In addition, Pat thinks then beginner investors should cultivate two important qualities: a healthy sense of skepticism and patience.
Investors should approach all investments with a healthy sense of skepticism. This can help keep you out of fraudulent stocks that masquerade as high-quality stocks. It will also keep you out of legally operated, but poorly managed, companies that promise more than they can possibly deliver.
If you are a new investor, you should also realize that losing patience can cause you to sell your best choices right before a big rise. All too often, investors buy a promising stock just as it enters a period of price stagnation. Even the best-performing stocks run into these unpredictable phases from time to time. They move mainly sideways in a wide range for months or years before their next big rise begins. (Stock brokers often refer to these stocks as “dead money.”)
If you lack patience, you run a big risk of selling your best choices in the midst of one of these phases, prior to the next big move upward. If you lose patience and sell, you are particularly likely to do so in the low end of the trading range, when stock prices have weakened and confidence in the stock has waned.
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The company’s properties are mainly in Alberta, Saskatchewan, B.C., North Dakota and Montana, as well as the Marcellus shale, which passes through Pennsylvania, New York, Ohio and West Virginia.
In the three months ended December 31, 2013, Enerplus’s production increased 10.1% from a year earlier. However, cash flow per share fell 11.9%, to $0.89 from $1.01, as a short-term lack of pipeline capacity made it harder for the company to sell its oil at market prices.
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In the three months ended December 31, 2013, ARC’s cash flow per share rose 11.8%, to $0.76 from $0.68 a year earlier. Production gained 5.4%, and the company’s realized gas price rose 8.7%. Oil prices increased 2.9%.
ARC’s long-term debt is $859.2 million, or a low 8.3% of its market cap. It trades at 9.7 times its forecast 2014 cash flow of $3.34 a share.
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The Bakken, which covers parts of Montana, North Dakota and Saskatchewan, could contain more than 500 billion barrels of oil.
Oil was first discovered in the Bakken region in 1951, but it has always been hard to extract from the shale rock. However, modern techniques, such as horizontal (or slant) drilling, have made it easier for companies like Crescent Point to access the oil.
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In the quarter ended March 31, 2014, CP’s earnings per share rose 16.1%, to $1.44 from $1.24 a year earlier. Revenue increased 0.9%, to $1.51 billion from $1.50 billion.
CP’s operating ratio improved to 72.0% from 75.8% a year ago. (Operating ratio is calculated by dividing regular operating costs by revenue. The lower the ratio, the better.) It continues to benefit from its efficiency improvements, mainly replacing locomotives, improving tracks and adding software that optimizes train loads and speeds.
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