trades at just 9.2 times that forecast. The slow global economic recovery could hinder Aimia’s growth, but its long-term outlook is positive. It has also raised its quarterly dividend by 6.3%, to $0.17 from $0.16. That gives the stock a 4.5% annualized yield.
Aimia is a buy.
