Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

Make better stock picks when you read this FREE Special Report, Canadian Growth Stocks: WestJet Stock, RioCan Stock and More.

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BMTC GROUP $16.90 (Toronto symbol GBT.A; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (514-648-5757; No website; Shares outstanding: 47.5 million; Market cap: $802.8 million; Dividend yield: 1.4%) is one of Quebec’s largest retailers of furniture, electronics and household appliances. It sells these products through its two affiliates: Brault & Martineau Inc. and Ameublements Tanguay.

The company has 20 large stores in the Montreal, Quebec City, Repentigny, Laval, Saint-Georges, Chicoutimi, Sainte-Therese, Trois-Rivieres, Sherbrooke, Rimouski, Riviere-du-Loup and Gatineau areas. It also has six liquidation centres and six Sleep Gallery stores.

In July 2012, BMTC opened a new store in Levis to replace the old one. The company is also building a warehouse-style outlet in St-Hubert that will offer lower-priced products and operate under a new banner—EconoMax.

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LEON’S FURNITURE LTD. $11.50 (Toronto symbol LNF; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (416-243-7880; www.leons.ca; Shares outstanding: 70.0 million; Market cap: $805.0 million; Dividend yield: 3.5%) has built its chain of over 76 furniture stores on its four main strengths: a huge selection of furniture, appliances and electronics; a lowest-price guarantee; strong after-sales service; and aggressive TV, radio and print advertising.

In the three months ended June 30, 2012, Leon’s sales fell 1.1%, to $162.1 million from $163.9 million a year earlier. Weaker consumer spending and a drop in new-housing starts held back sales.

Earnings fell 19.8%, to $9.0 million, or $0.13 a share, from $11.2 million, or $0.16 a share. The slower sales were the main reason for the earnings decline. The company also spent more on advertising.

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ALARMFORCE INDUSTRIES $11.22 (Toronto symbol AF; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (1-800-267-2001; www.alarmforce.com; Shares outstanding: 12.2 million; Market cap: $136.9 million; Dividend yield: 0.9%) has jumped 26% since the start of August after it announced that it is launching a strategic review of its business, including a possible sale of the company.

AlarmForce is increasing its advertising as it expands into the U.S. It’s also investing more in its VideoRelay system, which it launched in October 2011.

VideoRelay lets subscribers watch their homes through their computers and smartphones. Users can either view live video or receive alerts when the system detects motion. It also lets them establish two-way voice communication through the camera.

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There is a history of Canadian consumer stocks trying, and failing, to establish a presence in the United States. But there are several outstanding success stories, such as Alimentation Couche-Tard (Toronto symbol ATD.B) our #1 Stock for 2012, which has profited extensively from its convenience stores and gas bars in the U.S. A new partnership initiative in the U.S. by Reitmans is on a more modest scale than Couche-Tard’s operations, but the women’s wear retailer is looking for a welcome boost in sales. REITMANS (CANADA) LTD. (Toronto symbol RET.A; www.reitmans.com) owns 925 women’s clothing stores across Canada. The chain consists of 364 Reitmans, 154 Penningtons, 153 Smart Set, 114 Addition Elle, 74 Thyme Maternity and 66 RW & Co. stores....
AMERICAN EXPRESS CO. $56 (New York symbol AXP, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.1 billion; Market cap: $61.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.americanexpress.com) is best known for its American Express charge and credit cards. It also sells travel-related services, such as hotel bookings, insurance and traveller’s cheques.

Amex gets most of its revenue from the fees it charges merchants who accept its cards. It also earns interest on the outstanding balances of its cardholders. Being a lender adds to its risk, particularly if cardholders fall behind on their payments and Amex has to write off these loans.

However, Amex clients tend to have above-average incomes and good credit histories. The company has also tightened its lending policies in the past few years.

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GENERAL ELECTRIC CO. $20 (New York symbol GE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 10.6 billion; Market cap: $212.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 3.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.ge.com) plans to split its energy-products division into three new businesses: GE Power and Water (turbines, generators); GE Oil and Gas (products for onshore and offshore energy producers); and GE Energy Management (power-transmission equipment).

This reorganization should make it easier for these new divisions to take advantage of new opportunities. It should also save GE $200 million to $300 million by 2014.

To put these savings in context, GE earned $4.0 billion in the three months ended June 30, 2012. That’s up 6.9% from $3.75 billion a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 11.8%, to $0.38 from $0.34, on fewer shares outstanding. Revenue rose 2.5%, to $36.5 billion from $35.6 billion.

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CEDAR FAIR L.P. $32 (New York symbol FUN; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Units outstanding: 55.5 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; Dividend yield: 5.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cedarfair.com) reported revenue of $456 million from the beginning of the year through the July 4th holiday weekend. That’s up 4.6%, from the same period in 2011.

New rides and attractions are helping Cedar Fair draw more visitors to its 11 amusement parks and seven water parks. Overall attendance rose 2%, while average spending per guest gained 4%. Revenue at its five hotels also rose 2%.

Cedar Fair is a buy.

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MACY’S INC. $35 (New York symbol M, Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 413.2 million; Market cap: $14.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.macysinc.com) reported lower-than-expected sales at its 840 department stores for June 2012.

During the month, same-store sales rose 1.2% from June 2011. That missed the consensus estimate of a 1.9% increase. The weaker U.S. economy has hurt consumer spending. As well, renovations have cut sales at its flagship store in New York City.

However, the company’s websites continue to grow strongly: online sales jumped 31.8% in June 2012. Moreover, Macy’s still expects its same-store sales to rise 3.7% for its full fiscal year, which ends January 31, 2013.

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CINTAS CORP. $38 (Nasdaq symbol CTAS; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 126.5 million; Market cap: $4.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cintas.com) earned $297.6 million in its 2012 fiscal year, which ended May 31, 2012. That’s up 20.5% from $247.0 million in 2011. Earnings per share jumped 35.1%, to $2.27 from $1.68, on fewer shares outstanding.

Revenue rose 7.7% in 2012, to a record $4.1 billion from $3.8 billion. If you exclude contributions from acquisitions, revenue still rose 6.1%.

The company continues to see rising demand for the uniforms and services, such as document shredding, that it sells to businesses. It is also doing a good job of controlling its costs.

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INTEL CORP. $25 (Nasdaq symbol INTC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 5.0 billion; Market cap: $125.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.intel.com) saw its revenue rise 3.6% in the three months ended June 30, 2012, to $13.5 billion from $13.0 billion a year earlier. However, earnings fell 5.0%, to $3.0 billion from $3.1 billion. Earnings per share were unchanged at $0.57, due to fewer shares outstanding.

The company continues to invest heavily in new plants and chipmaking technology. That has hurt its earnings, but these investments will help Intel sell more chips to makers of tablet computers and other mobile devices. Intel’s advanced technologies will also give it an edge over other chipmakers.

Intel is a buy.

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