oil prices
Thanks to the essential service it provides for pipelines, we rate this Canadian growth stock highly even with low oil prices.
FEDEX CORP. $173 (New York symbol FDX; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 283.8 million; Market cap: $49.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fedex.com) delivers packages and documents in the U.S. and 220 other countries through a fleet of 650 planes and 108,000 trucks and other ground vehicles. The company recently agreed to buy TNT Express NV, a Netherlands-based courier that operates throughout Europe. FedEx’s main rival, United Parcel Service (UPS), tried to buy TNT in 2012, but antitrust regulators rejected the deal because it would have given UPS too much of Europe’s courier market. Combined, FedEx and TNT would have about 17% of this business, so regulators will likely approve this purchase....
PRECISION DRILLING CORP. $8.76 (Toronto symbol PD; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resource sector; Shares outstanding: 292.8 million; Market cap: $2.6 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 3.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; www.precisiondrilling.com) provides contract drilling services to land-based oil and gas producers, mainly in North America. The company operates 323 rigs.
Falling oil prices have cut drilling activity in Canada and the U.S. by about 50% in the past six months. As a result, Precision’s revenue fell 23.8% in the first quarter of 2015, to $512.1 million from $672.2 million a year earlier. Earnings declined 76.3%, to $24.0 million, or $0.08 a share, from $101.6 million, or $0.35.
The Supreme Court of Canada recently upheld a lower court ruling in an Ontario income tax dispute involving one of Precision’s subsidiaries. As a result, the Ontario government repaid $55 million of the taxes Precision remitted in 2008, along with interest, for a total of $69 million. The cash will help Precision pay for its plan to spend $506 million on capital upgrades in 2015, down 33.0% from $754.9 million in 2014.
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Falling oil prices have cut drilling activity in Canada and the U.S. by about 50% in the past six months. As a result, Precision’s revenue fell 23.8% in the first quarter of 2015, to $512.1 million from $672.2 million a year earlier. Earnings declined 76.3%, to $24.0 million, or $0.08 a share, from $101.6 million, or $0.35.
The Supreme Court of Canada recently upheld a lower court ruling in an Ontario income tax dispute involving one of Precision’s subsidiaries. As a result, the Ontario government repaid $55 million of the taxes Precision remitted in 2008, along with interest, for a total of $69 million. The cash will help Precision pay for its plan to spend $506 million on capital upgrades in 2015, down 33.0% from $754.9 million in 2014.
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ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS EASTERN EUROPE INDEX FUND $18.22 (New York symbol ESR; buy or sell through brokers) has 66.4% of its assets invested in Russia, followed by Poland at 26.2%; Hungary, 3.7%; and the Czech Republic, 3.1%.
The fund’s top holdings are Gazprom (Russia: gas utility), 13.4%; Lukoil (Russia: oil), 10.2%; Magnit PJSC (Russia: retailing), 5.7%; MMC Norilsk Nickel (Russia: mining), 4.2%; Sberbank (Russia: bank), 4.0%; and Novatek (Russia: natural gas), 4.0%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Eastern Europe Index Fund’s expense ratio is 0.67%.
The fund’s concentration in Russia adds considerable risk. The country’s currency, the ruble, is near record lows against the U.S. dollar. This comes in the wake of falling oil prices, Western sanctions after Russia’s takeover of Crimea and the country’s continued threats against the rest of Ukraine.
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The fund’s top holdings are Gazprom (Russia: gas utility), 13.4%; Lukoil (Russia: oil), 10.2%; Magnit PJSC (Russia: retailing), 5.7%; MMC Norilsk Nickel (Russia: mining), 4.2%; Sberbank (Russia: bank), 4.0%; and Novatek (Russia: natural gas), 4.0%. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Eastern Europe Index Fund’s expense ratio is 0.67%.
The fund’s concentration in Russia adds considerable risk. The country’s currency, the ruble, is near record lows against the U.S. dollar. This comes in the wake of falling oil prices, Western sanctions after Russia’s takeover of Crimea and the country’s continued threats against the rest of Ukraine.
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ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA INDEX FUND $56.70 (New York symbol EWY; buy or sell through brokers) aims to track the MSCI Korea Index.
The ETF’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics, 19.8%; SK Hynix Semiconductor, 4.6%; Hyundai Motor, 3.9%; Shinhan Financial, 2.8%; Naver (Internet), 2.7%; Posco (steel), 2.5%; KB Financial, 2.5%; Hyundai Mobis (auto parts), 2.4%; AmorePacifi
c (cosmetics), 2.0%; and Kia Motors, 2.0%. The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Information Technology, 36.1%; Consumer Discretionary, 15.7%; Financials, 14.0%; Industrials, 11.6%; Materials, 7.8%; Consumer Staples, 7.6%; Utilities, 2.1%; Energy, 1.8%; Telecommunication Services, 1.2%; and Health Care, 1.0%.
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The ETF’s top holdings are Samsung Electronics, 19.8%; SK Hynix Semiconductor, 4.6%; Hyundai Motor, 3.9%; Shinhan Financial, 2.8%; Naver (Internet), 2.7%; Posco (steel), 2.5%; KB Financial, 2.5%; Hyundai Mobis (auto parts), 2.4%; AmorePacifi
c (cosmetics), 2.0%; and Kia Motors, 2.0%. The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Information Technology, 36.1%; Consumer Discretionary, 15.7%; Financials, 14.0%; Industrials, 11.6%; Materials, 7.8%; Consumer Staples, 7.6%; Utilities, 2.1%; Energy, 1.8%; Telecommunication Services, 1.2%; and Health Care, 1.0%.
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IMPERIAL OIL $49.32 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $41.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.1%; www.imperialoil.ca) is a major integrated oil company with oil sands projects in Alberta and conventional oil and gas operations across Western Canada. It also operates three refineries and 1,700 Esso gas stations.
Oil prices hit a high of $147 U.S. a barrel in July 2008, but then plummeted to a low of $32 in December 2008 as the recession took hold. Prices climbed back to over $100 in 2010, and remained near there until mid-2014 when oil plunged from $110 to less than half that price by the end of the year. Oil is now at $60 a barrel.
Strong oil prices for most of 2014 let Imperial report cash flow of $5.3 billion, or $6.26 a share. This year, low oil prices will likely push cash flow down by more than half, to $2.6 billion, or $3.02 a share.
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Oil prices hit a high of $147 U.S. a barrel in July 2008, but then plummeted to a low of $32 in December 2008 as the recession took hold. Prices climbed back to over $100 in 2010, and remained near there until mid-2014 when oil plunged from $110 to less than half that price by the end of the year. Oil is now at $60 a barrel.
Strong oil prices for most of 2014 let Imperial report cash flow of $5.3 billion, or $6.26 a share. This year, low oil prices will likely push cash flow down by more than half, to $2.6 billion, or $3.02 a share.
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CONAGRA FOODS INC., $43.37, New York symbol CAG, jumped 11% on Friday on news that activist investment firm Jana Partners now owns 7.2% of the company. Jana will probably push ConAgra to sell or spin off its private-label food business. In January 2013, ConAgra paid $4.75 billion for Ralcorp Holdings, the largest private-label food maker in the U.S. However, strong competition has hurt its sales and earnings. As a result, ConAgra has had to writedown this investment by $2.1 billion. To put these figures in context, ConAgra’s market cap is $17.0 billion....
Google Fi will offer cellphone/smartphone service that uses Wi-Fi networks whenever possible. When Wi-Fi is unavailable, it will switch users to one of two existing cell networks, T-Mobile or Sprint, whichever is stronger at the customer’s location. The company plans to add more cell-network alternatives as they become available. The service will initially cost $20 a month, plus $10 for each gigabyte (GB) of data. That’s much cheaper than most cellphone plans. Moreover, the service will refund the pro-rata cost of unused data each month, which is unheard of in the wireless industry. To top it off, Fi will offer service in more than 120 countries at a far lower cost than you can get by using a U.S.-based cellphone (and U.S. cell rates are well below Canadian rates). More important, Google Fi will be vastly more convenient for travellers than any current alternative. Google Fi is the Internet search giant’s plan to disrupt what it sees as the high cost and ineffectiveness of U.S. carriers like AT&T (symbol T and a recommendation of Wall Street Stock Forecaster), Verizon (symbol VZ on New York and also a recommendation of Wall Street Stock Forecaster), T-Mobile and Sprint....
TRANSCONTINENTAL INC., $16.06, Toronto symbol TCL.A, fell 12% this week after reporting lower-than-expected earnings. In its 2015 second quarter, which ended April 30, 2015, the company’s earnings rose 13.7%, to $39.1 million, or $0.50 a share. That fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.54. A year earlier, Transcontinental earned $34.4 million, or $0.44 a share. The gain largely came from two recent acquisitions: in May 2014, the company bought U.S.-based Capri Packaging, a maker of plastic bags and pouches for cheese and other dairy products, for $146.5 million. And in June 2014, it paid Sun Media $78.8 million for 74 weekly newspapers in Quebec....
These four companies provide hard-to-replace services to oil and gas producers. That gives them a big advantage, particularly as oil prices have started to recover. Crude’s recent gains should also spur their earnings and give them more room for dividend hikes. SNC-LAVALIN GROUP INC. $46 (Toronto symbol SNC; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 152.1 million; Market cap: $7.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.snclavalin.com) fell to $36.24 in March 2015 after the RCMP charged the company and two subsidiaries for using bribes to win construction deals in Libya between 2001 and 2011. These are the same allegations that prompted SNC to replace its senior executives in 2012 and bring in a new program to enforce ethical practices. The company plans to fight these charges....