FAIR ISAAC CORP. $54 - New York symbol FICO

FAIR ISAAC CORP. $54 (New York symbol FICO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 34.9 million; Market cap: $1.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.7; Dividend yield: 0.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.fico.com) makes FICO Scores, a computer program that helps businesses make better decisions about customer creditworthiness. The company also makes software that helps credit card issuers control fraud and analyze cardholder spending patterns.

In its fiscal 2014 first quarter, which ended December 31, 2013, Fair Isaac’s earnings fell 17.6% to $26.2 million, or $0.73 a share. A year earlier, it earned $31.8 million, or $0.88. Revenue fell 3.0%, to $184.3 million from $190.0 million. The declines mainly resulted from a big order in the year-earlier quarter.

The company also raised its research spending by 24.3% in the latest quarter, to $18.1 million (or 9.8% of revenue) from $14.6 million (or 7.7%) a year earlier.

That’s partly because it’s shifting some products to a cloud-based model, so it could sell them on a subscription basis. This would give Fair Isaac more-predictable revenue streams.

The stock has gained 19% in the past year and currently trades at an attractive 15.4 times the $3.51 a share that Fair Isaac should earn for all of fiscal 2014. The $0.08 dividend yields 0.1%.

Fair Isaac is a buy.

A professional investment analyst for more than 30 years, Pat has developed a stock-selection technique that has proven reliable in both bull and bear markets. His proprietary ValuVesting System™ focuses on stocks that provide exceptional quality at relatively low prices. Many savvy investors and industry leaders consider it the most powerful stock-picking method ever created.