TRILOGY ENERGY CORP. $29.90 - Toronto symbol TET

TRILOGY ENERGY CORP. $29.90 (Toronto symbol TET; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-290- 2900; www.trilogy.com; Shares outstanding: 91.7 million; Market cap: $3.5 billion; Dividend yield: 1.4%) owns oil and gas properties in the Kaybob and Grande Prairie areas of central Alberta. About 54% of Trilogy’s production is natural gas. The remaining 46% is oil.

In the three months ended March 31, 2013, Trilogy produced 36,119 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including gas), up 3.2% from 35,014 barrels a year earlier. Cash flow per share was unchanged at $0.67.

Trilogy pays out just 15% of its cash flow as dividends. That gives it a low 1.4% yield, but it’s also letting the company maintain an active drilling program. In the first quarter of 2013, Trilogy spent $169 million on exploration and development, down 6.3% from $180.4 million a year earlier. The company drilled 35 wells, up from 31.

The company’s long-term debt is $619.4 million, or a low 17.7% of its market cap. Trilogy is forecast to report cash flow of $3.10 a share in 2013. The stock trades at 9.6 times that estimate.

Trilogy Energy is a hold.

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.