How To Invest

In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.

Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.

If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)

If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.

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ISHARES MSCI JAPAN INDEX FUND $12.04 (New York Exchange symbol EWJ; buy or sell through brokers; us.ishares.com) is an exchange traded fund that tries to match the return of the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Japan index.

The ETF’s top holdings include Toyota, 6.1%; Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, 3.1%; Softbank Corp., 3.0%; Honda Motor, 2.5%; Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, 2.4%; Mizuho Financial Group, 1.8%; Hitachi, 1.4%; Takeda Pharmaceutical, 1.3%; Canon, 1.3%; and Mitsubishi Estate Co., 1.3%.

The fund’s industry breakdown is as follows: Financials, 21.5%; Consumer Discretionary, 20.9%; Industrials, 19.3%; Information Technology, 10.4%; Consumer Staples, 6.3%; Health Care, 6.0%; Materials, 5.9%; Telecommunication Services, 5.8%; Utilities, 2.5%; and Energy, 1.2%.
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PENGROWTH ENERGY $6.66 (Toronto symbol PGF; Shares outstanding: 519.8 million; Market cap: $3.5 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Average; Dividend yield: 7.2%; www.pengrowth.com) recently sold off $1 billion of less-important properties to raise funds for its $590-million Lindbergh oil sands project in Alberta.

As a result, Pengrowth’s average daily production fell 11.7% in the three months ended September 30, 2013, to 83,275 barrels of oil equivalent (57% gas, 43% oil) from 94,284 a year earlier. But thanks to higher prices, cash flow per share rose 10.7%, to $0.31 from $0.28.

The stock is up 33% since the start of 2013, but it still trades at just 5.8 times the company’s forecast 2014 cash flow of $1.14 a share.
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ENERPLUS CORP. $18.97 (Toronto symbol ERF; Shares outstanding: 202.1 million; Market cap: $3.8 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk; Dividend yield: 5.7%) produces an average of 87,729 barrels of oil equivalent a day (52% gas and 48% oil).

The company’s properties are mainly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, B.C., North Dakota and Montana, as well as the Marcellus Shale, which passes through Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio and West Virginia.

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ARC RESOURCES $28.78 (Toronto symbol ARX; Shares outstanding: 313.6 million; Market cap: $9.2 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative; Dividend yield: 4.2%; www.arcresources.com) produces oil and natural gas in Western Canada. The company’s average daily output of 94,915 barrels of oil equivalent (including gas) is weighted 62% to gas and 38% to oil.

In the quarter ended September 30, 2013, ARC’s cash flow per share rose 29.1%, to $0.71 from $0.55 a year earlier. Production gained 5.6%, plus its gas prices rose 20.0% and oil prices increased 24.6%.

ARC’s long-term debt is $739.8 million, or a low 8.0% of its market cap. It trades at 8.6 times its forecast 2014 cash flow of $3.36 a share.
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BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA $64.40 (Toronto symbol BNS; Shares outstanding: 1.2 billion; Market cap: $77.9 billion; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; Div. yield: 3.9%, www.scotiabank.com) is the third-largest of Canada’s five big banks, with assets of $743.8 billion.

In its fiscal 2013 fourth quarter, which ended October 31, 2013, the bank earned $1.30 a share, up 10.2% from $1.18 a year earlier.

Higher loan demand and an increase in deposits pushed up the Canadian banking division’s earnings by 23.3%. That includes the contribution from ING Direct, which Bank of Nova Scotia bought for $3.1 billion in late 2012. ING Direct offers a variety of no-fee banking services, mainly over the Internet. It has 1.8 million customers and $30 billion of deposits.
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Home Depot stands to profit from rising U.S. housing prices and severe winter storms
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on the top stocks to buy as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for members of Pat’s Inner Circle....
Starbucks forges ahead with more stores in more countries
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on buying stocks as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for members of Pat’s Inner Circle....
Big property investments spell growth for two Canadian REITs
Kemie Guaida
H&R REIT (Toronto symbol HR.UN; www.hr-reit.com) owns stakes in 42 office buildings, 112 industrial properties and 164 shopping malls across Canada. The trust has a 98.2% occupancy rate....
Two Canadian financial companies that profit from more cars on the road
INTACT FINANCIAL CORP. (Toronto symbol IFC; www.intactfc.com) is Canada’s largest provider of property and casualty insurance, based on premiums. Its brands include Intact Insurance, Canada BrokerLink, belairdirect and Grey Power....
Canadian grain handler aims for gains as global markets recover
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his Inner Circle for specific advice on stocks to buy as well as questions on investment strategy and the economy. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for members of Pat’s Inner Circle....