GENERAL ELECTRIC CO. $19 (New York symbol GE; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 10.6 billion; Market cap: $201.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.ge.com) is one of the world’s largest manufacturers. It makes equipment for generating and distributing electricity, such as turbines (31% of revenue, 32% of earnings); aircraft engines (13%, 17%); health care equipment, such as medical scanners (13%, 14%); home appliances and lighting (6%, 1%); and locomotives (3%, 4%).
Following the 2008/2009 financial crisis, the company scaled back the activities of its GE Capital subsidiary, which provides loans and other financial services to GE’s customers. This business now accounts for 34% of GE’s revenue and 32% of its earnings.
Recession took a toll …
GE’s revenue rose 5.8%, from $170.0 billion in 2007 to $179.8 billion in 2008. Revenue then fell to $147.3 billion in 2011, mostly because demand for industrial equipment declined during the recession.
As well, in 2011 GE merged its NBC Universal entertainment operations into a 49%-owned joint venture with Comcast Corp. (Nasdaq symbol CMCSA). Because GE owns less than 50% of this venture, it no longer consolidates its results with its overall revenue.
Earnings fell from $2.18 a share (or a total of $22.3 billion) in 2007 to $0.99 a share (or $10.8 billion) in 2009, mainly due to rising losses at the finance division. Earnings recovered to $1.14 a share (or $12.5 billion) in 2010, and to $1.23 a share (or $14.1 billion) in 2011.
The company is also using its rising earnings to expand its main industrial businesses. In 2011, it spent a total of $11.2 billion buying companies that make engines, pumps, valves and other machinery. These new businesses contributed $4.6 billion to GE’s 2011 revenue.
… but the rebound is well underway
In the three months ended March 31, 2012, GE’s revenue fell 8.2%, to $35.2 billion from $38.3 billion a year earlier. If you adjust for the sale of NBC Universal in the year-earlier quarter, revenue rose 4.4%.
Earnings fell 4.3% in the quarter, to $3.3 billion from $3.4 billion. Earnings per share were unchanged at $0.31 on fewer shares outstanding. If you exclude a gain on the sale of NBC and other unusual items, earnings per share jumped 17.2%, to $0.34 from $0.29.
Thanks to surging demand for infrastructure equipment, such as motors for oil and gas pipelines, GE’s industrial backlog rose to $201 billion as of March 31, 2012, from $177 billion a year earlier.
GE will probably use its strong balance sheet to keep expanding its industrial operations. In all, these businesses hold cash of $8.0 billion, or $0.75 a share. Their debt is $11.7 billion, or a low 6% of GE’s market cap.
Dividend hike seems likely
The company should earn $1.45 a share in 2012. The stock trades at 13.1 times that estimate. GE’s improving outlook should also let it increase its $0.68
dividend, which yields 3.6%.
GE is a buy.