investment

Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on specific stocks and other investment topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on a selection of the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. Last week, one Inner Circle member asked for stock investing advice on one of the world’s largest chemical manufacturers. Pat notes that the company has made headway with new specialty chemicals, but that its future is closely tied to the economic recovery. ...

PLEASE NOTE: Our next Hotline will go out on Thursday, April 5, 2012. MCCORMICK & CO. INC., $54.43, New York symbol MKC, makes spices, herbs, seasonings, specialty foods and flavours. It sells these products to grocery stores and other clients in the food industry. In its fiscal 2012 first quarter, which ended February 29, 2012, McCormick’s sales rose 15.8%, to $906.7 million from $782.8 million a year earlier. About half of this increase came from recently acquired spice makers and food companies in India and Eastern Europe....

This is the latest in a series of video interviews in which Pat McKeough will give his advice on a variety of topics. Some will deal with his overall investment philosophy, others on specific investment strategies and still others will be comments on events that are affecting the markets and the economy. This time, Canadian real estate investing is the subject, as Pat replies to a question from a reader inspired by the increase in property values. Is buying a property and becoming a landlord a good investment? Look beyond today’s prices before you act, is Pat’s advice. Below is the transcription of Pat’s comments....

RIOCAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST $27.12 (Toronto symbol REI.UN; Units outstanding: 267.0 million; Market cap: $6.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 5.1%; www.riocan.com) reported revenue of $988 million in 2011, up 12.0% from $882 million in 2010. That’s mainly due to the 38 new malls the trust bought during the year. (In all, RioCan purchased $1.1 billion of new properties in 2011.) Cash flow per unit rose 7.5%, to $1.43 from $1.33.

RioCan yields 5.1%. It paid out 96.5% of its cash flow in 2011. However, 22% of its investors prefer to receive new units instead of cash. On this basis, the actual payout was just 74.8% of its cash flow.

RioCan is still our #1 safety-conscious buy for 2012.

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ISHARES MSCI CHILE INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND $67.90 (New York Exchange symbol ECH; buy or sell through brokers), is an ETF that aims to track the MSCI Chile Investable Market Index. This index consists of stocks that are mainly traded on the Santiago Stock Exchange.

The fund’s top holdings are Empresas Copec SA (conglomerate), 10.3%; Quimica y Minera de Chile (mining), 7.7%; Cencosud SA (retailer), 7.6%; Empresa Nacional de Electricidad (electric power), 7.4%; Enersis AS (electric power), 6.7%; Banco Santander Chile (banking), 6.6%; Empresas CMPC (pulp and paper), 5.2%; LAN Airlines SA (Chilean national airline), 4.8%; S.A.C.I. Falabella (retail), 4.7%; and CAP SA (iron mining and steel), 4.6%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Utilities, 22.4%; Materials, 18.3%; Industrials, 18.0%; Financials, 17.4%; Consumer Staples, 13.0%; Consumer Discretionary, 6.1%; Telecommunications, 2.7%; and Information Technology, 1.3%.

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ISHARES MSCI GERMANY FUND $22.95 (New York Exchange symbol EWG; buy or sell through brokers) is an ETF that aims to track the stocks in the MSCI Germany Index.

This index aims to replicate 85% of the total market capitalization of the German stock market. The remaining 15% is unavailable for investment, partly due to limitations on foreign ownership.

The fund’s top holdings are Siemens AG (engineering conglomerate), 9.2%; BASF (chemicals), 8.9%; SAP (software), 6.9%; Bayer (diversified chemicals), 6.4%; Daimler AG (automobiles), 6.4%; Allianz (insurance), 6.2%; Deutsche Bank AG, 4.9%; E.ON (energy), 4.6%; Deutsche Telekom, 3.7%; and BMW AG (automobiles), 3.5%.

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CANADIAN PACIFIC RAILWAY $74.14 (Toronto symbol CP; Shares outstanding: 170.0 million; Market cap: $12.6 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.6%; www.cpr.ca), transports freight between Montreal and Vancouver, and connects with hubs in the U.S. midwest and northeast.

In the three months ended December 31, 2011, CP’s revenue rose 8.8%, to $1.41 billion from $1.29 billion a year earlier. Earnings rose 18.8%, to $221 million, or $1.31 a share, from $186 million, or $1.10. CP’s $4.7 billion of debt is a manageable 37.3% of its market cap.

CP’s operating ratio worsened to 78.5% from 77.0%, mostly due to 29% higher fuel costs. (Operating ratio is calculated by dividing regular operating costs by revenue. The lower the ratio, the better.) But CP plans to lower that to between 70% and 72% in the next three years with a number of upgrades, like new snow-clearing equipment, new trains and software that optimizes train loads and speeds.

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Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific advice on successful investing, and not least on successful retirement planning. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental tip and shows you how you can put it into practice right away. Tip of the week: “When you’re planning for retirement, make sure you make realistic calculations rather than indulging in wishful thinking.”...

Canadian Western Bank, $29.75, symbol CWB on Toronto (Shares outstanding: 75.7 million; Market cap: $2.3 billion; www.cwbank.com), offers business and personal banking services across the four western provinces. It’s the biggest Canadian bank headquartered in western Canada, and the country’s eighth-largest. The bank’s wholly owned subsidiaries include National Leasing Group Inc., Canadian Western Trust Company, Valiant Trust Company, Canadian Direct Insurance Inc., Adroit Investment Management Ltd. and Canadian Western Financial Ltd. In its fiscal first quarter ended January 31, 2012, Canadian Western Bank’s earnings rose 9.6%, to $41.5 million from $37.9 million a year earlier. Earnings per share fell 1.8%, to $0.55 from $0.56, on more shares outstanding. Net interest income rose 6.5%, to $104.9 million from $98.5 million. Other income fell 6.7%, to $18.8 million from $20.1 million....

Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on specific stocks and other investment topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on a selection of the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. This week, we heard from an Inner Circle member asking for investment advice on America’s largest drug store chain. Pat discussed the company’s prospects following a big acquisition last year, and this year’s decision to put an end to a key commercial relationship....