Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

Make better stock picks when you read this FREE Special Report, Canadian Growth Stocks: WestJet Stock, RioCan Stock and More.

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AURICO GOLD $5.05 (Toronto symbol AUQ; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (604-681-2802; www.auricogold.com; Shares outstanding: 247.1 million; Market cap: $1.3 billion; Dividend yield: 3.3%) operates the El Chanate gold mine in Mexico, which produced 71,864 ounces in 2013.

The company’s Young-Davidson gold mine in Northern Ontario reached full production in 2013, with total output of 120,738 ounces. The mine’s output should rise to over 152,000 ounces this year.

AuRico hasn’t yet released its financial results for 2013, but in the three months ended September 30, its revenue rose 36.5%, to $54.3 million from $39.8 million a year earlier. Cash flow jumped to $0.09 a share from nil. Higher gold production offset lower prices.
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BIRCHCLIFF ENERGY $8.40 (Toronto symbol BIR; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-261-6401; www.birchcliffenergy.com; Units outstanding: 142.9 million; Market cap: $1.2 billion; No dividends paid) jumped recently after it announced that it ended 2013 with record production of 30,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day (including natural gas).

Since then, the company’s output has risen to 32,100 barrels a day, mainly because it bought a partner’s 30% stake in one of its wells in Alberta’s Pouce Coupe area for $56 million.

The company plans to spend $275 million on exploration and development this year. That could let it end 2014 with production as high as 39,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day.
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ZARGON OIL & GAS $8.36 (Toronto symbol ZAR; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-264-9992; www.zargon.ca; Shares outstanding: 30.1 million; Market cap: $246.7 million; Dividend yield: 8.6%) produces natural gas and oil in Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan and North Dakota. Its production is 64% oil and 36% gas.

In the quarter ended September 30, 2013, Zargon produced 7,560 barrels of oil equivalent a day, down 1.0% from 7,634 a year earlier. That’s because it sold some less important properties and cut back on natural gas drilling in response to lower gas prices.

However, higher oil and gas prices in the latest quarter more than offset the lower output, raising the company’s cash flow per share by 14.6%, to $0.55 from $0.48.
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BELLATRIX EXPLORATION $8.59 (Toronto symbol BXE; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-266- 8670; www.bellatrixexploration.com; Shares outstanding: 170.5 million; Market cap: $1.5 billion; No dividends paid) produces natural gas (70% of output) and oil (30%) in Alberta, B.C. and Saskatchewan.

Bellatrix closed its $756-million cash-and-stock purchase of Angle Energy in early December 2013. The deal added 500 drilling targets to Bellatrix’s inventory, bringing its total to over 2,000, and doubled its undeveloped land base to over 400,000 acres.

In addition, Angle produces 10,500 barrels of oil equivalent a day (58% oil and 42% gas) in Alberta. That let Bellatrix end 2013 with record production of 38,000 barrels a day. Several new wells about to enter production will boost that figure to 40,000.
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RUBY TUESDAY, INC. $5.58 (New York symbol RT; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (865-379-5700; www.rubytuesday.com; Shares outstanding: 61.4 million; Market cap: $342.8 million; No dividends paid) reports that its revenue fell 8.0% in its fiscal 2014 second quarter, which ended December 3, 2013, to $276.2 million from $300.1 million a year earlier.

That’s mostly because of continued weak consumer spending and intense competition in the casual-dining business. In the latest quarter, Ruby Tuesday lost $25.9 million, or $0.43 a share, compared to a loss of $2.9 million, or $0.05.

The company is now moving its restaurants back to a bar-and-grill atmosphere, revamping the menu and launching a major new marketing campaign. Ruby Tuesday is also closing some underperforming restaurants.
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TEMPUR SEALY $48.85 (New York symbol TPX; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (800-878-8889; www.tempursealy.com; Shares outstanding: 60.5 million; Market cap: $2.9 billion; No dividends paid) completed its $1.3- billion purchase of rival Sealy in March 2013. This was a major acquisition for Tempur Sealy (formerly Tempur-Pedic), but it has let the company diversify into traditional spring-coil beds.

The purchase is also helping Tempur Sealy offset rising competition in its current business; the company makes and distributes mattresses and neck pillows made of its Tempur material, which conforms to the body to provide support and alleviate pressure points. Competitors Simmons Bedding and Serta have both successfully launched memory-foam mattresses that directly compete with Tempur Sealy’s products.

In the quarter ended September 30, 2013, revenue jumped to $735.5 million from $347.9 million a year earlier. The gain included $389.9 million from Sealy. Excluding one-time items, earnings per share rose 4.3%, to $0.73 from $0.70.
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WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE $75.00 (New York symbol WYN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (973- 753-6000; www.wyndhamworldwide.com; Shares outstanding: 130.3 million; Market cap: $9.7 billion; Dividend yield: 1.6%) is one of the world’s largest hospitality companies, with 7,410 franchised hotels worldwide.

Wyndham also manages vacation resorts, rental properties, luxury clubs and time-shares. The company now has over 106,000 vacation-rental properties in 100 countries.

In the three months ended September 30, 2013, Wyndham’s revenue rose 12.8%, to $1.43 billion from $1.27 billion a year earlier. The company gets most of its revenue from vacation rather than business travel, and vacation bookings rose in the latest quarter. That helped raise its occupancy rate by 1.9%.
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CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL $515.95 (New York symbol CMG; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (303-595-4000; www.chipotle.com; Shares outstanding: 30.9 million; Market cap: $16.0 billion; No dividends paid) is considering expanding its new fast-casual pizza restaurant concept, which operates much like its burrito outlets— making pizza quickly, individually tailored and with higher-quality ingredients.

In May 2013, Chipotle partnered with Pizzeria Locale to open an outlet in Denver. This location’s oven bakes the pizzas in less than two minutes; individual 11-inch pies cost around $6.50, and the restaurant also serves red or white Italian wine.

Pizza is a fast-growing food choice, especially among younger consumers. The first Pizzeria Locale is a success, and Chipotle may add one or two more in Denver.
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ADOBE SYSTEMS INC. $61.77 (Nasdaq symbol ADBE; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (408-536-6000; www.adobe.com; Shares outstanding: 499.9 million; Market cap: $30.7 billion; No dividends paid) makes a range of software that lets computer users create, edit and share documents in the popular PDF format. As well, graphic designers use its software to create print publications and web pages.

Adobe earned $164.6 million, or $0.32 a share, in its fiscal 2013 fourth quarter, which ended November 29, 2013. That’s down 46.5% from $307.9 million, or $0.61 a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell 9.7%, to $1.04 billion from $1.15 billion.

Last year, the company starting selling its Creative Cloud package of photo-editing and desktoppublishing programs as a subscription instead of a onetime purchase. Adobe added 402,000 Creative Cloud subscribers during the quarter, to bring its total to 1.44 million. That beat its goal of 1.25 million.
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SYMANTEC CORP. $23.62 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (1-408-517-8000; www.symantec.com; Shares outstanding: 696.0 million; Market cap: $16.2 billion; Dividend yield: 2.5%) sells computer security technology, including anti-virus and emailfiltering software, to businesses and consumers. It also offers data-archiving software.

In Symantec’s fiscal 2014 second quarter, which ended September 27, 2013, its earnings rose 11.6%, to $355 million, or $0.50 a share. A year earlier, it earned $318 million, or $0.45.

Savings from Symantec’s new restructuring plan were behind the gains. This initiative includes laying off 30% to 40% of its managers and simplifying its product lines.
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