How To Invest

In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.

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Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.

If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)

If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.

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This will be our last Inner Circle Q&A for 2015. Our next issue will go out on Tuesday, January 5, 2016.

Now is a good time for me to say “Thanks!” to all our Inner Circle members. It’s a pleasure to read and answer your questions. I take great pleasure and pride from the many compliments and expressions of gratitude you send every week.

That’s especially true when I hear from a member who I recognize from decades ago—from the early days after the 1994 launch of The Successful Investor, or from the two prior decades that I spent at The Investment Reporter and MPL Communications.

It’s also great to see that our Successful Investor philosophy and practice have begun attracting more and more younger investors.

I wish you all a great year-end holiday and a healthy, happy and prosperous New Year!

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Decades ago, it used to make some sense to try to profit by moving back and forth between bonds and stocks. That’s because bonds and stocks had something of a seesaw relationship.

When the economy was strong, business profits and stock prices would go up. However, interest rates and inflation would go up as well. The rise in interest rates meant that new bonds would come on the market with higher interest rates. That would push down prices of existing bonds that carried low interest rates.

As this process continued, some investors would sell some of their stocks, in part because stock prices had gone up. They would re-invest the money in bonds, because bond prices had fallen, and bond yields had gone up. This trading strategy gave investors a sense of safety and accomplishment, but it had drawbacks.

For one, you had to pay taxes in gains on your stocks if you held them in taxable accounts. You also had to pay brokerage commissions on the stock sales, and absorb the costs of buying bonds. (Bond trading costs were often built in to the price of bonds, rather than being charged separately as they are with stocks.) In addition, timing was crucial.

The appeal of selling stocks that had gone up, and buying bonds that had become cheaper, only goes so far. It shrinks quickly if your stocks keep going up after you sell, and your bonds keep going down after you buy.

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