Growth Stocks

Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.

And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.

There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:

  1. Invest mainly in well-established companies;
  2. Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
  3. Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

Make better stock picks when you read this FREE Special Report, Canadian Growth Stocks: WestJet Stock, RioCan Stock and More.

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MCDONALD’S CORP. $65 (New York symbol MCD; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.1 billion; Market cap: $71.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.1; Dividend yield: 3.4%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s largest fast-food company by sales. It has around 32,500 restaurants in over 120 countries. Rising prosperity in developing countries is making McDonald’s food more affordable to more consumers. Overseas markets now supply 65% of its revenue, and nearly half of its earnings. McDonald’s sales rose 15.0%, from $20.5 billion in 2005 to $23.5 billion in 2008. Sales fell 3.3% in 2009, to $22.7 billion. That’s because the rising U.S. dollar hurt the contribution of its international outlets. If you disregard foreign-exchange rates, sales would have risen 2% in 2009. Overall same-store sales rose 3.8% in 2009, mainly on gains in the U.S. (up 2.6%), Europe (up 5.2%) and the Asia Pacific region (up 3.4%)....
The U.S. restaurant industry has faced tough challenges over the past 18 months. That’s because the economic downturn has prompted more consumers to eat at home, or to spend less when they dine out. The best U.S. restaurants have done a good job of cutting costs during the slowdown. Some have improved their menus by introducing new items and focusing on value-priced meals. And a few have taken advantage of the slowdown to expand into new markets with strong growth potential. That has helped these restaurants report improved results. It also puts them in a good position to profit as the global economy continues to improve. In light of the improvement in the U.S. restaurant industry, we’ve updated our buy/sell/hold advice on two U.S. restaurant growth stock picks, Ruby Tuesday (symbol RT on New York), and Chipotle Mexican Grill (symbol CMG on New York), in the current issue of Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter for more aggressive investors....
A subscriber to Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter for aggressive investing, recently asked us how much importance we give to a company’s name when we’re selecting growth stock picks to recommend in our newsletters and investment services. He felt that a poorly thought-out company name may reflect a poorly thought-out business plan and a low chance of success. He specifically asked about Tucows Inc. (symbol TC on Toronto). We recently updated our buy/sell/hold advice on the company in a Stock Pickers Digest Email Hotline. See below for more details on this growth stock pick’s outlook.

A growth stock pick’s name should be more memorable than descriptive

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CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $33 (New York symbol CPB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 342.9 million; Market cap: $11.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 3.3%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s largest maker of canned soups. It also makes Prego canned pasta and sauces, Pepperidge Farm cookies and V8 vegetable juices. Like Heinz, Campbell aims to spur long-term growth by increasing sales in emerging markets, such as China and Russia. The company now gets 30% of its overall sales from international markets. Campbell is also doing a good job of developing new products. For example, it now sells low-sodium soups and baked goods made from whole grains. These premium products should appeal to health-conscious consumers. These foods also generate higher profit margins than Campbell’s regular products....
H.J. HEINZ CO. $44 (New York symbol HNZ; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 315.6 million; Market cap: $13.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.8%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is a leading maker of condiments. Its flagship product, Heinz ketchup, accounts for about 60% of U.S. ketchup sales. The company also makes frozen potatoes (under the Ore-Ida brand), pasta sauces (Classico) and diet foods (Weight Watchers). Heinz gets 60% of its sales from overseas markets, and the company continues to look to foreign markets for growth. That’s partly because rising sales in Mexico, India and Russia are helping it offset lower sales to U.S. restaurants. The falling U.S. dollar is also expanding the contribution of Heinz’s overseas sales. In its second quarter, which ended October 28, 2009, the company’s earnings fell 11.6%, to $0.76 a share from $0.86 a year earlier. However, if you disregard an $0.18-a-share foreign-currency hedging gain in the year-earlier quarter, earnings per share would have risen by 11.8%....
GENERAL MILLS INC. $72 (New York symbol GIS; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 329.5 million; Market cap: $23.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 2.7%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the second-largest maker of breakfast cereals in the U.S., after Kellogg. The company’s major brands include Cheerios, Wheaties and Total. General Mills also makes Betty Crocker baking mixes, Green Giant canned and frozen vegetables, and Yoplait yogurt. In its second quarter, which ended November 29, 2009, General Mills earned $565.5 million. That’s up 49.5% from $378.2 million a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 52.3%, to $1.66 from $1.09, on fewer shares outstanding. Without unusual items, such as gains on commodity-hedging contracts, earnings per share would have risen 13.2%, to $1.54 from $1.36. Even though General Mills cut the prices of certain products, its sales rose 1.7%, to $4.1 billion from $4.0 billion....
KRAFT FOODS INC. $28 (New York symbol KFT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $42.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield: 4.1%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) is the world’s second-largest food company after Switzerland-based Nestle S.A. Its leading brands include Kraft cheese, Maxwell House coffee, Nabisco cookies and Oscar Meyer meats. Kraft is buying U.K.-based Cadbury plc (New York symbol CBY). Cadbury is a leading maker of confectioneries, including chocolate, candy and gum. Buying Cadbury will help Kraft sell more of its foods in developing countries. Moreover, chocolates and candies generate higher profit margins than Kraft’s packaged foods. Kraft will pay $19.4 billion in cash and stock. That’s 17.6% more than its initial offer of $16.5 billion. As well, Kraft raised the cash portion to 60% from 40%. The deal should close by mid-2010....
MCCORMICK & CO. INC. $38 (New York symbol MKC; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 130.9 million; Market cap: $5.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 2.7%; WSSF Rating: Average) is the world’s leading maker of spices, herbs, seasonings, flavourings, sauces and extracts. It sells its products to consumers, restaurants and industrial food processors. Its top brands include McCormick, Club House, Zatarain’s, Ducos and Schwartz. The company likes to increase its sales through acquisitions. In 2008, it paid $604 million for the Lawry’s and Adolph’s brands of marinades and seasonings. It also bought Canadian honey producer Billy Bee Honey Products Ltd. for $76.4 million. McCormick earned $75.1 million, or $0.57 a share, in its third quarter, which ended August 31, 2009. That’s up 9.5% from $68.6 million, or $0.52 a share, a year earlier. The company’s new businesses were the main reason for the gain....
CONAGRA FOODS INC. $23 (New York symbol CAG; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 443.4 million; Market cap: $10.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 3.5%; WSSF Rating: Above Average) makes a wide variety of packaged foods, including Chef Boyardee canned pasta, Hunt’s tomato sauce, Peter Pan peanut butter and Orville Redenbacher popcorn. The company gets 64% of its revenue by selling its products to consumers, so the company benefits as more people eat at home because of the slow economy. That has helped offset slower sales to businesses, such as restaurants, which account for the remaining 36% of its revenue. ConAgra continues to benefit from its plan to lower its annual costs by $250 million. These measures mainly include selling slow-growing, low-margin brands. Falling ingredient prices are also helping increase earnings....
DEL MONTE FOODS CO. $12 (New York symbol DLM, Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 198.2 million; Market cap: $2.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 1.7%; WSSF Rating: Average) makes canned fruits, vegetables, sauces and soups. The company also makes Meow Mix, 9Lives and Milk-Bone brand pet foods. The company earned $62.6 million in its second quarter, which ended November 1, 2009. That’s up 129.3% from $27.3 million a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 121.4%, to $0.31 from $0.14, on more shares outstanding. If you exclude a charge related to the early repayment of senior notes, Del Monte’s earnings would have risen to $0.36 a share in the latest quarter. Del Monte continues to cut costs and improve productivity. For example, it has moved some plants to cut the distance between them and reduce shipping costs. In all, Del Monte’s cost cuts lowered its expenses by $20 million in the latest quarter....