In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.
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Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.
If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)
If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.
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“Most investors find they improve their investment results when they invest conservatively. Speculating can pay off from time to time. But the gains are generally too small and/or too rare to offset the losses, and still provide a reasonable rate of return. More often, investors find they have a net loss on their speculative activities over a period of years. However, it is possible to get lucky.
Mr. W., one of our portfolio-management clients, loves his job as a high-school guidance counselor. But he recognized early in his career that it was never going to finance the lifestyle he wanted to provide for his family. So for the first couple of decades of his investing career, he tried to make his fortune as a speculator. He tried buying penny stocks, selling short, options trading and futures trading. That worked out as it does for most investors. His gains were enough to keep him in the game, but too little to provide a worthwhile financial return, much less justify the time he spent.
In middle age, he quit speculating and began dabbling in various small business ventures. Gains were irregular here as well. Then he bought a downtown Toronto rooming house. A couple of years later, an offer from a property developer put a highly rewarding end to his sideline as a rooming house operator. He then hired us to build and manage a conservative investment portfolio for him.
Then lightning really struck. Mr. W. has just acquired a large holding in a well-known Canadian gold mining company. He got the stock as a result of the success of an investment he made in a grubstaking syndicate after he sold the rooming house. When added to his portfolio, the stock made up 20% of its total value. This left Mr. W. with a dilemma: Should he hold on to the stock, even though it left him with an inappropriate and risky portfolio balance? Or should he sell all or part of it, and pay capital-gains tax?
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