Walmart Sees an Accelerating Transformation Pay Off Now and for the Future

Walmart is no longer just a defensive “staples” play; it’s also a technology and services platform. The company’s advertising and its membership program are high-margin revenue streams that are growing significantly faster than traditional retail sales. By capturing a larger share of high-income households who are increasingly “trading down” to this retailer for value and convenience, the company has expanded its addressable market and improved its customer mix.

Furthermore, management’s multi-year investment in supply chain automation is beginning to yield significant margin benefits. With more than 35% of store-fulfilled orders now delivered in under three hours, the company is successfully challenging pure-play e-commerce competitors on speed and cost. For investors, this represents a rare combination of a “fortress” balance sheet and a business model that’s accelerating in efficiency and scale.

The stock trades at a high 45.6 times the company’s forward earnings forecast. That’s undeniably high for a traditional retailer, but it reflects the company’s transformation into a diversified ecosystem. The market is no longer valuing the shares purely on grocery sales; it’s pricing in the high-margin growth of its $3.4 billion+ advertising business, recurring revenue from a membership platform, and the big efficiency gains from its automated distribution centers. With earnings projected to grow by double digits in 2027, the “quality premium” is a reflection of the company’s dominant competitive moat and its successful pivot to a tech-led business model.

WALMART INC. (Nasdaq symbol WMT; www.walmart.com) is a #1 Conservative Buy for 2026. Walmart is the world’s largest retailer, operating 10,955 outlets across 19 countries and serving approximately 280 million customers each week.

On December 9, 2025, Walmart transferred its stock listing from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq. The trading symbol remains “WMT.” The move underscores the retailer’s growing emphasis on technology as a driver of future growth.

That focus is evident in Walmart’s continued investment in automation. The company is installing robotic equipment across its 42 U.S. distribution warehouses, and more than 60% of Walmart’s U.S. stores now receive at least some freight from automated distribution centres. These newer facilities have reduced operating costs by about 20% compared with traditional warehouses, and Walmart expects savings to eventually exceed 30%. Automation also strengthens the company’s e-commerce capabilities as it competes more directly with Amazon.

Walmart’s vast physical footprint further supports its online business. More than 90% of Americans live within 10 miles of one of its 4,600 U.S. stores, enabling faster delivery and pickup options—particularly for members of the Walmart+ subscription service.
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In addition, Walmart’s new partnership with OpenAI, the developer of ChatGPT, allows users to purchase products directly from Walmart’s websites without leaving the chatbot interface.

Meanwhile, Walmart continues to attract cost-conscious consumers, including higher income households. It also continues to benefit from stronger revenue from its e-commerce operations, advertising and its Walmart+ membership program. In the fiscal 2026 fourth quarter ended January 31, 2026, sales rose 5.6%, to $190.65 billion from $180.55 billion a year earlier. That topped the consensus forecast of $190.43 billion. Walmart’s U.S. same-store sales (including online) rose 4.6%. That was due to a higher number of transactions (up 2.6%) and higher spending per transaction (up 2.0%). Stronger demand for its home delivery and in-store pickup services also helped lift e-commerce sales by 27%. Advertising revenue also jumped 37% following its December 2024 acquisition of TV-set maker Vizio and its advertising platform. If you factor out gains and losses on investments and other unusual items, earnings per share rose 12.1%, to $0.74 from $0.66. That beat the consensus estimate of $0.73 a share.

Walmart continues to thrive despite tariffs

To offset the added costs of tariffs, Walmart has raised prices on certain goods. It’s also improving its efficiency with greater use of automation at its warehouses. The company now expects its sales in fiscal 2027 (excluding businesses it recently sold and currency rate fluctuations) to rise between 3.5% and 4.5%. Walmart also expects to earn between $2.75 and $2.85 a share. The stock trades at 45.6 times the midpoint of that new range. While that’s a high multiple, it’s still an acceptable p/e in light of Walmart’s high market share and fast-growing online and advertising businesses. Thanks to that improving outlook, Walmart is raising your quarterly dividend by 5.3%. With the April 2026 payment, investors will receive $0.2475 a share instead of $0.235. The new annual rate of $0.99 yields 0.8%. Walmart has now increased the annual dividend rate each year for the past 53 years. What’s more, the company has authorized a new $30 billion share repurchase plan. That’s equal to 3% of its market cap. There are no time limits for those purchases.

Recommendation in Wall Street Stock Forecaster: Walmart Inc. is a buy.

Jim is an associate editor at TSI Network. He is the lead reporter and analyst for The Successful Investor and Wall Street Stock Forecaster and a member of the Investment Planning Committee. Jim has held the Chartered Financial Analyst designation since 1992 and spent more than a decade at the Financial Post DataGroup before joining TSI Network. He has a Bachelor of Commerce degree from the University of Toronto.