Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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SYMANTEC CORP. $20.71 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (1-408-517-8000; www.symantec.com; Shares outstanding: 693.9 million; Market cap: $14.4 billion; No dividends paid) sells computer-security technology, including anti-virus and email-filtering software, to businesses and consumers. It also offers data-archiving software that helps its clients meet increasingly strict regulatory and compliance standards.

In the three months ended September 28, 2012, Symantec’s revenue rose 1.0%, $1.70 billion from $1.68 billion a year earlier. The company gets 51% of its sales from overseas. Without the positive impact of exchange rates, revenue would have risen 5% in the latest quarter.

Successful cost cutting pushed up Symantec’s earnings per share by 15.4%, to $0.45 from $0.39, excluding one-time items.

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ACI WORLDWIDE $44.87 (Nasdaq symbol ACIW; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (402-334-5101; www.tsainc.com; Shares outstanding: 39.4 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; No dividends paid) makes software for processing transactions involving credit cards, debit cards, automated teller machines, point-of-sale terminals and interbank payments. Its products also help cut fraud.

In mid-February 2012, ACI completed its $540- million purchase of S1 Corp. This acquisition has been a good fit: S1 sells transaction software for banks, credit unions, retailers and other payment processors. It has over 3,000 clients worldwide.

In the third quarter of 2012, ACI’s revenue rose 38.3%, to $155.1 million from $112.1 million a year earlier. S1’s $47.8-million contribution was the main reason for the gain.

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CAMECO CORP. $20.79 (Toronto symbol CCO; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (306-956- 6200; www.cameco.com; Shares outstanding: 395.3 million; Market cap: $8.2 billion; Dividend yield 1.9%) has closed its $251-million purchase of Germany-based nuclear fuel broker Nukem Energy GmbH.

Nukem acts as an intermediary between uranium buyers and sellers. It also sells uranium from old Russian weapons and uranium mined in Uzbekistan.

The company’s supply from Russian nuclear weapons will end when the “Megatons to Megawatts” program concludes this year. The program was the result of a historic 20-year agreement signed between the U.S. and Russia in 1993.

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AMERIGO RESOURCES $0.65 (Toronto symbol ARG; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (604-681-2802; www.amerigoresources.com; Shares outstanding: 172.3 million; Market cap: $112.0 million; Dividend yield: 6.2%) processes copper and molybdenum from the waste rock from Chile’s El Teniente, the world’s largest copper mine. The contract runs at least through 2021. Amerigo also has an agreement to process material from the nearby Colihues tailings pond.

The company gets 94% of revenue by processing copper. The remaining 6% comes from molybdenum.

In the three months ended September 30, 2012, Amerigo’s revenue rose 5.4%, to $44.2 million from $42.0 million a year earlier (all figures except share price in U.S. dollars). The company offset lower copper and molybdenum prices by producing more of both metals.

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CENOVUS ENERGY INC. $34 (www.cenovus.com) has gained 33% since it became a separate company in December 2009. As a result, its long-term debt of $4.6 billion is now a more moderate 18% of its $25.5-billion market cap. That’s why we’ve upgraded Cenovus’s TSINetwork Rating from “Extra Risk” to “Average.” Buy.
HEWLETT-PACKARD CO. $14 (www.hp.com) recently wrote down its August 2008 purchase of Electronic Data Systems, provides computer services to large government agencies and corporations. It also wrote down its August 2011 purchase of U.K.-based Autonomy Corp., whose products help businesses organize a variety of information....
CHEVRON CORP. $110 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.0 billion; Market cap: $220.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.chevron.com) is the second-largest integrated oil company in the U.S., after ExxonMobil Corp. (New York symbol XOM).

Chevron gets 90% of its earnings by producing oil (70% of production) and natural gas (30%). The remaining 10% comes from its refineries, petrochemical operations and its 17,800 gas stations, which operate under the Chevron, Texaco and Caltex banners.

At the end of 2011, the company’s reserves consisted of 8.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent (51% oil and 49% natural gas), plus an additional 2.7 billion barrels through joint ventures and affiliated businesses. The company produces about 1 billion barrels a year.

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INTEL CORP. $21 (Nasdaq symbol INTC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 5.0 billion; Market cap: $105.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 4.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.intel.com) is the world’s leading maker of computer chips. Its products power about 80% of the world’s personal computers.

Intel’s revenue fell 8.4%, from $38.4 billion in 2007 to $35.1 billion in 2009. That’s because businesses and consumers put off upgrading their computers during the recession. However, pent-up demand pushed up its revenue by 24.2%, to $43.6 billion, in 2010. In 2011, revenue rose 23.8%, to $54.0 billion.

Strong sales boosted Intel’s profits
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SYMANTEC CORP. $19 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 693.9 million; Market cap: $13.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.symantec- .com) aims to take advantage of rising interest in cloud computing with a new service called Norton Zone, which lets users securely store and share photos, videos and documents on remote servers. Customers can also share their files with other users and social networks.

Combining cloud storage with Symantec’s well-known Norton Anti-Virus software should help spur sales to consumers, who supply around 30% of its overall revenue. However, sales to businesses will likely remain weak until the economy improves.

Symantec is still a hold....
DIAGEO PLC ADRs $119 (New York symbol DEO; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; ADRs outstanding: 627.2 million; Market cap: $74.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.3; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.diageo.com) is buying 53.4% of United Spirits Ltd., India’s largest maker of alcoholic beverages. This business also imports and distributes drinks made by companies outside India.

Diageo will pay $2.1 billion for this stake when the deal closes in the first quarter of 2013. That’s equal to 3% of its market cap.

Expanding in fast-growing markets like India improves the company’s prospects. However, the stock has gained 40% in the past year and now trades at nearly 20 times Diageo’s earnings. That makes it vulnerable to a sudden drop if earnings growth slows.

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