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TIM HORTONS INC. $53 (Toronto symbol THI; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 157.4 million; Market cap: $8.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.0; Dividend yield: 1.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.timhortons.com) operates 3,295 coffee-and-donut stores in Canada and 714 in the U.S. It also has five recently-opened outlets in the Persian Gulf.

The company’s new menu items, such as espresso-based coffee drinks, continue to be extremely popular. Warmer-than-usual winter weather has also spurred customer traffic.

These two factors pushed up Tim Hortons’ sales by 12.5% in 2011, to $2.9 billion from $2.5 billion in 2010. If you exclude the positive impact of foreign currency rates, sales rose 7.4% in 2011. Same-store sales rose 6.3% at its U.S. outlets, and 4.0% in Canada.

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ENBRIDGE INC. $38 (Toronto symbol ENB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 782.3 million; Market cap: $29.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.enbridge.com) plans to build a new pipeline that would pump shale oil from the Bakken region of North Dakota to refineries in the U.S. and Canada. If it can sign up enough oil shippers, this new line would increase Enbridge’s capacity in the region by 67,000 barrels a day by the end of 2013. Right now, the company’s North Dakota pipelines can pump 210,000 barrels a day.

The new line would cost $650 million, which is equal to 59% of the $1.1 billion, or $1.48 a share, that Enbridge earned in 2011. However, investments like this will help it take advantage of rising oil production in North Dakota, which has quadrupled since 2005.

Enbridge is a buy.

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BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $4.13 and BBD.B $4.08; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $7.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.3; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bombardier.com) earned $837 million, or $0.47 a share, in the year ended December 31, 2011 (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). It earned $762 million, or $0.42 a share, in the 12 months ended January 31, 2011 (the company has changed its fiscal year end to December 31). Revenue was $18.3 billion compared with $17.9 billion.

Sales of passenger railcars supplies 53% of Bombardier’s total revenue. This business has a backlog of $31.9 billion. The company gets the remaining 47% of its revenue from its aerospace division. This division has an order backlog of $22.0 billion.

Bombardier is a buy. The subordinate-voting class B shares are the better choice, due to their greater liquidity and slightly higher dividend yield.

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MANITOBA TELECOM SERVICES INC. $33 (Toronto symbol MBT; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 66.2 million; Market cap: $2.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 5.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.mtsallstream.com) has 1.3 million telephone and wireless customers in Manitoba. This business now accounts for 55% of the company’s revenue. The remaining 45% comes from its Allstream division, which provides integrated telephone, Internet and other communication services to businesses across Canada.

Like BCE and Telus, Manitoba Telecom continues to profit from fast-growing demand for smartphones and wireless service. It ended 2011 with 496,432 wireless subscribers, up 2.6% from a year earlier. About 41% of users under long-term contracts had data plans, up from 27% in 2010.

The company is also seeing strong demand for its fibre-optic Internet and TV services. It now has 188,946 high-speed Internet customers (up 2.9% from 2010) and 95,456 TV subscribers (up 6.1%).

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BELL ALIANT INC. $28 (Toronto symbol BA, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 227.8 million; Market cap: $6.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.3; Dividend yield: 6.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.bellaliant.ca) sells telephone and Internet services to 2.6 million customers in Atlantic Canada, as well as rural parts of Ontario and Quebec. It also sells wireless services through an alliance with BCE; BCE owns 45% of the company.

The company continues to replace its copper-wire cables with fibre-optic lines. This lets its sell more high-speed Internet and digital TV services, and offset declining demand for its regular phone services, which still account for 60% of its revenue.

Bell Aliant’s fibre-optic systems now reach 458,000 homes. The company plans to expand this to 650,000 homes by the end of 2012.

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TELUS CORP. (Toronto symbols T $57 and T.A $57; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 325.0 million; Market cap: $18.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.8; Dividend yield: 4.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.telus.com) gets most of its growth from wireless services. Its 7.3 million subscribers across Canada now supply 52% of its earnings.

The remaining 48% of Telus’s earnings comes from its wireline division, which mainly consists of 3.6 million traditional phone customers in B.C., Alberta and eastern Quebec. This division also includes 1.3 million Internet users and 509,000 TV customers.

Telus added 369,000 wireless subscribers (net of deactivations) in 2011. That’s down 17.4% from a net gain of 447,000 users in 2010, mainly due to the loss of a contract with the federal government.

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SNC-LAVALIN GROUP INC. $39 (Toronto symbol SNC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 150.9 million; Market cap: $5.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.snclavalin.com) fell over 20% on February 28, 2012 after it announced that its 2011 earnings will be $80 million, or 18% below its earlier forecast. In 2010, SNC earned $437.0 million, or $2.87 a share.

The earnings drop is partly due to $35 million in unusual payments related to certain construction contracts. Because of the recent civil war, SNC will also write down the value of its Libyan operations, including a prison, an airport and a water treatment system, by $23 million. The company did not say if the unusual payments are connected to its Libyan projects.

SNC is working with its external auditors and lawyers to examine these payments and certain other contracts.

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BCE INC. $41 (Toronto symbol BCE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 774.0 million; Market cap: $31.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 5.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.bce.ca) is
Canada’s largest provider of telephone services.

BCE’s main subsidiary, Bell Canada, has 6.1 million telephone customers in Ontario and Quebec, as well as 2.1 million high-speed Internet customers and 2.1 million TV subscribers. Bell Canada supplied 53% of BCE’s 2011 revenue.

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This is another in a series of video interviews in which Pat McKeough will give his advice on a variety of topics. Some will deal with his overall investment philosophy, others on specific investment strategies and still others will be comments on events that are affecting the markets and the economy. In this post he has stock market investment advice on stocks that are taken over. It’s not a guessing game, he tells viewers—there are specific qualities to look for that can point to potential takeover candidates. And Pat has recommended more than his fair share in his newsletters. Below is the transcription of Pat’s comments. ...

Not everybody is happy with the agreement on Greece’s national debt that was reached after much hard bargaining. But it didn’t exactly bring world stock markets crashing into the abyss, either—although many predicted just such a disaster. That gives it a resemblance to the Y2K crisis of a dozen years ago. Y2K, in case you missed it, was media shorthand for the crisis that was supposed to hit at midnight on December 31, 1999. That’s when the world’s computers were supposed to freeze up; they were programmed to designate years by their last two digits, and they wouldn’t know how to handle the year “00”. Many investors thought this would usher in an immediate stock market plunge. Nothing of the kind happened. Before 1999 ended, owners of all of the world’s most important computers had found ways around the problem in time to avoid it....

Companies take different paths to growth. Over the years, this Canadian company has steadily acquired a series of small firms with specialized expertise and integrated them into a large organization that can undertake a wide range of projects. And this year, it has joined the ranks of Canadian dividend stocks. STANTEC INC. (Toronto symbol STN; www.stantec.com) sells a range of consulting, project delivery, design/build and technology services. The company’s clients operate in a wide variety of markets, including industry, environment, transportation and construction. Stantec has over 11,000 employees at 170 locations throughout North America. It also has four international offices....

Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on specific stocks and other investment topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on a selection of the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. Last week, one member asked about one of Canada’s more intriguing commodity investments—a high-yielding stock that supplies chemicals to the pulp and paper industry and shipping services to the oil and gas industry....

MCKESSON CORP. $87 (New York symbol MCK; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 246.1 million; Market cap: $21.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.2; Dividend yield: 0.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.mckesson.com) is the largest wholesale drug distributor in the U.S. and Canada. It also owns 49% of Mexico’s largest drug distributor.

McKesson’s customers include 40,000 pharmacies, as well as doctor’s offices, hospitals and clinics. The company also supplies surgical tools and health and beauty products.

McKesson’s revenue rose 20.6%, from $93.0 billion in 2007 to $112.1 billion in 2011 (fiscal years end March 31). Earnings jumped 45.2%, from $881 million in 2007 to $1.3 billion in 2011. Because of fewer shares outstanding, earnings per share shot up 68.2%, from $2.89 in 2007 to $4.86 in 2011.

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MOLSON COORS BREWING CO. $43 (New York symbol TAP; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 180.6 million; Market cap: $7.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.2; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.molsoncoors.com) earned $701.5 million, or $3.76 a share, in 2011. That’s up 5.2% from $666.9 million, or $3.56 a share, in 2010.

Sales rose 8.0%, to $3.5 billion from $3.3 billion; the company increased its selling prices in response to rising ingredient costs. That helped it offset a 0.7% drop in beer volume.

The company continues to realize big savings from MillerCoors, its joint venture in the U.S. with rival brewer SABMiller. Combined with savings from its own restructuring plan, Molson Coors cut its costs by $106.6 million in 2011.

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GENUINE PARTS CO. $63 (New York symbol GPC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing sector; Shares outstanding: 155.8 million; Market cap: $9.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 3.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.genpt.com) is buying Virginia-based Quaker City Motor Parts Co. This privately held company distributes auto parts to 271 NAPA retail stores in several mid-Atlantic states. The company aims to close the deal in May 2012.

Genuine Parts didn’t say how much it is paying, but Quaker City will add $300 million to its annual revenue of $12.5 billion. Owning this distributor will also make it easier for the company to increase its sales on the east coast.

As well, the company has raised its quarterly dividend by 10.0%, to $0.495 a share from $0.45. The new annual rate of $1.98 yields 3.1%.

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SHERWIN-WILLIAMS CO. $107 (New York symbol SHW; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 103.8 million; Market cap: $11.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.sherwin.com) is North America’s largest paint producer. It also operates 3,450 paint stores, which account for 55% of its sales.

The company earned $441.9 million in 2011, down 4.5% from $462.5 million in 2010. Earnings per share fell 1.7%, to $4.14 from $4.21, on fewer shares outstanding. If you exclude unusual items, such as costs to settle an income tax dispute, earnings per share would have risen 9.9%, to $4.87 from $4.43. Sales rose 12.7%, to $8.8 billion from $7.8 billion.

The stock has gained over 30% in the past year, and now trades at 18.7 times Sherwin’s projected 2012 earnings of $5.72 a share. That’s a high p/e ratio for a company that is so closely tied to the U.S. housing market. Rising oil prices could also squeeze Sherwin’s profit margins (the company uses oil to make its paint).

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WAL-MART STORES INC. $61 (New York symbol WMT; Conservative Growth Portfolio: Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 3.4 billion; Market cap: $207.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.5; Dividend yield: 2.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.walmart.com) is launching a new service that will let its customers upload their DVD and Blu-ray movies to its computer servers. That will let them download their movies from anywhere, and watch them on any device.

Demand for this new service could be strong, particularly as more people use tablet computers and smartphones to watch videos online. It will also help draw more customers to Wal-Mart’s VUDU website, which lets users purchase and download movies.

Wal-Mart is a buy.

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NEWMONT MINING CORP. $53 (New York symbol NEM; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 495.1 million; Market cap: $26.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.6; Dividend yield: 2.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.newmont.com) stopped construction of its 51.35%-owned Conga gold/copper mine in Peru in November 2011. The move was in response to protests by local farmers who fear the mine will contaminate water supplies.

An independent group is now reviewing the mine’s environmental impact, and should release its report in April 2012. Meanwhile, Newmont has cut 6,000 jobs at Conga. That will lower its losses until it can restart the project.

Newmont is a buy.

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THE BOEING CO. $75 (New York symbol BA; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 745.7 million; Market cap: $55.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.boeing.com) has been forced to slow production of its new 787 Dreamliner passenger jet to fix a minor problem on the fuselages of some planes. Even with this delay, Boeing still feels it will deliver 30 to 40 of these aircraft in 2012.

Demand for Boeing’s other planes is also rising. As a result, its 2011 revenue rose 6.9%, to $68.7 billion from $64.3 billion in 2010. Earnings rose 21.1%, to $4.0 billion from $3.3 billion. Due to more shares outstanding, earnings per share rose 19.5%, to $5.33 from $4.46. Without a favourable tax gain, Boeing would have earned $4.81 a share in 2011.

The company expects to deliver 585 to 600 aircraft in 2012, up from 477 in 2011. However, proposed cuts to U.S. military spending could limit Boeing’s 2012 earnings to $4.52 a share. The stock trades at 16.6 times that figure.

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UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP. $83 (New York symbol UTX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 908.9 million; Market cap: $75.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.utc.com) aims to complete its purchase of Goodrich Corp. (New York symbol GR) later this year. Goodrich makes a wide range of aircraft parts, including landing gear, wheels and brakes. It also maintains and repairs planes. United Technologies is paying a total of $18.4 billion, including $1.9 billion of Goodrich’s debt.

Goodrich looks like a good fit with United Technologies’ other aerospace operations: Pratt & Whitney aircraft engines; Hamilton Sundstrand aircraft controls; and Sikorsky helicopters. Goodrich will add $8 billion to United Technologies’ yearly revenue.

Meanwhile, the company earned $5.0 billion in 2011, up 13.9% from $4.4 billion in 2010. Earnings per share rose 15.8%, to $5.49 from $4.74, on fewer shares outstanding. If you exclude writedowns of investments and other unusual items, earnings per share would have risen 9.9%, to $5.53 from $5.03. Revenue rose 7.1%, to $58.2 billion from $54.3 billion.

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TERADATA CORP. $68 (New York symbol TDC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 168.3 million; Market cap: $11.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.8; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.teradata.com) saw its revenue rise 22.0% in 2011, to $2.4 billion from $1.9 billion in 2010. Earnings per share rose 24.7%, to $2.32 from $1.86.

The company should continue to profit from strong demand for its analytics services, which help businesses gather and analyze large amounts of data, including customer purchasing patterns. However, at over 27 times earnings, the stock could drop suddenly if Teradata’s earnings fail to live up to expectations.

Teradata is a hold.

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ADOBE SYSTEMS INC. $34 (Nasdaq symbol ADBE; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 496.2 million; Market cap: $16.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.9; No dividends paid since June 2005; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.adobe.com) makes software that lets computer users create, edit and share documents in the popular PDF format. As well, graphic designers use Adobe’s software to create print publications and web pages. Adobe gets 30% of its sales from Europe.

In its fiscal 2012 first quarter, which ended March 2, 2012, Adobe’s earnings fell 21.1%, to $185.2 million, or $0.37 a share. A year earlier, it earned $234.6 million, or $0.46. Without unusual items, earnings per share fell 1.7%, to $0.57 from $0.58. Sales rose 1.7%, to $1.05 billion from $1.03 billion.

Customers are waiting for the new version of Adobe’s Creative Suite of publishing programs, which it will release later this year. That was the main reason behind the lower sales and earnings.

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SYMANTEC CORP. $18 (Nasdaq symbol SYMC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 729.4 million; Market cap: $13.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.0; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.symantec.com) sells anti-virus and email filtering software to businesses and consumers.

In its fiscal 2012 third quarter, which ended December 30, 2011, Symantec’s earnings rose 15.4%, to $314 million from $272 million a year earlier. Earnings per share gained 20.0%, to $0.42 from $0.35, on fewer shares outstanding. These figures exclude asset writedowns and costs to integrate acquisitions.

Sales rose 6.9%, to $1.7 billion from $1.6 billion. Symantec gets 52% of its sales from overseas. If you disregard the positive impact of exchange rates, sales would have risen 6% in the quarter.

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NORDSTROM INC. $55 (New York symbol JWN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 207.9 million; Market cap: $11.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 2.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.nordstrom.com) is now offering free shipping for all purchases made at over 100 of its 225 upscale department stores; it already offers free shipping on online purchases. Free shipping adds to its costs, but Nordstrom feels this move will give it an edge over its main rivals.

Meanwhile, Nordstrom’s sales rose 16.2% in February 2012, to $704 million from $606 million in February 2011. Same-store sales rose 10.2%.

Nordstrom is a buy.

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MOODY’S CORP. $42 (New York symbol MCO; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 222.9 million; Market cap: $9.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.1; Dividend yield: 1.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.moodys.com) continues to see rising demand for its credit ratings as the global economy improves. In 2011, the company’s earnings rose 12.1%, to $564.4 million from $503.3 million in 2010. Moody’s spent $333.8 million on share buybacks during the year. Because of fewer shares outstanding, earnings per share rose 15.5%, to $2.46 from $2.13. Revenue rose 12.2%, to $2.3 billion from $2.0 billion.

For 2012, Moody’s expects to earn $2.68 a share. The stock trades at 15.7 times that estimate. The company also raised its quarterly dividend by 14.3%, to $0.16 a share from $0.14. The new annual rate of $0.64 yields 1.5%.

Moody’s is a buy.

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