oil prices

FEDEX CORP. $173 (New York symbol FDX; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 283.8 million; Market cap: $49.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fedex.com) delivers packages and documents in the U.S. and 220 other countries through a fleet of 650 planes and 108,000 trucks and other ground vehicles.

The company recently agreed to buy TNT Express NV, a Netherlands-based courier that operates throughout Europe.

FedEx’s main rival, United Parcel Service (UPS), tried to buy TNT in 2012, but antitrust regulators rejected the deal because it would have given UPS too much of Europe’s courier market. Combined, FedEx and TNT would have about 17% of this business, so regulators will likely approve this purchase.

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Imperial Oil continues to face low oil prices, and Alberta’s new NDP government could increase royalties or impose new environmental regulations. However, Imperial plans to keep expanding Kearl and Cold Lake, its two main oil sands properties in Alberta. These projects will prosper when oil prices recover, and they should last for decades. IMPERIAL OIL $49.32 (Toronto symbol IMO; Shares outstanding: 847.6 million; Market cap: $41.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 1.1%; www.imperialoil.ca) is a major integrated oil company with oil sands projects in Alberta and conventional oil and gas operations across Western Canada. It also operates three refineries and 1,700 Esso gas stations. Oil prices hit a high of $147 U.S. a barrel in July 2008, but then plummeted to a low of $32 in December 2008 as the recession took hold. Prices climbed back to over $100 in 2010, and remained near there until mid-2014 when oil plunged from $110 to less than half that price by the end of the year. Oil is now at $60 a barrel....

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As one of the world’s largest energy stocks, Chevron has the resources, and refineries, to thrive in the face of lower oil prices.

At major turning points in the market, “this time it’s different,” is one piece of investment advice that’s usually wrong…but not always.

One of our top blue chip stocks has the reserves, refineries and oil sand projects to meet the challenge of low oil prices and an NDP win.

SUNCOR ENERGY INC. $36 (Toronto symbol SU; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $54.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.suncor.com) has started work on its Fort Hills oil sands project in northern Alberta. Suncor owns 40.8% of Fort Hills; France’s Total SA holds 39.2%, while Teck Resources owns the remaining 20.0%. This $13.5-billion project (Suncor’s share is $5.5 billion) should start up in late 2017, and its reserves should last 50 years.

The company produced 602,400 barrels a day in the first quarter of 2015, up 10.5% from 545,300 a year earlier. That’s mainly because shut downs for maintenance hurt last year’s output.

However, lower oil prices cut Suncor’s earnings by 90.2%, to $175 million, or $0.12 a share, from $1.8 billion, or $1.22. Cash flow per share fell 48.0%, to $1.02 from $1.96.

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IMPERIAL OIL LTD. $49 (Toronto symbol IMO; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios; Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 848.0 million; Market cap: $41.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.3; Dividend yield: 1.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.imperialoil.ca) produced an average of 333,000 barrels of oil equivalent a day (93% oil and 7% natural gas) in the first quarter of 2015, up 0.9% from a year earlier.

Excluding properties Imperial sold in the past year, production gained 5.7%. The increase is mainly due to rising output at the Kearl oil sands project in Alberta. Imperial owns 71% of Kearl; Exxon- Mobil (New York symbol XOM) holds the other 29%. Exxon also owns 69.9% of Imperial.

However, a 50% drop in crude oil prices cut Imperial’s revenue by 32.8%, to $6.2 billion from $9.2 billion. Earnings fell 55.5%, to $421 million, or $0.50 a share. A year earlier, the company earned $946 million, or $1.11. Cash flow per share dropped 39.9%, to $0.86 from $1.43.

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WESTJET AIRLINES $26.90 (Toronto symbol WJA; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1- 877-493-7853; www.westjet.com; Shares outstanding: 127.8 million; Market cap: $3.5 billion; Dividend yield: 1.8%) continues to benefit as lower oil prices cut its fuel costs. Fuel typically accounts for a third of the airline’s operating expenses. In the three months ended March 31, 2015, WestJet’s earnings per share gained 58.0%, to $1.09 from $0.69. Revenue rose 4.0%, to $1.08 billion from $1.04 billion. The company’s load factor fell to 81.6% from 83.1% (load factor is the percentage of available seats occupied by paying passengers). However, revenue from other sources jumped 63.9% after WestJet began charging a $25 fee for each checked bag on its domestic and U.S.-bound routes in the fourth quarter of 2014. It also added new planes to its fleet, increasing its capacity by 4.7%....

BONAVISTA ENERGY $8.02 (Toronto symbol BNP; Shares outstanding: 203.8 million; Market cap: $1.7 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 5.2%; www.bonavistaenergy.com) explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta, Saskatchewan and British Columbia. Its production is 70% gas and 30% oil.

In the three months ended December 31, 2014, Bonavista’s cash flow per share rose 1.6%, to $0.63 from $0.62 a year earlier.

The company’s output gained 14.3%, to 85,810 barrels of oil equivalent a day from 75,072. However, lower oil prices mostly offset the production increase and higher realized gas prices.

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