Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

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SARA LEE CORP. $18 (New York symbol SLE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 590.7 million; Market cap: $10.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 2.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.saralee.com) announced in January 2011 that it would break itself into two separate, publicly traded companies. One firm will consist of Sara Lee’s international coffee and tea businesses. The other will focus on its North American packaged meat operations. The company aims to complete the breakup by the end of fiscal 2012 (fiscal years end June 30). It will also pay a special dividend of $3.00 a share before the split....
KRAFT FOODS INC. $36 (New York symbol KFT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.8 billion; Market cap: $64.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 3.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.kraft.com) plans to break itself into two separate, publicly traded companies by the end of 2012. One company will sell snack foods, such as Oreo cookies, Cadbury chocolates, Trident gum and Tang powdered beverages. This business will have annual sales of $32 billion, with 42% of that coming from developing markets, such as China, Brazil and India. The other company will consist of Kraft’s slower-growing grocery-products business, which mainly sells its foods in North American supermarkets. These products include Kraft macaroni and cheese, Oscar Mayer meats, Philadelphia cream cheese, Maxwell House coffee, Jell-O desserts and Miracle Whip salad dressing. This company will have $16 billion of annual sales....
Growth Stocks: Chipotle Mexican Grill
The fast-food business is generally associated with inexpensive food and plain décor. It is rarely associated with healthy eating. But one U.S. chain has adopted a higher quality approach, so far with success. CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL (New York symbol CMG; www.chipotle.com) is a Denver-based Mexican-restaurant chain. The company charges slightly higher prices than fast-food chains, but it offers higher-quality food, including naturally raised meat, and better decor and service....
NEWMONT MINING CORP. $61 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 494.8 million; Market cap: $30.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.3; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) is one of the world’s largest gold-mining companies. It has major mines in the U.S., Australia and Peru. Newmont gets about 90% of its revenue from gold. It gets the remaining 10% from copper, zinc and other metals. Most of Newmont’s copper comes from its 27.56% stake in the large Batu Hijau mining complex in Indonesia. Combined with financing arrangements the company has with other Batu Hijau shareholders, Newmont’s economic interest in this mine is effectively 44.56%. The company prefers to sell its gold at the market price instead of through long-term hedging contracts that lock in prices. This policy has helped it take full advantage of rising gold prices: Newmont’s average realized gold price jumped 105.7%, from $594 an ounce in 2006 to $1,222 in 2010....
CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $32 (New York symbol CPB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 318.7 million; Market cap: $10.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 3.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.campbellsoupcompany.com) is the world’s largest maker of canned soups. It also makes Prego canned pasta and sauces, Pepperidge Farm cookies and V8 vegetable juices.

The company’s sales rose 1.7%, from $7.9 billion in 2007 to $8.0 billion in 2008 (fiscal years end July 31). Sales fell to $7.6 billion in 2009, but rose to $7.7 billion in 2011.

Erratic earnings set to stabilize

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NEWMONT MINING CORP. $60 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 493.1 million; Market cap: $29.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) expects its overall copper production will fall to around 160 million pounds in 2012 from 206 million pounds in 2011. That’s because the operators of its 44.56%-owned Batu Hijau open-pit copper mine in Indonesia need time to clear out waste material so they can reach lower depths with higher grades of copper. As well, Newmont expects its copper production costs to jump to between $1.80 and $2.20 per ounce in 2012 from $1.26 in 2011.

The company also expects to produce 5.0 million to 5.2 million ounces of gold in 2012, which is comparable to the 5.2 million ounces it produced in 2011. However, due to rising power and labour costs at its Australian mines, its gold-production costs will jump to between $625 and $675 an ounce from $592 in 2011.

Newmont’s long-term outlook remains bright. Concerns over European sovereign debt should continue to spur gold prices. Copper prices should also rebound in 2012, as global consumption will probably exceed production.

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PEPSICO INC. $67 (New York symbol PEP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.6 billion; Market cap: $107.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.pepsico.com) will make and distribute Ocean Spray cranberry drinks in Latin America under a new 20-year deal with Ocean Spray Cranberries, Inc.

The two companies already have a similar deal in the U.S., where Ocean Spray’s volumes have risen 20% since 2006. PepsiCo feels its marketing expertise and distribution networks will help it repeat this success in Latin America.

PepsiCo is a buy.

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CHEVRON CORP. $108 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 2.0 billion; Market cap: $216.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.chevron.com) recently announced that it had discovered promising new gas wells off the northwest coast of Australia. This was its 13th discovery in the area since 2009.

These discoveries enhance the prospects of Chevron’s Gorgon liquefied natural gas (LNG) project in Australia. Gorgon will convert gas from these offshore fields into a liquid. The company will then ship the LNG on tankers to customers in Asia.

Chevron owns 47% of Gorgon, and will operate it. The company’s share of the $37-billion development cost is $17.4 billion. Gorgon should start producing in 2014. Chevron expects the Australian wells to last 40 years.

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WELLS FARGO & CO. $30 (New York symbol WFC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 5.3 billion; Market cap: $159.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.0; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.wellsfargo.com) earned $15.0 billion in 2011. That’s up 29.2% from $11.6 billion in 2010. Earnings per share rose 27.6%, to $2.82 from $2.21, on more shares outstanding. More clients are repaying their loans on time. As a result, loan-loss provisions fell 49.9%, to $7.9 billion from $15.8 billion. This was the main reason for earnings gain.

Revenue fell 5.0%, to $80.9 billion from $85.2 billion. Demand for mortgages and credit cards is rising. However, the bank is getting less interest income from borrowers due to today’s low interest rates.

Wells Fargo is still a hold.

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CEDAR FAIR L.P. $25 (New York symbol FUN; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Units outstanding: 55.4 million; Market cap: $1.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 6.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cedarfair.com) had a record 23.4 million visitors at its amusement parks, water parks and hotels in 2011. That’s up 2.6% from 22.8 million in 2010.

As a result, the partnership estimates that its revenue increased 5.4% in 2011, to $1.03 billion from $977.6 million in 2010. Thanks to its improving outlook, the partnership expects to pay distributions of $1.60 a unit in 2012 (for a 6.4% yield). That’s up 60.0% from $1.00 in 2011.

Cedar Fair is a buy.

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