Search

CANADIAN UTILITIES LTD. (Toronto symbols CU [class A non-voting] $39 and CU.X [class B voting] $39; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 262.8 million; Market cap: $10.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.9; Dividend yield: 2.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www. canadianutilities.com) distributes electricity and natural gas in Alberta and Australia. It also operates 18 power plants in Canada, Australia and the U.K. ATCO Ltd. (see page 84) owns 53.2% of the company.

Canadian Utilities continues to invest in projects that will make Alberta’s electricity grid more reliable. For example, it is building 355 kilometres of new transmission lines and substations in the province’s southeast. So far, the company has spent $1.3 billion on this $1.8-billion project. It should begin operating in early 2015.

In all, Canadian Utilities expects to spend $5.5 billion on upgrades to its power lines and pipelines in Alberta between 2014 and 2016. These improvements will help it take advantage of rising electricity demand from oil sands projects.

...

ATCO LTD. (Toronto symbols ACO.X [class I non-voting] $48 and ACO.Y [class II voting] $48; Income Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 115.3 million; Market cap: $5.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.atco.com) holds 53.2% of Canadian Utilities (see page 85). It also owns 75.5% of ATCO Structures & Logistics, which builds temporary buildings for construction and energyexploration firms; Canadian Utilities owns the remaining 24.5%.

The company recently agreed to sell its information technology subsidiaries in Canada and Australia. These businesses provide computer support, billing, payment processing and related services to ATCO’s other subsidiaries, as well as outside clients.

The buyer, Wipro Ltd., will pay $210 million when the sale closes later this year. In addition, Wipro will provide computer support and related services to ATCO under a new 10-year contract.

...

BCE INC. $48 (Toronto symbol BCE; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 778.3 million; Market cap: $37.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 5.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.bce.ca) has agreed to pay $3.95 billion in cash and stock for the 56% of BELL ALIANT INC. $31 (Toronto symbol BA; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 227.8 million; Market cap: $7.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.6; Dividend yield: 6.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bellaliant.ca) that it doesn’t already own.

Bell Aliant investors have three options: $31.00 in cash; 0.6371 of a BCE share; or $7.75 in cash plus 0.4778 of a BCE share. BCE will cap the cash portion at 25% of the total payout.

We recommend the all-stock option. That way, you can defer capital gains taxes on the BCE shares you get. However, if adding more shares would push up your BCE holdings to more than, say, 10% of your portfolio, you should select the all-cash option.

...

HOME CAPITAL GROUP INC. $55 (Toronto symbol HCG; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 70.1 million; Market cap; $3.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.0; Dividend yield: 1.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www. homecapital.com) gets 90% of its revenue by offering mortgages to borrowers who don’t meet the stricter standards of larger, traditional lenders, like banks. Clients include self-employed people and recent immigrants with limited credit histories.

The remaining 10% of its revenue mainly comes from credit cards and other loans to consumers and businesses.

Today’s low interest rates continue to fuel strong real estate sales, particularly in cities like Toronto and Vancouver. However, a rate increase would undoubtedly slow sales—and mortgage demand. A sudden drop in home prices could also force some borrowers to stop repaying their loans.

...

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ GREAT-WEST LIFECO INC. $32 (Toronto symbol GWO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 998.9 million; Market cap: $32.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend Yield: 3.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.greatwestlifeco.com) is Canada’s secondlargest insurance company after Manulife Financial (Toronto symbol MFC). It also offers mutual funds, retirement planning and wealth management. Power Financial (Toronto symbol PWF) owns 67.0% of Great-West.

As of June 30, 2014, the company had $804.6 billion of assets under administration, up 6.1% from the start of the year.

...

MANITOBA TELECOM $30.63 (Toronto symbol MBT; Shares outstanding: 77.4 million; Market cap: $2.4 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 5.6%; www.mts.ca) jumped to just over $33 in response to BCE’s plan to buy 100% of Bell Aliant (see box on page 57). Investors believed Manitoba Telecom could also become a takeover target.

However, as part of the company’s 1997 privatization, the Manitoba government limits any single shareholder’s ownership to 20%. The shares have since moved down to where they were before BCE’s announcement.

Manitoba Telecom is still a hold.

...

TORSTAR $7.59 (Toronto symbol TS.B; Shares outstanding: 79.9 million; Market cap: $608.2 million; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 6.9%; www.torstar.com) reports that in the quarter ended June 30, 2014, revenue fell 7.4%, to $225.6 million from $243.6 million. Earnings per share fell 4.8%, to $0.20 from $0.21.

Torstar is still deciding what to do with the $455 million in cash from the sale of its Harlequin book-publishing subsidiary.

The company will use some of the funds to pay down its $180.8-million debt. But with sales and earnings still weakening as the slow economy hurts advertising revenue at its newspapers, it’s unlikely to reinvest much of the remaining cash in its newspaper operations. Instead, Torstar will probably focus on businesses with more growth potential, including web sites it owns, or perhaps new acquisitions.

...

GEORGE WESTON LTD. $87.68 (Toronto symbol WN; Shares outstanding: 128.1 million; Market cap: $11.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 1.9%) makes a number of products through Weston Foods. Its businesses include fresh and frozen bakery and cookie operations in Canada and facilities that make frozen bakery items, biscuits, cookies, cones and wafers in the U.S. Weston also owns 46% of Loblaw (see left).

In the quarter ended June 14, 2014, Weston’s revenue rose 36.0%, to $10.6 billion from $7.8 billion a year earlier. Excluding Shoppers Drug Mart’s contribution to Loblaw’s sales, Weston’s revenue rose 2.5%.

Without one-time items, earnings per share gained 16.7%, to $1.26 from $1.08. A bigger contribution from Loblaw offset weaker results at Weston Foods due to higher commodity prices and plant start-up costs.

...

LOBLAW COMPANIES $53.05 (Toronto symbol L; Shares outstanding: 413.9 million; Market cap: $21.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 1.9%; www.loblaw.ca) is Canada’s largest food retailer, with about 1,200 stores. Its banners include Loblaws, Provigo, Fortinos, Real Canadian Superstore and No Frills.

In March 2014, the company completed the acquisition of the 1,250-store Shoppers Drug Mart chain. Loblaw paid $12.3 billion; $6.6 billion in cash and $5.7 billion in Loblaw common shares.

Loblaw’s parent company, George Weston Ltd. (see below), helped it pay for Shoppers by purchasing $500 million of new Loblaw shares. Due to the extra shares outstanding, Weston now owns 46% of Loblaw, down from 63% before the acquisition.

...

ENBRIDGE INC. $53.46 (Toronto symbol ENB; Shares outstanding: 834.8 million; Market cap: $45.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividendyield: 2.6%; www.enbridge.com) recently won Ottawa’s approval for its Northern Gateway pipeline.

The project faces strong opposition from environmentalists and First Nations. As well, the Supreme Court recently issued a ruling that makes it easier for aboriginal groups to claim title to their traditional lands.

However, Enbridge does not expect the ruling to block Northern Gateway. There are no land claims along the pipeline’s route, and the company has signed equity-sharing deals with 26 First Nations.

...

INNERGEX RENEWABLE ENERGY $10.66 (Toronto symbol INE; Shares outstanding: 100.1 million; Market cap: $1.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield 5.6%; www.innergex.com) operates 25 hydroelectric plants, six wind farms and one solar power facility in Quebec, Ontario, B.C. and Idaho. Innergex gets 73% of its power from hydroelectric plants. Wind supplies 26%, and solar generates 1%.

In contrast to Brookfield Renewable, Innergex is growing slowly, mostly by building its own hydroelectric and wind facilities, rather than through acquisitions. Right now, it is developing or building five projects.

But like Brookfield, Innergex makes sure it has firm long-term power-purchase contracts in place before it starts building new facilities.

...

BROOKFIELD RENEWABLE ENERGY PARTNERS L.P. $31.75 (Toronto symbol BEP.UN; Units outstanding: 265.2 million; Market cap: $8.3 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 5.5%; www.brpfund.com) owns 196 hydroelectric generating stations, 11 wind farms and two natural-gas-fired plants. In all, it has 6,500 megawatts of generating capacity.

Roughly 31% of that capacity is in Canada, with another 52% in the U.S. and 17% in Brazil.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2014, revenue fell 2.1%, to $474 million from $484 million a year earlier. However, cash flow gained 5.9%, to $198 million, or $0.74 a share, from $187 million, or $0.71. The increase was due to the contribution of new acquisitions.

...

CANADIAN PACIFIC $202.20 (Toronto symbol CP; Shares outstanding: 175.1 million; Market cap: $35.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 0.7%; www.cpr.ca) reports that its earnings jumped 47.2% in the three months ended June 30, 2014, to $371 million, or $2.11 a share. A year earlier, the company earned $252 million, or $1.43 a share.

The higher earnings mainly resulted from CP’s plan to improve its efficiency with new locomotives, better tracks and software that optimizes train loads and speeds. Revenue rose 12.3%, to $1.7 billion from $1.5 billion.

The company’s operating ratio improved to 65.1% from 71.9% a year ago. (Operating ratio is calculated by dividing regular operating costs by revenue. The lower the ratio, the better.) CP now feels it can cut its full-year operating ratio to 63% or lower in 2014.

...

MARKET VECTORS VIETNAM ETF $21.48 (New York symbol VNM; buy or sell through brokers) holds shares of Vietnamese companies or foreign firms that get a significant amount of their revenue from Vietnam.

The ETF’s top holdings are Saigon Thuong Tin Commercial Bank, 7.8%; Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, 7.4%; Masan Group (food, resources and banking conglomerate), 7.3%; Vincom Corp. (real estate), 6.3%; PetroVietnam Fertilizer & Chemical, 5.7%; Baoviet Holdings (finance and insurance), 5.6%; and PetroVietnam Technical Services (oilfield services), 5.4%.

Market Vectors Vietnam ETF’s industry breakdown is as follows: Financials, 35.8%; Energy, 23.4%; Industrials, 12.6%; Consumer Staples, 11.6%; Consumer Discretionary, 8.3%; Materials, 5.7%; and Utilities, 1.3%. Its expense ratio is 0.72%.

...

ISHARES FTSE/XINHUA CHINA 25 INDEX FUND $40.21 (New York symbol FXI; buy or sell through brokers) is an exchange traded fund that aims to track the FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index, which is made up of the 25 largest, most liquid Chinese stocks. All of the stocks in the index trade on the Hong Kong exchange. Some also trade as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on New York.

The fund’s top holdings are Tencent Holdings, 10.2%; China Construction Bank, 8.4%; China Mobile, 8.3%; Industrial & Commercial Bank, 6.9%; Bank of China, 5.4%; China Overseas Land & Investment, 4.3%; China Life, 4.0%; Ping An Insurance, 4.0%; China Shenhua Energy, 3.9%; PetroChina, 4.2%; China Merchants Bank, 3.7%; and CNOOC Ltd., 3.7%.

The fund’s holdings give it the following industry breakdown: Financials, 54.1%; Telecommunications, 14.4%; Oil and Gas, 12.1%; Technology, 10.1%; Basic Materials, 4.0%; Industrials, 1.8%; and Consumer Goods, 1.7%. Its expense ratio is 0.73%.

...

PENN WEST $8.14 (Toronto symbol PWT; Shares outstanding: 492.6 million; Market cap: $4.0 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Divd. yield: 6.9%; www.pennwest.com) appointed former Suncor CEO Rick George as chairman in May 2013 to bring in much-needed measures to shore up its finances and boost its value.

The company’s shares traded at $10 when George took over, down from a peak of $47 in 2006. The shares moved up to as high as $13.50 last year, but had moved back down to $10 in mid-July 2014. That’s when they dropped a further 19%, to today’s price, after the company announced it was re-examining its
accounting practices going back several years.

...

CENOVUS ENERGY $33.41 (Toronto symbol CVE; Shares outstanding: 756.9 million; Market cap: $25.3 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 3.2%; www.cenovus.com) gets 40% of its output from its Alberta oil sands projects. Conventional oil and gas supplies 60%.

U.S.-based ConocoPhillips (New York symbol COP) owns 50% of Cenovus’s main Foster Creek and Christina Lake oil sands projects.

In the quarter ended June 30, 2014, cash flow per share jumped 36.5%, to $1.57 from $1.15 a year ago.

...

ENCANA CORP. $22.86 (Toronto symbol ECA; Shares outstanding: 741.0 million; Market cap: $16.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.3%; www.encana.com) is one of North America’s largest natural gas producers.

Encana continues to benefit from its new plan to focus on six main properties: Montney (B.C.), Duvernay (Alberta), DJ Basin (Colorado), San Juan Basin (New Mexico), the Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (Louisiana) and Texas’s Eagle Ford oil shale.

These fields produce oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), such as butane and propane, and should last decades. That cuts Encana’s natural gas exposure.

...

IMPERIAL OIL $54.20 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $45.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Div. yield: 1.0%; www.imperialoil.ca) recently opened the first phase of its massive Kearl oil sands project in Alberta, and the second phase should start up next year. This project will help the company double its production, to 600,000 barrels a day, by 2020.

Oil sands projects are harder to operate than conventional properties, and they need high oil prices to earn a profit. However, Imperial’s refineries help shield it from a drop in oil prices because they pay less for the crude they need.

The stock trades at a moderate 12.2 times Imperial’s likely 2014 earnings of $4.45 a share.

...

ISHARES DEX UNIVERSE BOND INDEX FUND $31.05 (CWA Rating: Income) (Toronto symbol XBB; buy or sell through brokers) mirrors the performance of the DEX Universe Bond Index. The 821 bonds in the portfolio have an average term-to-maturity of 10.13 years. The fund’s MER is 0.33%.

The bonds in the index are 68.2% government and 31.8% corporate.

The fund yields 3.1%, compared to the Short-Term Bond Fund’s 2.6%. Its yield-to-maturity is 2.37%, 0.79% above the Short-Term Fund. That reflects the added risk of holding long-term bonds.

...

ISHARES DEX SHORT-TERM BOND INDEX FUND $28.63 (CWA Rating: Income) (Toronto symbol XSB; buy or sell through brokers) mirrors the performance of the DEX Short-Term Bond Index.

This index consists of a wide range of investmentgrade federal, provincial, municipal and corporate bonds with between one- and five-year terms to maturity. The fund holds 386 bonds with an average term to maturity of 2.98 years. The bonds in the index are 60.7% government and 39.3% corporate. The fund’s MER is 0.28%.

iShares DEX Short-Term Bond Index Fund yields 2.6%. However, this high yield is due to the fact that some of the fund’s bonds pay above-market interest rates. As a result, they trade above their face value. When these bonds mature, holders will only get the bonds’ face value, which means the portfolio will incur predictable capital losses. These losses will offset some of the appeal of the above-market yields.

...

BCE INC. $48.88 (Toronto symbol BCE; Shares outstanding: 777.3 million; Market cap: $38.0 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 5.1%; www.bce.ca) has agreed to pay $3.95 billion in cash and stock for the 56% of BELL ALIANT $30.88 (Toronto symbol BA; Shares outstanding: 227.8 million; Market cap: $7.0 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 6.2%; www.bellaliant.ca) that it doesn’t already own. The deal should close by November 30, 2014.

Merging the two firms will make it easier for BCE to expand its high-speed wireless and Fibe TV networks in Atlantic Canada.

Bell Aliant shareholders will have three options when they tender their shares: $31.00 in cash; 0.6371 of a BCE share (worth $31.14 at today’s price for BCE); or $7.75 in cash plus 0.4778 of a BCE share ($31.10).

...

TRANSCANADA CORP. $54.00 (Toronto symbol TRP; Shares outstanding: 708.0 million; Market cap: $38.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Dividend yield: 3.6%; www.transcanada.com) operates 68,500 kilometres of natural gas pipelines and over 11,800 megawatts of power generation in Canada and the U.S.

In the three months ended June 30, 2014, TransCanada’s revenue rose 11.2%, to $2.2 billion from $2.0 billion a year earlier. Excluding one-time items, earnings per share fell 7.8%, to $0.47 from $0.51. That was mostly due to maintenance outages at its Bruce Power plant in Ontario and weaker power prices in Alberta.

The company completed $6.1 billion worth of growth projects in 2013 and another $1.7 billion in the first half of this year. It plans to complete $36 billion of additional projects secured by long-term contracts by 2018 (an amount almost equal to its current $38.2-billion market cap). That includes $3.0 billion more for Keystone XL.

...

Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for advice on specific stocks, as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week we offer you a report on one of the stocks profiled in these Q&A sessions. Beginning this week, we give you Pat’s buy-hold-sell recommendation as well as his analysis of the stock. This is part of our new approach offering you regular and specific buy, hold and sell advice in our daily posts. Every week you’ll get “A Stock to Sell” on Monday, “Best Canadian Stocks” on Tuesday, and “Our Top U.S. Stocks” on Thursday. This week we had a question from an Inner Circle member about one of the lesser-known tech stocks that makes it money by supplying an essential component to the giants of the industry. InvenSense makes chips that track motion, and its clients include such well-known names as Amazon. Samsung and Google. Now it appears that Apple will become a key customer. Pat examines the details of the projected deal with Apple and its impact on the company’s prospects. Q: Hi Pat: I was wondering, what are your thoughts on InvenSense? Thanks....

Every Thursday we bring you “Best U.S. Stocks.” You get our specific recommendation on the stocks we profile, with a full explanation of how we arrived at our opinion. You will read about stocks making moves you should know about, from coverage in our newsletter on U.S. investing, Wall Street Stock Forecaster. MOTOROLA SOLUTIONS INC. (New York symbol MSI; www.motorolasolutions.com) took its current form on January 4, 2011, when the old Motorola Inc. spun off its struggling cellphone business, Motorola Mobility, as a separate firm. The remaining operations became Motorola Solutions after the breakup. The company makes specialized communications equipment, such as radios for police and fire vehicles. Government clients account for about 70% of its revenue....