Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.
And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.
There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:
- Invest mainly in well-established companies;
- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.
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Remodelling the battery and delays in delivering new planes probably cost Boeing $600 million. That’s equal to 8% of the $7.2 billion, or $5.88 a share, it earned in 2012. However, the new battery design should make it easier for Boeing to attract new buyers for the 787.
Boeing is a buy....
Newmont remains our top gold stock. Its reserves should last decades, and most of its production is in politically stable areas. However, gold prices have fallen in the last six months and could remain under pressure, particularly if European governments sell their gold reserves to deal with their financial problems.
Newmont is now a hold....
In its 2013 second quarter, which ended December 31, 2012, Hillshire’s sales rose 0.7%, to $1.06 billion from $1.05 billion a year earlier. If you disregard the contribution of a business that the company sold, sales would have risen 2.5%. Without unusual items, earnings per share rose 29.2%, to $0.62 from $0.48.
The earnings increase is partly due to savings from plant closures and layoffs. These moves should cut its costs by $100 million a year by the end of fiscal 2015.
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In its fiscal 2013 third quarter, which ended February 24, 2013, General Mills’sales rose 7.5%, to $4.4 billion from $4.1 billion a year earlier. That’s mainly due to Yoki, a Brazilian snack food and seasoning maker that General Mills bought in August 2012. Without acquisitions, sales would have risen 2%.
Earnings rose 14.9%, to $420.9 million from $366.4 million. Earnings per share rose 16.4%, to $0.64 from $0.55, on fewer shares outstanding. These figures exclude a number of unusual items, such as costs to integrate new operations, and gains and losses on hedging contracts that General Mills uses to lock in prices of certain ingredients.
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Unlike Mondelez, Kraft prefers to focus on North America. That limits its growth but also cuts its risk.
As a stand-alone company, Kraft earned $1.6 billion, or $2.75 a share, in 2012. That’s down 7.5% from $1.8 billion, or $3.00 a share, in 2011. The decline is mainly due to costs related to a restructuring, which includes closing plants and making its remaining operations more efficient. Kraft expects to spend $650 million on this plan by the end of 2014.
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Mondelez aims to improve its efficiency by shutting less profitable plants and offices. Severance and other costs will total $925 million. The company didn’t say how much it expects the restructuring will save it after it is completed in 2014. However, Mondelez will probably use these savings to cut its long-term debt of $15.6 billion, which is equal to 28% of its market cap.
If you assume the October 2012 breakup of the old Kraft Foods Inc. into Mondelez and Kraft Foods Group (see right) occurred at the start of 2011, Mondelez would have earned $1.6 billion, or $0.86 a share, in 2012. That’s down 9.8% from $1.7 billion, or $0.97 a share, in 2011. If you exclude restructuring costs and other unusual items, per-share earnings would have risen by 0.7%, to $1.39 from $1.38,
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The company recently completed its $4.75-billion acquisition of Ralcorp Holdings, the largest maker of private-label food in the U.S.
The purchase helped push up ConAgra’s sales by 13.4% in its 2013 third quarter, which ended February 24, 2013, to $3.85 billion from $3.4 billion a year earlier. Ralcorp contributed $291.8 million to the latest sales. In addition, ConAgra raised its prices on its branded products to offset higher ingredient costs.
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In 2011, the company considered spinning off its personal computer and printer operations, which together account for 50% of its revenue. It eventually decided to hang onto these businesses and make them more profitable instead.
Hewlett also wants to expand its software division, which supplies just 3% of its revenue. That’s why it paid $11.0 billion for U.K.-based Autonomy in October 2011. This company’s software helps businesses organize information in different formats, including email and web pages.
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IBM continues to shift out of less profitable businesses, like making personal computers, and toward more promising activities, such as designing computer systems and managing them for clients. Long-term maintenance contracts give IBM more dependable revenue streams; services now supply 56% of its sales.
The company is also expanding its software business. It’s particularly interested in developing analytics software, which helps businesses and governments gather and analyze a wide variety of data. For example, IBM’s Smarter Planet initiative combines advanced hardware and software to help clients solve complex problems, such as traffic congestion. Software supplies 24% of IBM’s revenue.
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