Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.
And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.
There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:
- Invest mainly in well-established companies;
- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.
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In the six months ended December 31, 2011 (Diageo’s fiscal year ends June 30), the company’s revenue rose 8.2%, to 5.8 billion pounds from 5.3 billion pounds a year earlier (1 British pound = $1.57 Canadian). Due to an unusual tax charge, earnings per ADR fell 20.3%, to 1.53 pounds from 1.92 pounds a year earlier (each American Depositary Receipt represents four Diageo common shares). Without this charge, earnings would have risen 16.0%.
Diageo is a buy.
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As a result, General Mills now feels that it will earn $2.54 a share in its 2012 fiscal year, which ends May 31, 2012. That’s down from its earlier forecast of $2.60 a share. Even so, the stock trades at a reasonable at 15.4 times the new estimate. Moreover, the company continues to expand internationally, which cuts its risk.
General Mills is a buy.
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Sales of the company’s Pro-Cyte Dx hematology analyzer, which processes animal blood tests in just two minutes, continue to rise. This device cuts veterinarians’ reliance on external labs and lowers their costs. Demand is also increasing in overseas markets. For example, Idexx recently received approval to market this device in Japan.
Idexx feels that its revenue will rise by 7% to 8% in 2012. However, the stock trades at 29.0 times the company’s likely 2012 earnings of $3.07 a share. That high p/e ratio makes the stock vulnerable to a sudden drop if Idexx fails to meet its revenue or earnings growth targets.
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These moves will cost Briggs between $50 million and $55 million. To put that in context, it earned $63.2 million, or $0.48 a share, in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2011. However, the closures should cut Briggs’ yearly costs by $18 million to $20 million.
Briggs & Stratton is a hold.
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The company has cut its quarterly dividend by 46.7%, to $0.10 a share from $0.1875. The new annual rate of $0.40 yields 8.7%. The cut should free up cash that Frontier can use to lower its $8.2-billion long-term debt, which is a high 1.8 times its market cap. It also needs to keep investing in its network upgrades.
Frontier is still a hold.
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services in the U.S., with 108.7 million subscribers. Wireless accounts for 63% of its revenue. It also has 24.1 million phone and Internet customers.
In 2011, Verizon added 6.3 million new wireless subscribers (net of deactivations) and 278,000 new high-speed Internet customers. These gains offset the loss of 1.9 million phone customers.
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The company recently cancelled its plan to buy rival wireless carrier T-Mobile from Germany’s Deutsche Telekom AG; AT&T felt that competition regulators would have blocked the deal.
As a result, AT&T will pay Deutsche Telekom a $4-billion breakup fee, consisting of $3 billion in cash and $1 billion of wireless spectrum. That’s partly why AT&T’s earnings fell 80.1% in 2011, to $3.9 billion, or $0.66 a share. In 2010, it earned $19.9 billion, or $3.35 a share. Without unusual items, earnings per share would have fallen 3.9%, to $2.20 from $2.29.
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Earnings per share rose 32.3%, to $11.83 from $8.94, on more shares outstanding. Apache also raised its dividend by 13.3%. The new annual rate of $0.68 yields 0.6%.
Apache is a buy.
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Agilent was a subsidiary of Hewlett-Packard Co. until 1999, when Hewlett spun it off as a separate company.
In its 2012 first quarter, which ended January 31, 2012, Agilent’s revenue rose 7.6%, to $1.64 billion from $1.5 billion a year earlier. Strong gains from its life sciences division offset weaker demand for testing equipment. Agilent received $1.6 billion of new orders in the quarter, unchanged from a year ago.
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In 2011, Motorola Solutions earned $888 million, or $2.61 a share. That’s up 42.5% from $623 million, or $1.84 a share, in 2010. These figures exclude several unusual items, mainly costs related to the spinoff from Motorola Inc. Sales rose 7.7%, to $8.2 billion from $7.6 billion.
The company’s sales will likely rise by just 5% in 2012, due to slowing demand for its current wireless networking equipment and government budget cuts. However, Motorola Solutions continues to devote nearly 13% of its sales to research. This is helping it develop new products that take advantage of faster wireless technologies.
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