oil prices

The past year’s plunge in oil prices has forced all three of these producers to slash their costs and delay new projects. Like Imperial Oil (see page 81), Suncor and Cenovus have refineries that help offset oil’s drop. Encana doesn’t have refineries, but it has narrowed its operations to four main projects that give it a better balance between oil and natural gas. We see all three firms as buys for patient investors. SUNCOR ENERGY INC. $37 (Toronto symbol SU; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.4 billion; Market cap: $51.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.6; Dividend yield: 3.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.suncor.com) gets 80% of its crude production from its huge Alberta oil sands projects. The remaining 20% comes from traditional oil and gas wells....
CHEVRON CORP. $73 (New York symbol CVX; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.9 billion; Market cap: $138.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.9; Dividend yield: 5.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.chevron.com) has sold $11 billion worth of less important businesses since 2014. It should reach its goal of selling $15 billion of assets by 2017.

Even with the sales, the company’s oil output will likely average 3.1 million barrels a day in 2017, up 19.2% from 2.6 million in the second quarter of 2015.

That’s mainly because Chevron plans to start up two big offshore gas projects: its 47.3%-owned Gorgon field, off Australia’s northwest coast, and the nearby Wheatstone field (64.14% owned). Each will also have a plant to convert the gas into a liquid for shipment to buyers in Asia.

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BONAVISTA ENERGY $4.63 (Toronto symbol BNP; Shares outstanding: 206.6 million; Market cap: $1.1 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 9.1%; www.bonavistaenergy.com) explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta, Saskatchewan and B.C. Its output is 75% gas and 25% oil. In the three months ended June 30, 2015, Bonavista’s cash flow per share fell 34.3%, to $0.44 from $0.67 a year earlier. Most of that drop came from lower oil and natural gas prices; the company’s output fell only slightly, to 73,736 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 74,273 barrels....
Takeovers help Genuine Parts sustain growth—and dividend hikes—in a cyclical field. Our take on how lower gasoline prices help its outlook.
WESTJET AIRLINES $24.67 (Toronto symbol WJA; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk)(1-877-493-7853; www.westjet.com; Shares outstanding: 125.8 million; Market cap: $3.1 billion; Dividend yield: 2.3%) serves 93 destinations in North America, Central America, the Caribbean and Europe. Its fleet of 107 modern Boeing 737s are 30% more fuel efficient than older jets.

In June 2013, the company launched WestJet Encore, its Canadian regional airline. This business now operates 22 Bombardier Q400 NextGen turboprop planes, which seat 78 passengers.

The Canadian airline market remains highly competitive, especially with Air Canada expanding its Rouge budget airline to serve more leisure destinations in Europe, the Caribbean, Mexico and the U.S. However, WestJet is now taking delivery of its Boeing 767 widebody aircraft. That will let it compete with Air Canada internationally; it could add more cities in Europe, as well as South America or Asia.

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INTACT FINANCIAL CORP., $90.20, symbol IFC on Toronto, is Canada’s largest provider of property and casualty insurance, based on premiums. Its brands include Intact Insurance, Canada BrokerLink and belairdirect. In the three months ended June 30, 2015, Intact’s revenue rose 6.0%, to $2.34 billion from $2.21 billion a year earlier. Revenue improved across all of the company’s insurance lines and geographic regions. The early 2015 acquisition of Canadian Direct Insurance for $197 million also added to sales. Canadian Direct offers home, auto and travel insurance, mainly in Alberta and B.C. Earnings rose 1.9%, to $210 million, or $1.56 a share, from $206 million, or $1.53. Intact continues to write more profitable insurance policies and cut its operating costs....
In a tough environment, our advice on resource service firms Wajax and McCoy: both are high-yielding value stocks with better days ahead.
RUSSEL METALS $21.58 (Toronto symbol RUS; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (905-819-7777; www.russelmetals.com; Shares outstanding: 61.7 million; Market cap: $1.3 billion; Dividend yield: 7.0%) is one of North America’s largest metal distributors, serving 39,000 clients at 53 locations in Canada and 12 in the U.S. In the three months ended March 31, 2015, Russel’s revenue fell 2.2%, to $903.9 million from $924.0 million a year earlier. The company’s metal-services business saw its sales rise slightly, but the energyproducts division, which supplies pipes for oil and gas drillers, reported a 14% sales decline. Earnings fell 36.2%, to $18.5 million, or $0.30 a share, from $29.0 million, or $0.47. Russel’s earnings fell faster than revenue because steel prices declined in the latest quarter. That cuts the company’s profit margins and causes it to suffer losses on its inventory....
BOMBARDIER INC. (Toronto symbols BBD.A $1.99 and BBD.B $1.90; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.7 billion; Market cap: $3.3 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.2; Dividend suspended in February 2015; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.bombardier.com) is down 52% since the start of 2015, mainly due to rising costs and delays to develop its new CSeries passenger jet. In addition, lower oil prices have diminished the main appeal of this plane—that it’s 20% more fuel-efficient than comparable models. What’s more, Bombardier’s new management team is reviewing its Global business jet program, which could postpone the planned launch of new models in 2016 and 2017. Bombardier recently raised $3.1 billion U.S. by selling new shares and notes. It also plans to sell shares in its transportation division, which makes passenger railcars. These moves should give it enough resources to finish the CSeries. Bombardier expects to begin delivering this new aircraft in 2016....
ARC RESOURCES $21.14 (Toronto symbol ARX; Shares outstanding: 340.0 million; Market cap: $7.4 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; Dividend yield: 5.7%; www.arcresources.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. Its average daily output of 120,354 barrels of oil equivalent is 64% gas and 36% oil. In the quarter ended March 31, 2015, ARC’s cash flow per share fell 38.7%, to $0.57 from $0.93 a year earlier. Production gained 13.9%, but its realized oil price fell 49.0% and its gas price declined 45.5%. Like many oil and gas producers, ARC is cutting back on exploration and development spending. This year, it will devote $550.0 million to this purpose, down sharply from $945.5 million in 2014....