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CHESAPEAKE ENERGY $27.30 (New York symbol CHK; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (405-848-8000; www.chkenergy.com; Shares outstanding: 665.5 million; Market cap: $18.1 billion; Dividend yield: 1.3%) is up 9% since August 19, when activist investor Carl Icahn revealed that he had increased his stake in the company to 9.98% from 8.98%.

Icahn has a long history of pushing companies to make changes that have increased shareholder value.

He first acquired a stake in Chesapeake in May 2012. Since then, he has successfully pressured the company to replace four of its eight board members with his nominees. Most recently, four of Chesapeake’s top executives left as part of an ongoing reorganization. That’s in addition to co-founder and former CEO Aubrey McClendon, who departed in April, and two senior vicepresidents who left in May.
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CIMAREX ENERGY $91.50 (New York symbol XEC; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (303-295-3995; www.cimarex.com; Shares outstanding: 86.5 million; Market cap: $7.9 billion; Dividend yield: 0.6%) produces and explores for natural gas and oil. Gas makes up 49% of its output. Cimarex’s properties are in the Mid-Continent region of the U.S., which includes Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas (50% of production); the Permian Basin of western Texas and southeastern New Mexico (47%); and the Texas Gulf Coast (3%).

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Cimarex’s production averaged 686.8 million cubic feet of natural gas equivalent per day (including oil).

That’s up 16.4% from 590.1 million cubic feet a year earlier. Thanks to the higher production and increased oil and gas prices, Cimarex’s cash flow per share jumped 42.9%, to $4.00 from $2.80.
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DEVON ENERGY CORP. $59.82 (New York symbol DVN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (405-235- 3611; www.dvn.com; Shares outstanding: 406.0 million; Market cap: $23.9 billion; Dividend yield: 1.5%) is one of the largest U.S.-based oil and natural gas explorers and producers. Its production mix is 58% gas and 42% oil.

In 2011, Devon sold all of its international and Gulf of Mexico properties, which it saw as risky and expensive to develop. The company is now focused on its North American projects, which include conventional production, shale oil in Texas and oil sands in Alberta.

Devon is now further tightening its focus by selling its natural gas gathering and processing assets for $300 million to $500 million.
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strong>AEROPOSTALE $10.08 (New York symbol ARO; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (646- 485-5410; www.aeropostale.com; Shares outstanding: 78.5 million; Market cap: $798.2 million; No dividends paid) reported sales of $454.0 million in the three months ended August 3, 2013. That was down 6.4% from $485.3 million a year earlier. Same-store sales declined 15%.

The slow U.S. economy has increased the unemployment rate among teens, which has hurt sales at most teen-focused retailers. Aeropostale lost $0.34 a share in the latest quarter, compared to nil per share a year earlier.

The company now has a new product development team in place, which should let it better react to changes in teenage fashion trends. Aeropostale will likely be able to repeat its past success at attracting customers, but its sales may remain weak in the near term.
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COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP $24.00 (Toronto symbol CMG; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-531-1300; www.cmgroup.com; Shares outstanding: 38.5 million; Market cap: $943.5 million; Dividend yield: 3.0%) sells consulting services and software that help oil and gas producers use advanced recovery techniques to get more out of their existing wells. It has customers in over 50 countries and offices in Calgary, Houston, London, Caracas, Bogota, Kuala Lumpur and Dubai.

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Computer Modelling’s revenue rose 10.0%, to $18.1 million from $16.5 million a year earlier. Software licence sales increased, as did consulting and professional services revenue. Earnings rose 16.3%, to $7.1 million from $6.1 million. Per-share earnings gained 18.8%, to $0.19 from $0.16, on fewer shares outstanding.

Computer Modelling holds cash of $63.1 million, or $1.66 a share, and has no debt. It spent $3.5 million, or a high 19.2% of its revenue, on research in the latest quarter.
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PASON SYSTEMS $21.70 (Toronto symbol PSI; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-301-3400; www.pason.com; Shares outstanding: 82.1 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Dividend yield: 2.4%) rents equipment for monitoring and managing oil and gas rigs. It also sells communication technology, such as its satellite system, which companies use to remotely collect data from their drilling operations. Pason serves oil and gas producers and drilling contractors throughout Canada, the U.S., Mexico, Argentina and Australia.

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Pason’s revenue fell 2.1%, to $82.4 million from $84.1 million a year earlier. Less drilling in the U.S. and Canada offset strong international sales. Still, cash flow per share rose 5.1%, to $0.62 from $0.59. That’s because the company cut costs at its U.S. operations, which account for 71% of its revenue.

Pason holds cash of $195.4 million, or $2.38 a share, and has no debt.
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NISSAN MOTOR (ADR) $20.55 (Nasdaq symbol NSANY; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average) (310-771-3111; www.nissan-global.com; Shares outstanding: 2.3 billion; Market cap: $45.2 billion; No dividends paid) plans to make multiple models of self-driving vehicles by 2020.

The technology will include laser scanners, cameras and advanced artificial intelligence. The system is an extension of Nissan’s current Safety Shield technology, which monitors a 360-degree area around the vehicle, warns the driver of risks and takes action if necessary. The technology can also be integrated with a standard in-car navigation system, so the vehicle knows which turns to take to reach its destination.

The company believes it will only cost $1,000 to add self-driving technology to a luxury sedan. It hopes the system will cut the number of accidents and free up the driver’s time for more productive uses.
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ADOBE SYSTEMS $52.58 (Nasdaq symbol ADBE; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (408-536-6000; www.adobe.com; Shares outstanding: 502.3 million; Market cap: $24.2 billion; No dividends paid) makes software that lets computer users create, edit and share documents in the popular PDF format. As well, graphic designers use its software to create print publications and web pages.

In the three months ended August 30, 2013, Adobe’s revenue fell 7.9%, to $995.1 million from $1.1 billion. That missed the consensus estimate of $1.01 billion.

Excluding one-time items, Adobe’s earnings fell 43.5% in the latest quarter, to $164.4 million, or $0.32 a share, from $291.2 million, or $0.58 a share, a year earlier. That’s because the company’s costs rose sharply as it transitions to selling its software as a subscription service instead of a one-time purchase. The latest earnings missed the consensus estimate of $0.34 a share.
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FAIR ISAAC CORP. $54.42 (New York symbol FICO; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (415-472-2211; www.fairisaac.com; Shares outstanding: 35.2 million; Market cap: $1.9 billion; Dividend yield: 0.2%) makes FICO Scores, the computer program that dominates the market for software that businesses use to evaluate customer creditworthiness. The company is also profiting by selling software that helps credit card issuers control fraud and analyze cardholders’ spending patterns.

In its fiscal 2013 third quarter, which ended June 30, 2013, Fair Isaac’s earnings per share before onetime items rose 9.6% from a year ago, to $0.80 from $0.73. Revenue gained 14.5%, to $183.8 million from $160.5 million.

Fair Isaac continues to spend around 9% of its revenue on research. That lets it keep producing innovative new products that help it stay ahead of its competitors.
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DOREL INDUSTRIES $39.39 (Toronto symbol DII.B; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (514-731- 0000; www.dorel.com; Shares outstanding: 31.5 million; Market cap: $1.2 billion; Dividend yield: 3.2%) has agreed to buy 70% of Caloi, Brazil’s largest bicycle company, for an undisclosed sum.

Established in 1898, Caloi is one of the world’s oldest bicycle makers. It is also Latin America’s top-selling bicycle brand and the leader in the Brazilian market.

Caloi’s plant in the Brazilian city of Manaus is the largest bicycle manufacturing facility outside Southeast Asia.

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SYMANTEC CORP. $25.36 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (1-408-517-8000; www.symantec.com; Shares outstanding: 698.6 million; Market cap: $17.7 billion; Dividend yield: 2.4%) sells computer security technology, including anti-virus and email-filtering software, to businesses and consumers. It also offers data-archiving software.

In Symantec’s fiscal 2014 first quarter, which ended June 28, 2013, its revenue rose 2.5%, to $1.75 billion from $1.68 billion a year earlier. The company is doing a good job of selling its products as ongoing subscriptions instead of one-time purchases. Subscriptions now account for 45% of its revenue, up from 44% a year ago.

Earnings per share rose 7.3%, to $0.44 from $0.41. That easily beat the consensus estimate of $0.36.
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Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a beginning or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific investment tips and stock market advice. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental piece of investment advice, and shows you how you can put it into practice right away. Today’s tip: “Dividend Reinvestment Plans have attractive features, but they shouldn’t be the sole reason you invest in a stock—or limit yourself to a portfolio of DRIPs.”...

NORDSTROM INC. (New York symbol JWN; www.nordstrom.com) mainly sells clothing, accessories and footwear. The company owns and operates 248 stores in 33 states. In the second quarter of its 2014 fiscal year, which ended August 3, 2013, Nordstrom’s sales rose 6.3%, to $3.2 billion from $3.0 billion a year earlier. Same-store sales rose 4.2% on strong demand for men’s apparel, men’s shoes and children’s clothing. Online sales jumped 37%....

“Calling the market” is a seductive but potentially destructive activity for those who make a living by advising people about where and how to invest their money. A few good calls on where the stock market is going can establish an advisor’s reputation for a decade or longer—if those calls happen to catch the attention of investors. But the funny thing is that among people who make a habit of calling the market, everybody has had at least a few good calls. The ones you never hear of just didn’t have the good fortune to get noticed by investors while making a good call....

Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on Canadian stocks and other investments as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for members of Pat’s Inner Circle....

FORTIS INC. $31 (www.fortis.com) recently completed its purchase of CH Energy, which distributes power in New York State. If you exclude costs related to this purchase and other unusual items, Fortis’s earnings fell 11.1% in the second quarter of 2013, to $0.32 a share from $0.36. Hold.

MANITOBA TELECOM SERVICES LTD. $33 (www.mts.ca) recently agreed to sell its Allstream subsidiary, which provides integrated telephone, Internet and other communication services to over 50,000 businesses across Canada. Manitoba Telecom will get $405 million when the sale closes later this year....

PENGROWTH ENERGY CORP. $5.90 (Toronto symbol PGF; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 517.7 million; Market cap: $3.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.9; Dividend yield: 8.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.pengrowth.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada and off the Nova Scotia coast. Gas accounts for about 60% of its production; the other 40% is oil.

Rising shale gas production in Canada and the U.S. increased supplies and cut prices from $8.19 per thousand cubic feet in 2008 to $2.38 in 2012. As a result, Pengrowth’s cash flow per share fell 67.1%, from $3.65 in 2008 to $1.20 in 2012.

Due to writedowns and other unusual items, Pengrowth’s earnings have been erratic. Earnings dropped from $1.58 a share (or a total of $395.9 million) in 2008 to $0.32 a share (or $84.9 million) in 2009. Earnings rebounded to $0.76 a share (or $230.3 million) in 2010 but fell to just $0.03 a share (or $12.7 million) in 2012.
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CAE INC. $11 (Toronto symbol CAE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 261.0 million; Market cap: $2.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 1.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cae.com) has won a contract from the U.S. Air Force to train pilots to operate Predator and Reaper remotely piloted aircraft (also called drones).

This five-year deal is worth $100 million U.S. That’s small next to CAE’s annual revenue of $2.1 billion (Canadian). However, this deal should help the company win more training contracts, particularly as the U.S. military uses more drones instead of costly manned fighters.

CAE is a buy....

FINNING INTERNATIONAL INC. $22 (Toronto symbol FTT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 171.9 million; Market cap: $3.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 2.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.finning.com) sells and services heavy equipment made by U.S.-based Caterpillar Inc. (New York symbol CAT). Its main customers are in the oil, mining, forest products and construction industries.

Lower prices for copper and other commodities are prompting mining companies to cut back on equipment purchases. As a result, Finning’s revenue fell 8.2% in the three months ended June 30, 2013, to $1.6 billion from $1.8 billion a year earlier. Flooding in Alberta also delayed some deliveries. However, demand remains strong in South America. Earnings fell 2.2%, to $0.45 a share from $0.46.

The company’s long-term prospects remain bright. Weak commodity prices will probably prompt Finning’s clients to make their current gear last longer. That should spur demand for its repair and maintenance services, which now supply 50% of its revenue. Finning also earns higher profit margins from services than selling new equipment.
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ENBRIDGE INC. $43 (Toronto symbol ENB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 826.0 million; Market cap: $35.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.enbridge.com) is extending its Woodland pipeline, which will let it pump more bitumen from the recently opened Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta to refineries and other pipelines in Edmonton. Imperial Oil (see above) owns 71% of Kearl; Exxon owns the remaining 29%.

The company will spend $1.3 billion on this project, which should begin operating in the third quarter of 2015.

Enbridge is a buy.
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IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $42 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth Portfolio; Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 848.0 million; Market cap: $35.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 1.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) has teamed up with its parent company, ExxonMobil Corp. (New York symbol XOM), to buy 226,000 acres of undeveloped oil sands properties near Fort McMurray, Alberta. (Exxon owns 69.9% of Imperial.)

Imperial will hold 27.5% of these properties, while Exxon will own the remaining 72.5%. Imperial’s share of the $751-million cost is $206.5 million. That’s equal to 63% of the $327 million, or $0.38 a share, that the company earned in the second quarter of 2013.

Purchases like this will help Imperial increase its daily production from 276,000 barrels of oil equivalent (including gas) in the latest quarter to 600,000 barrels by 2020.
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BELL ALIANT INC. $27 (Toronto symbol BA, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 229.1 million; Market cap: $6.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 7.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bellaliant.ca) sells telephone and Internet services to 2.4 million customers in Atlantic Canada and rural parts of Ontario and Quebec. It also sells wireless services through an alliance with BCE (see left).

The company continues to replace its copper-wire cables with fibre optic lines. That’s letting it sell more high-speed Internet and digital TV services, which is offsetting falling demand for land lines. (Traditional phones still supply 52% of its overall revenue.)

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Bell Aliant’s revenue rose 0.6%, to $691.8 million from $687.7 million a year ago. Earnings fell 10.8%, to $0.66 a share from $0.74. If you exclude a charge related to an early debt repayment and other unusual items, per-share earnings would have fallen 4.9%, to $0.39 from $0.41.

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SNC-LAVALIN GROUP INC. $41 (Toronto symbol SNC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 151.6 million; Market cap: $6.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.snclavalin.com) replaced most of its senior management following the discovery of $56 million U.S. in unusual payments it made in 2011 to help win Libyan construction contracts. SNC has also strengthened its oversight and compliance procedures in response to allegations that it used bribes to win certain contracts in Quebec.

These issues haven’t stopped the company from winning new deals. For example, MEG Energy (Toronto symbol MEG) recently hired SNC to design a new processing facility at its oil sands operation in Alberta.

However, SNC lost $37.7 million, or $0.25 a share, in the three months ended June 30, 2013. That’s mainly due to a $70.1-million charge related to delays building an oil-and-gas project in Algeria. The company also set aside $47.0 million to cover potential losses on a project in Libya that it stopped working on in 2011. A year earlier, SNC earned $31.7 million, or $0.21 a share.
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AGRIUM INC. $90 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 147.0 million; Market cap: $13.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) gets just 4% of its revenue and 8% of its earnings from selling potash. As a result, the stock held up well after the break-up of a marketing alliance between two major potash producers in Russia and Belarus. The split could lead to sharply lower potash prices.

Prices for other fertilizers have also suffered recently, as coolerthan- normal weather prompted farmers to delay the spring planting season. That’s why Agrium’s earnings in the three months ended June 30, 2013 fell 14.8%, to $736 million from $864 million a year earlier (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). Earnings per share fell 9.7%, to $4.94 from $5.47.

However, sales rose 3.6%, to $7.0 billion from $6.8 billion, after an acquisition raised revenue at Agrium’s retail division by 6.6%.
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