Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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J.C. PENNEY CO. INC. $13 (New York symbol JCP; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 220.4 million; Market cap: $2.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.2; Dividend suspended in May 2012; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www. jcpenney.com) operates more than 1,100 department stores in the U.S. and Puerto Rico. It also sells goods online.

Over a year ago, the company switched to an everyday low prices strategy. It felt the move would entice shoppers to come into its stores more often and not wait for clearance sales.

However, the plan alienated Penney’s regular customers. In response to a sharp drop in its sales, the company switched back to its original marketing strategy.
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NORDSTROM INC. $57 (New York symbol JWN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 195.5 million; Market cap: $11.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.nordstrom.com) mainly sells clothing, accessories and footwear. The company owns and operates 248 stores in 33 states.

In the second quarter of its 2014 fiscal year, which ended August 3, 2013, Nordstrom’s sales rose 6.3%, to $3.2 billion from $3.0 billion a year earlier. Samestore sales rose 4.2% on strong demand for men’s apparel, men’s shoes and children’s clothing. Online sales jumped 37%.

Earnings gained 17.9%, to $184 million from $156 million. Per-share earnings rose 24.0%, to $0.93 from $0.75, on fewer shares outstanding.
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MACY’S INC. $44 (New York symbol M, Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 377.9 million; Market cap: $16.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.macysinc.com) operates 840 Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s department stores in 45 states.

The company continues to benefit from strong online sales. That’s largely because it is offering free shipping and letting customers pick up their orders at its stores. Macy’s recent move to tailor its merchandise to local tastes is also helping it compete.

Even so, Macy’s sales fell 0.8% in the second quarter of its 2014 fiscal year, which ended August 3, 2013, to $6.07 billion from $6.12 billion a year earlier. Same-store sales, which include online orders, also declined 0.8%.
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PEPSICO INC. $79 (New York symbol PEP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $118.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.pepsico.com) earned $2.05 billion in the three months ended June 15, 2013, up 16.1% from $1.8 billion a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 17.0%, to $1.31 from $1.12, on fewer shares outstanding. The latest earnings included a $0.09-a-share gain on a deal to refranchise PepsiCo’s bottling operations in Vietnam. Revenue rose 2.1%, to $16.8 billion from $16.5 billion.

The company expects to save $900 million this year, mainly by closing plants and cutting jobs. PepsiCo will use some of these savings to develop and promote new products, particularly healthier snack foods. The savings will also help the company offset higher ingredient costs. However, soft drink sales continue to decline, particularly in North America.

PepsiCo is a hold....
MICROSOFT CORP. $33 (Nasdaq symbol MSFT; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 8.3 billion; Market cap: $273.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.6; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www. microsoft.com) jumped 8% after it announced that Steve Ballmer, its chief executive officer since 2000, will soon retire. Microsoft expects to name a replacement within the next 12 months.

The company continues to generate strong cash flows from its business products, such as server software, particularly as more companies move to a cloud computing model. However, weak sales of its new consumer devices, such as the Surface tablet computer, have held back its earnings. Investors feel a new CEO from outside the company may sell these struggling businesses.

Microsoft is still a buy....
FAIR ISAAC CORP. $51 .(New York symbol FICO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 35.2 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.5; Dividend yield: 0.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fico.com) makes FICO Scores, a computer program that helps businesses make better decisions about customer creditworthiness. The company also produces software that helps credit card issuers control fraud and analyze cardholders’spending patterns.

In the company’s fiscal 2013 third quarter, which ended June 30, 2013, its earnings per share before one-time items rose 9.6% from a year ago, to $0.80 from $0.73.

Revenue gained 14.5%, to $183.8 million from $160.5 million. That’s largely because the company recently acquired Adeptra, which makes systems that let businesses communicate with customers through various channels, including voice, text messaging, mobile applications and email.
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BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC. $30 (New York symbol BR; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 119.1 million; Market cap: $3.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.broadridge.com) serves the investment industry in three main areas: investor communications, securities processing and transaction clearing. The company processes 85% of all proxy votes in the U.S.

In its 2013 fiscal year, which ended June 30, 2013, Broadridge’s earnings rose 10.6%, to $236.0 million from $213.4 million in fiscal 2012. Earnings per share rose 12.6%, to $1.88 from $1.67. These figures exclude unusual items, such as writedowns and costs to integrate recent acquisitions.

Revenue rose 5.5%, to $2.4 billion from $2.3 billion. Revenue from the company’s Investor Communications division (which supplies 73% of the total) rose 7.7%. Broadridge held on to 99% of its existing customers. It also continues to do a good job of signing clients to long-term deals that generate recurring revenue.
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DUN & BRADSTREET CORP. $100 (New York symbol DNB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 38.8 million; Market cap: $3.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.6; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.dnb.com) is the world’s largest provider of credit reports on individual companies. Its customers use these reports to make buying and lending decisions.

Credit reports supply two-thirds of Dun & Bradstreet’s revenue. The remaining third comes from other information products, including software that helps businesses manage websites and customer data.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2013, Dun & Bradstreet’s revenue rose just 0.7%, to $386.4 million from $383.7 million a year earlier. Stronger demand for its credit reports and other products in Europe (which accounts for 15% of its revenue) and Asia (13%) offset weaker sales in North America (72%).
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NEWELL RUBBERMAID INC. $25 (New York symbol NWL; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 288.0 million; Market cap: $7.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newellrubbermaid.com), like Stanley (see left), is a good example of an out-of-the-limelight stock with long-term appeal.

Also like Stanley, Newell is selling its less profitable operations and focusing on products with greater growth potential, such as pens and tools for industrial users.

For example, it recently agreed to sell some of its hardware businesses, which make a variety of hooks, hinges, door knobs and paint brushes. Newell will receive $175 million after taxes when the sale closes in the new few weeks.
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STANLEY BLACK & DECKER INC. $85 (New York symbol SWK; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 160.1 million; Market cap: $13.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.stanleyblackanddecker.com) began operating in 1843 and is now one of the world’s largest makers of hand and power tools for consumers. Its top-selling brands include Stanley, Black & Decker, FatMax and Powerlock. In 2012, this business supplied 51% of Stanley’s sales and 50% of its earnings.

The company also makes specialized tools for industrial users, such as auto mechanics and construction firms. This division accounts for 25% of Stanley’s sales and 29% of its earnings.

The remaining 24% of the company’s sales and 21% of its earnings come from making building-security products, such as locks, automatic doors and gates. It also monitors properties for its clients, typically by closed-circuit audio and TV systems.
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