Spinoffs

Often, the parent company starts by selling a portion of the new company to the public, to establish a market and a following among investors. That way, by the time of the spin-off, stock in the new company may be liquid enough to be sold relatively easily, or retained with some confidence as a worthwhile investment.

In our experience, and in most academic studies of the subject, this helps the parent and its corporate spinoff. Both generally do better than comparable companies for at least several years after the spinoff takes place.

When a company carries out a spinoff, it sets up one of its subsidiaries or divisions as a separate company, then hands out shares in the new company to its own shareholders. It may hand out the shares as a special dividend, or give its shareholders an opportunity to swap shares of the parent company for the shares of the newly established spinoff.

Study after study has shown that after an initial adjustment period of a few months, stock spinoffs tend to outperform groups of comparable stocks for several years. (For that matter, the parent companies also tend to outperform comparable firms for several years after a spinoff.) The above-average performance of spinoffs makes sense for a couple of reasons.

First, company managers naturally prefer to acquire or expand their assets, not get rid of them. Getting rid of assets reduces a company’s total potential profit. The management of a parent company will only hand out a subsidiary to its own investors if it’s nearly certain that the subsidiary, and the parent, will be better off after the spinoff than before.

Second, spinoffs involve a lot of work and legal fees. Companies only have an incentive to do spinoffs under two sets of favourable conditions: When they feel it isn’t a good time to sell (which often means it’s a good time to buy); or, when they feel the assets they plan to spin off will be worth substantially more in the future, possibly within a few years.

Quite often, a big company will spin off a small subsidiary because it feels the subsidiary is a tiny gem, but that it’s too small to make an impact on the much larger financial statements and market capitalization of the parent.

At TSI Network we’ve had great success with a number of spun off stocks over the years. That’s especially true of the many spinoffs we have recommended that have gone up after they began trading, and have later attracted a takeover bid at a substantial premium over the market price.

Needless to say, things don’t always work out this well. Spinoffs and their parents do sometimes run into unforeseeable woes. But on the whole, in investing, spinoffs are the closest thing you can find to a sure thing.

See how you can make the most of these special investment opportunities by reading our special free report Spinoff Stock Investigator: All You Need to Know about Reaping the Rewards of Spinoffs.

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Spinoffs Library Archives
Thanks to the coronavirus pandemic, prominent activist investors are targeting quality companies they see as bargains, including fast-food operator Restaurant Brands and cloud-computing specialist Box. However, we see just one of them as suitable for your new buying.


RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC....
On April 1, 2020, the old Arconic Inc. split into two new companies for investors: Howmet Aerospace and Arconic Corp.


We feel this breakup, like most spinoffs, will work out well for investors over time. However, your shares in both new companies will likely move sideways for the next few months, particularly as COVID-19 shutdowns depress demand for aluminum products and industrial parts.


HOWMET AEROSPACE INC....
The coronavirus pandemic and the resulting economic downturn has increased the risk of all stocks. However, there are still plenty of appealing opportunities for investors with a long-term outlook.


Those include two new spinoffs—Otis and Carrier—from aerospace giant Raytheon Technologies, which is itself a newly formed company.


The virus, unfortunately, has overshadowed the strong potential of these firms.


While construction activity will likely slow over the next year or two, Otis gets most of its revenue repairing existing elevators and escalators....
On April 3, 2020, United Technologies Corp. completed its merger with Raytheon Co.—the most-recent in a series of steps to unlock investor value. The merger gives you a stake in Raytheon Technologies Corp. (New York symbol RTX)—now the leading maker of commercial and military aircraft equipment and electronics, radar systems and guided missiles.


Before that key move, United Technologies had already gifted investors with the spinoff of two of its major operations—its Otis (elevator) business, and its Carrier (heating and air conditioning equipment) unit....
HP INC. $15 is a hold. The company (New York symbol HPQ; Manufacturing sector; Shares outstanding: 1.4 billion; Market cap: $21.0 billion; Dividend yield 4.5%; Takeover Target Rating: Medium; www.hp.com) took its current form on November 1, 2015, when the old Hewlett-Packard Co....
Foodmaker Post Holdings recently initiated a “carve-out,” using an IPO to sell a portion of its active nutrition business, BellRing Brands. That now pure-play firm makes protein bars, shakes and nutritional supplements.


Post used the proceeds from the sale to pay down its debt and strengthen value for investors....
The stock market turmoil caused by COVID-19 will likely prompt many companies to postpone their upcoming spinoffs or strategic sales. Even so, when business conditions improve, we expect Vonage and Archer Daniels to follow through with their own plans to add investor value.


VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP....
SONY CORP. ADRs $62 is still a hold. The Japanese conglomerate (New York symbol SNE; Manufacturing sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.3 billion; Market cap: $80.6 billion; Dividend yield: 0.6%; Takeover Target Rating: Lowest; www.sony.net) has created a new subsidiary called Sony Electronics Corporation to hold three of its businesses—Imaging Products and Solutions, Home Entertainment and Voice, and Mobile Communication.


The reorganization seems to be in response to reports that activist investor Daniel Loeb is taking advantage of Sony’s weaker stock price during the COVID-19 outbreak to increase his stake in the company.


At last report, he held about 2% of Sony, and still wants the company to separate its entertainment businesses (including Columbia Studios and Sony Music) from its electronic-manufacturing operations....
Sharp share-price drops due to the coronavirus outbreak will likely encourage activist investors to raise their stake in—and influence on—these three firms (including Sony—see box). However, for reasons outlined below, we advise you to stay on the sidelines, at least for now.


OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORP....
We first recommended Leidos to you as buy in our December 2017 issue at $62; your shares then rose to $125 in February 2020 before the coronavirus outbreak pulled down the market. Even so, Leidos is still up an impressive 50% since our initial 2017 recommendation.


Your long-term prospects with this stock remain strong....