How To Invest
In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.
Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.
If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)
If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.
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Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on stock tips as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. We give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of the specific buy, hold and sell advice we offer you in our daily posts. Every week you get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “U.S. Stock Picks” on Thursday.
This week we had a question from an Inner Circle member about a Canadian seafood company whose stock has risen in recent months. Clearwater Seafoods has enjoyed strong financial results while benefiting from a positive outlook for seafood markets. Pat examines the factors behind the company’s strong showing. He also assesses Clearwater’s longer-term outlook in light of both rising global demand and stiff global competition.
Q: Pat: Can you offer any information or advice on the recent price rise and volume of Clearwater Seafoods on the TSX? Thanks.
A: Clearwater Seafoods (symbol CLR on Toronto; www.clearwater.ca) is one of North America’s largest seafood companies and the biggest holder of shellfish licenses and quotas in Canada.
The stock has risen on the company’s strong financial results and a positive outlook for its seafood markets.
...
This week we had a question from an Inner Circle member about a Canadian seafood company whose stock has risen in recent months. Clearwater Seafoods has enjoyed strong financial results while benefiting from a positive outlook for seafood markets. Pat examines the factors behind the company’s strong showing. He also assesses Clearwater’s longer-term outlook in light of both rising global demand and stiff global competition.
Q: Pat: Can you offer any information or advice on the recent price rise and volume of Clearwater Seafoods on the TSX? Thanks.
A: Clearwater Seafoods (symbol CLR on Toronto; www.clearwater.ca) is one of North America’s largest seafood companies and the biggest holder of shellfish licenses and quotas in Canada.
The stock has risen on the company’s strong financial results and a positive outlook for its seafood markets.
...
Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time.
Extendicare Inc. (symbol EXE on Toronto; www.extendicare.com) is one of North America’s largest retirement- and nursing-home operators. Its 259 long- and short-term senior-care facilities can house 28,401 residents.
The stock fell sharply in November 2014, from over $8, when Extendicare announced an agreement to sell most of its U.S. business for $870 million U.S. in a deal with two investment firms, Formation Capital and an affiliate of Safanad Inc.
These operations generated $868.9 million U.S. of revenue in the first nine months of 2014—more than half of Extendicare’s $1.6-billion U.S. total in that period.
The company will keep 10 nursing homes in the U.S. for now, but it intends to sell them. It will also hold on to two other U.S. businesses: Virtual Care Provider, which supplies computer support and consulting to long-term care providers, and Laurier Indemnity, which insures against liability risks.
...
Extendicare Inc. (symbol EXE on Toronto; www.extendicare.com) is one of North America’s largest retirement- and nursing-home operators. Its 259 long- and short-term senior-care facilities can house 28,401 residents.
The stock fell sharply in November 2014, from over $8, when Extendicare announced an agreement to sell most of its U.S. business for $870 million U.S. in a deal with two investment firms, Formation Capital and an affiliate of Safanad Inc.
These operations generated $868.9 million U.S. of revenue in the first nine months of 2014—more than half of Extendicare’s $1.6-billion U.S. total in that period.
The company will keep 10 nursing homes in the U.S. for now, but it intends to sell them. It will also hold on to two other U.S. businesses: Virtual Care Provider, which supplies computer support and consulting to long-term care providers, and Laurier Indemnity, which insures against liability risks.
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MANITOBA TELECOM $24.73 (Toronto symbol MBT; Shares outstanding: 78.1 million; Market cap: $1.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 6.9%; www.mts.ca) earned $0.31 a share in the three months ended December 31, 2014. That’s a big improvement over the year-earlier quarter, when writedowns and other unusual charges led to a loss of $1.25 a share. Overall revenue fell 0.9%, to $404.8 million from $408.5 million. The company is now conducting a strategic review to spur long-term profit growth. This could lead to asset sales or other moves, including cutting its $1.70-a-share dividend, which yields 6.9%....
IMPERIAL OIL $47.96 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $41.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.1%; www.imperialoil.ca) expects to spend $4.0 billion on capital projects in 2015, down 29.8% from $5.7 billion in 2014. Most of that will go toward expanding its 71%-owned Kearl oil sands project, as well as its Cold Lake oil sands property. These two projects will last decades, so the recent drop in oil prices will have little impact on their long-term prospects. Imperial Oil is a buy.
ENCANA CORP. $15.20 (Toronto symbol ECA; Shares outstanding: 741.1 million; Market cap: $11.6 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 2.3%; www.encana.com) produced 416,700 barrels a day (74% gas, 26% oil) in the three months ended December 31, 2014. That’s down 20.4% from 523,400 barrels a year earlier. As well, Encana’s realized gas prices, which include the benefit of hedging contracts, fell 4.1%, while oil prices declined 0.9%. As a result, the company’s cash flow per share fell 44.0%, to $0.51 from $0.91. Encana plans to spend $2.0 billion to $2.2 billion on new projects and upgrades in 2015, down from its earlier forecast of $2.7 billion. Even so, that’s more than its projected cash flow of $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion....
ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS EASTERN EUROPE INDEX FUND $17.39 (New York symbol ESR; buy or sell through brokers) has 65.6% of its assets invested in Russia, followed by Poland at 27.2%; Czech Republic, 3.6%; and Hungary, 3.2%. The fund’s top holdings are Gazprom (Russia: gas utility), 13.4%; Lukoil (Russia: oil), 11.2%; Magnit PJSC (Russia: retailing), 5.7%; Sberbank (Russia: bank), 5.3%; MMC Norilsk Nickel (Russia: mining), 4.5%; and Novatek (Russia: natural gas), 3.5%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Eastern Europe Index Fund’s expense ratio is 0.67%....
ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL INDEX FUND $33.26 (New York symbol EWZ; buy or sell through brokers) is an ETF that is designed to track the Brazilian stock market. Its top holdings are Cia Itau Unibanco Holding (banking), 10.3%; AmBev SA (beer and beverages), 8.6%; Banco Brandesco SA, 8.0%; Petrobras (oil and gas), 6.3%; Vale do Rio Doce (mining), 5.6%; BRF SA (food), 4.6%; and Cielo SA (payment processing), 3.4%. The ETF was launched on July 10, 2000. It has a 0.62% expense ratio....
ISHARES MSCI CHILE INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND $40.95 (New York symbol ECH; buy or sell through brokers) is an ETF that aims to track the MSCI Chile Investable Market Index, which consists of stocks that mainly trade on the Santiago Stock Exchange. The fund’s top holdings are S.A.C.I. Falabella (retail), 10.6%; Enersis SA (electricity), 9.6%; Empresas Copec SA (conglomerate), 7.9%; Empresa Nacional de Electricidad (electricity), 7.2%; LATAM Airlines, 5.0%; Banco Santander Chile (banking), 4.9%; Empresas CMPC (pulp and paper), 4.9%; Banco de Chile, 4.4%; Cencosud SA (retailer), 4.2%; and Quimica y Minera de Chile (mining), 4.1%. The fund’s industry breakdown is: Utilities, 28.3%; Financials, 18.1%; Materials, 11.8%; Consumer Discretionary, 11.4%; Consumer Staples, 9.3%; Industrials, 8.2%; Energy, 7.7%; Telecommunications, 2.2%; and Information Technology, 2.2%....
ISHARES MSCI GERMANY FUND $29.42 (New York symbol EWG; buy or sell through brokers) tracks the stocks in the MSCI Germany Index. This index aims to replicate 85% of the market capitalization of the German stock market. The remaining 15% is unavailable for investment, partly due to limitations on foreign ownership. The ETF’s top holdings are Bayer (diversified chemicals), 9.9%; Daimler (autos), 7.5%; BASF (chemicals), 7.3%; Siemens (engineering conglomerate), 7.9%; Allianz (insurance), 8.2%; SAP (software), 5.3%; Deutsche Telekom, 4.7%; Deutsche Bank AG, 3.7%; BMW AG, 3.4%; and Volkswagen AG, 3.1%....
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on buying stocks as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. We give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of the specific buy, hold and sell advice we offer you in our daily posts. Every week you get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “U.S. Stock Picks” on Thursday. This week an Inner Circle member asked about a company whose rental trucks are a familiar sight on North American highways. Ryder System makes the bulk of its revenue leasing truck fleets under long-term deals. It extends its service to helping clients manage warehousing and distribution. The company has also entered into a venture with a clean energy firm to develop a truck to run on compressed natural gas, potentially a money-saver when gasoline prices are higher. Pat examines the company’s financial situation and assesses its growth prospects. ...
