ALCOA INC. $9.85

ALCOA INC. $9.85 (www.alcoa.com) has suffered lately as slowing industrial activity in China continues to dampen aluminum prices. In response, Alcoa is closing unprofitable smelters. Even so, declining cash flow could hurt its ability to service its debt of $9.1 billion. That’s a high 70% of its depressed $13.0-billion market cap. As a result, we’ve cut Alcoa’s TSINetwork Rating from “Average” to “Extra Risk.” However, Alcoa’s plan to spin off its engineered aluminum products business as a separate firm called Arconic (New York symbol ARNC) should help unlock some of its value. Buy.

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.