Although growth stock picks can be highly volatile, they can make good long-term investments. They may be well-known stars or quiet gems, but they do share one common attribute—they are growing at a higher-than-average rate within their industry, or within the market as a whole, and could keep growing for years or decades.
And keep in mind that we focus on growth stocks, which have a good long-term history and favourable prospects. We downplay momentum stocks that tend to attract many investors simply because they are moving faster than the market averages, but are liable to fall sharply when their momentum fades.
There’s room for growth stock investing in your portfolio, but make sure you follow our TSI Network three-part Successful Investor strategy for your overall portfolio:
- Invest mainly in well-established companies;
- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.
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In its fiscal 2015 third quarter, which ended October 26, 2014, Nvidia’s revenue rose 16.3%, to a record $1.2 billion from $1.1 billion a year earlier. Earnings jumped 43.3%, to $220.4 million from $153.8 million. The company spent $810.0 million on share buybacks in the past nine months. As a result, its earnings per share rose 50.0%, to $0.39 from $0.26.
Nvidia spends around 30% of its revenue on research, which is helping it expand into new areas, particularly chips for mobile devices. Its new Tegra chips now power Google’s new Nexus 9 tablet and Chromebook laptop computer. The company also recently launched its own tablet, called Shield, specifically for video game enthusiasts.
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Major takeover paid off
The company’s revenue rose 7.1%, from $54.3 billion in 2010 to $58.2 billion in 2011. In 2012, it paid $18.3 billion for North Carolina-based Goodrich Corp., which makes aircraft parts (such as landing gear, wheels and brakes) and maintains and fixes planes. However, it also sold smaller businesses, so its revenue fell 0.8%, to $57.7 billion, in 2012.
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The combined firm will be the world’s largest maker of ATMs, with 35% of the market and $5.2 billion in annual revenue. Diebold aims to close the deal in mid-2016.
The company plans to borrow $2.8 billion to pay for Wincor, which will increase its total debt to around $3.5 billion. However, it should save $160 million a year by eliminating overlapping operations, which will help it pay down this debt. It will also cut its dividend rate by 67%, from $1.15 to $0.38, which would yield 1.1%.
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Earnings rose 14.8%, to $374.5 million from $326.2 million. Per-share profits gained 18.5%, to $3.97 from $3.35, on fewer shares outstanding. For all of 2015, the company expects to earn $10.75 to $11.00 a share. However, the stock is expensive at 25.4 times the midpoint of that range.
Sherwin-Williams is a hold.
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The company now expects the cuts to save it $500 million annually by fiscal 2018 (fiscal years end August 31), up from its earlier target of $300 million. Monsanto earned $2.8 billion, or $5.73 a share, in fiscal 2015.
Monsanto is still a buy.
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Before unusual items, earnings fell 15.0%, to $432 million from $508 million. Due to more shares outstanding, per-share earnings fell 17.1%, to $2.52 from $3.04. That’s partly because Keysight raised its research spending by 7.2%, to $387 million (or 13.6% of revenue) from $361 million (or 12.3%).
The company aims to shift away from manufacturing testing equipment for electronic devices to more profitable businesses like software and services. However, its short-term outlook is weak, which is why the stock trades at just 12.0 times the $2.59 a share Keysight will probably earn in fiscal 2016.
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