How To Invest
In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.
Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.
If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)
If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.
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Attractive opportunities for short selling stocks come along from time to time, but it’s a hard way to make money. That’s because short sellers face a number of unique disadvantages that don’t apply to buyers. (See below for three risks to be aware of if you’re considering short selling stocks as an investment strategy.)
How short selling works
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Some investors follow a “sector rotation” approach to investing. That’s when you try to hop from sector to sector, underweighting or overweighting your holdings in certain sectors of the stock market depending on a forecast of the stage of the economic cycle, or other factors. This approach can work in any one year, say. However, it’s difficult if not impossible to produce consistent longer-term returns. Here are two reasons why:
- You need to guess right three times to profit in sector rotation: You have to pick the top sectors, then pick the stocks that will rise within those sectors, then sell before the sector stumbles. It’s virtually impossible to consistently succeed at all three over long periods. But that’s not the only problem with sector rotation.
- Sector rotation can overweight you in the worst-performing sectors: There are many theories about which sectors will outperform at any given stage of the economic cycle. But trying to pick winning sectors — and staying out of other sectors — seldom works over long periods. Investors who attempt to do so often wind up with heavy holdings in the worst-performing sectors. That would be devastating to your portfolio, even if you confine your investments to well-established companies.
A couple of our Successful Investor Wealth Management clients asked us about a Canadian real estate investing subject that can be sensitive for investors who are at or nearing retirement — when to sell the family home. The clients, a married couple, are both 59 and plan to begin collecting Canada Pension next year, at age 60. They recently sold their business and have a $450,000 investment portfolio. Their $700,000 home is mortgage-free and sits on 118 feet of lakefront in a vacation area north of Toronto. It’s a bigger home than they need, since their children are grown. They’ve thought about selling, though they’d prefer to stay put for a few years. Meanwhile, they hope their home will continue to appreciate. But they recognize that the boom in Canadian real estate investing won’t last forever, and that many baby boomers are also holding off on selling a larger-than-needed family home....
We display a price-to-sales or p/s ratio with every stock we cover in our newsletters, including our flagship publication, The Successful Investor. Price-to-sales is the ratio you get when you compare a stock’s price to its sales per share (you get sales per share by dividing total annual sales by the number of outstanding shares).
Treat financial ratios like price-to-sales as one tool among many
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Here are three common mistakes many investors make when selecting Canadian stock picks. All three can seriously hinder — or eliminate — your portfolio’s long-term profit potential. 1. Buying low-quality investments: Most of the bad deals in Canadian stock picks exhibit the usual tip-offs. For example, many lack a history of earnings or dividends. They may also spend way too much time publicizing themselves, and too little time building their businesses. To increase your stock market returns, we feel you should invest mainly in high-quality, dividend-paying companies. We also feel you should diversify by spreading your money out across the five main economic sectors (Resources & Commodities, Finance, Manufacturing & Industry, Utilities and Consumer)....
We designed our Successful Investor ratings (Highest Quality, Above Average, Average and Extra Risk) to help you quickly and easily identify the best investments for long term profits. These stocks have the asset size and investment quality to weather market downturns and changing industry conditions. You’ll find our rating next to each stock we recommend in our newsletters — including the safety-conscious stocks we recommend in Canadian Wealth Advisor, our newsletter for lower-risk investing. Here are three of the factors we consider when we assign a rating to a stock....
BCE INC. $30.07 (Toronto symbol BCE; Shares outstanding: 765.2 million; Market cap: $23.0 billion; SI Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 5.8%) provides telephone and Internet services in Ontario and Quebec. It also sells wireless and satellite-TV services across Canada. In 2009, BCE’s revenue rose 0.4%, to $17.74 billion from $17.66 billion in the prior year. Earnings before one-time items rose 6.5%, to $1.9 billion from $1.8 billion in the prior year. Per-share earnings rose 11.1%, to $2.50 from $2.25, on fewer shares outstanding. The Canadian wireless market is highly competitive. However, last year BCE bought the “The Source,” a 756-store home-electronics chain. That gives BCE a ready outlet to sell its products and services. As well, the company’s Virgin Mobile discount cellphone service is helping it attract younger, more cost-conscious users....
Our Successful Investor business model has two parts. We publish investment advice, and we manage investor portfolios. This two-business model has advantages for our subscribers. The stock market investing problems we encounter as money managers, and the solutions we come up with, help us give our readers unbiased, practical advice. This serves as a counterweight to advice you may encounter elsewhere that is based on misapplied theory, or tainted by conflicts of interest.
Selling half after a double is not always the best stock market investing strategy
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Every year, you gain an additional $5,000 of contribution room in your tax free savings account (TFSA). That means you have $10,000 of contribution room in 2010, rising to $15,000 in 2011, $20,000 in 2012 and so on. You also get to carry forward unused contribution room from previous years. Tax-free savings accounts let you earn investment income — including interest, dividends and capital gains — tax free. But unlike registered retirement savings plans (RRSPs), contributions to tax free savings accounts are not tax deductible. However, withdrawals from a TFSA are not taxed. Here are three tips you can use to make sure you’re getting the most profit — and tax benefits —from your tax free savings account:...
As part of our investing strategy, we put a lot of importance on the amount of goodwill that a company carries as an asset on its balance sheet. Goodwill is an accounting entry that reflects the price that the company paid for its acquisitions, minus the value of the tangible assets, like land and equipment, that it received as part of the acquisition. The term means “value as a going concern.” However, goodwill acquired in an unwise acquisition can lose value overnight. When that happens, the company has to write it off against earnings. At worst, the company might have to write off most, if not all, of its goodwill....