Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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ENERFLEX LTD. $14.07 (Toronto symbol EFX; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (403-387-6377; www.enerflex.com; Shares outstanding: 78.0 million; Market cap: $1.1 billion; Dividend yield: 2.0%) rents and sells equipment and services for natural gas production, including compression and processing plants, refrigeration equipment and power generators.

The company has a strong position in three expanding markets: U.S. and Canadian shale gas; Australian natural gas from coal beds; and conventional Middle Eastern natural gas, most of which gets converted to liquefied natural gas (LNG) for shipping worldwide.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2013, Enerflex’s revenue fell 12.3%, to $311.0 million from $354.6 million a year ago. That’s because the company saw lower sales across all of its markets. Earnings per share fell 4.0%, to $0.24 from $0.25.
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TOROMONT INDUSTRIES LTD. $22.86 (Toronto symbol TIH; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (416-667- 5511; www.toromont.com; Shares outstanding: 76.6 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Dividend yield: 2.3%) distributes a broad range of industrial equipment, including machinery made by Caterpillar Inc. It also makes refrigeration systems through its CIMCO division.

The company completed the spinoff of Enerflex Ltd. (see right) in July 2011. Shareholders received shares of the new Toromont and shares of Enerflex.

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Toromont’s revenue fell 1.3%, to $374.7 million from $379.6 million a year earlier. Record sales at the CIMCO division failed to offset lower equipment sales and rentals, particularly to mining customers.
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ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD $63.74 (Toronto symbol ATD.B; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1-800-361-2612; www.couche-tard.com; Shares outstanding: 179.4 million; Market cap: $11.8 billion; Dividend yield: 0.6%) reports that its sales jumped 48.0% in the three months ended July 21, 2013, to $8.9 billion from $6.0 billion a year earlier.

The gain mostly came from Norway’s Statoil Fuel & Retail ASA, which Couche-Tard bought for $2.7 billion in June 2012 (all figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). It also benefited from higher fuel volumes and merchandise sales.

Excluding one-time items, earnings rose 20.9%, to $220.0 million from $182.0 million. Earnings per share rose 16.0%, to $1.16 from $1.00, on more shares outstanding. The latest earnings beat the consensus estimate of $0.95 a share.
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TIM HORTONS $59.06 (Toronto symbol THI; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (905-845-6511; www.timhortons.com; Shares outstanding: 151.0 million; Market cap: $9.0 billion; Dividend yield: 1.8%) has opened its first coffee-and-donut store in Kuwait under its franchise deal with Dubai-based Apparel Group. This is the company’s 32nd store in the Persian Gulf.

In February 2011, Tim Hortons signed a master license agreement with the Apparel Group to open 120 outlets in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman over a five-year period.

So far, the company has focused on growing in the key UAE cities of Dubai and Abu Dhabi. But it also entered Oman with two locations in 2012.
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GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO. $22.17 (Nasdaq symbol GT; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (330-796-2122; www.goodyear.com; Shares outstanding: 245.5 million; Market cap: $5.4 billion; No dividends paid) has signed an important new labour contract with the United Steelworkers. The four-year deal covers about 8,000 workers at its six U.S. plants.

The agreement provides Goodyear with flexibility to reduce staffing and continues medical-benefit cost sharing.

Wages and benefits remain in line with the prior agreement. The contract protects Goodyear against strikes over its four-year term, but it also protects workers against closures at the six plants.
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CARFINCO FINANCIAL GROUP $10.10 (Toronto symbol CFN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-888- 486-4356; www.carfinco.com; Shares outstanding: 26.4 million; Market cap: $266.6 million; Dividend yield: 4.8%) has now expanded into the U.S. through its $9.5-million purchase of Persian Acceptance Corp., an automotive lender that also caters to less affluent borrowers.

Persian operates in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Maine, Connecticut and Vermont. It works with about 362 car dealers who use the company to get loans for their customers. Persian currently has $42.7 million U.S. in outstanding loans. To put that in perspective, Carfinco has $195.0 million of loans.

Growth by acquisition, especially into the U.S., adds risk. However, Carfinco is cutting that risk by keeping key members of Persian’s management in place, including Peter Miller, its founder and president. Miller sold the company to Carfinco and can receive an additional $2 million on the purchase price if Persian reaches certain performance targets over the next two years.
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AMERIGO RESOURCES $0.43 (Toronto symbol ARG; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (604-681-2802; www.amerigoresources.com; Shares outstanding: 172.3 million; Market cap: $72.4 million; No dividends paid) processes copper and molybdenum from waste rock at Chile’s El Teniente, the world’s largest copper mine. The contract runs at least through 2037. Amerigo also has an agreement to process material from the nearby Cauquenes tailings pond.

Amerigo gets 94% of its revenue by processing copper. The remaining 6% comes from molybdenum.

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Amerigo’s revenue fell 22.0%, to $31.4 million from $40.0 million a year earlier (all figures except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). That’s because Amerigo’s copper production fell 17.5%, and molybdenum output declined 23.1%.
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MART RESOURCES $1.19 (Toronto symbol MMT; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-270-1841; www.martresources.com; Shares outstanding: 356.6 million; Market cap: $449.3 million; Dividend yield: 16.8%) produces oil at its 50%-held Umusadege field in the Niger Delta region of southern Nigeria.

The company recently completed construction of a new central processing facility at the Umusadege field. This plant can process 35,000 barrels of oil a day, enough to handle the field’s current output of 10,140 barrels a day, in addition to all future production increases.

Meanwhile, the company is reporting steady cash flow and continues to pay quarterly dividends of $0.05 a share. The stock yields 16.8%.
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CHESAPEAKE ENERGY $27.30 (New York symbol CHK; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (405-848-8000; www.chkenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 665.5 million; Market cap: $18.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.3%) is up 9% since August 19, when activist investor Carl Icahn revealed that he had increased his stake in the company to 9.98% from 8.98%.

Icahn has a long history of pushing companies to make changes that have increased shareholder value.

He first acquired a stake in Chesapeake in May 2012. Since then, he has successfully pressured the company to replace four of its eight board members with his nominees. Most recently, four of Chesapeake’s top executives left as part of an ongoing reorganization. That’s in addition to co-founder and former CEO Aubrey McClendon, who departed in April, and two senior vicepresidents who left in May.
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CIMAREX ENERGY $91.50 (New York symbol XEC; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (303-295-3995; www.cimarex.com; Shares outstanding: 86.5 million; Market cap: $7.9 billion; Dividend yield: 0.6%) produces and explores for natural gas and oil. Gas makes up 49% of its output. Cimarex’s properties are in the Mid-Continent region of the U.S., which includes Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas (50% of production); the Permian Basin of western Texas and southeastern New Mexico (47%); and the Texas Gulf Coast (3%).

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Cimarex’s production averaged 686.8 million cubic feet of natural gas equivalent per day (including oil).

That’s up 16.4% from 590.1 million cubic feet a year earlier. Thanks to the higher production and increased oil and gas prices, Cimarex’s cash flow per share jumped 42.9%, to $4.00 from $2.80.
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