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Growth Stocks
Organic food seller proves the most active stocks can also be riskiest
Every Monday we feature “A Stock to Sell” as our daily post. With every stock or investment we recommend as a sell, we give you a full explanation of why we advise against investing in it at this time. Today an organic food store operator that has been among the most active stocks in the past year—but has seen its share price tumble.
Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.
(symbol SFM on Nasdaq;
www.sprouts.com
) opened its first organic and natural food store in Arizona in 2002. It now has 200 outlets, mainly in the western U.S.
Sprouts first sold shares to the public at $18.00 each and began trading on Nasdaq in August 2013.
The company has grown quickly in the past few years. In 2011, it merged with Henry’s Holdings, which operated 43 stores. It later purchased 37 outlets operating under the Sunflower Farmers Market banner.
In addition to acquisitions, Sprouts continues to add new stores, opening 10 in the three months ended March 29, 2015. That increased its sales by 18.7% in the quarter, to $857.6 million from $722.6 million a year earlier. Same-store sales (which exclude recently opened and closed outlets) gained 4.8%.
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Cautious farmers keep John Deere from being one of our stocks to buy
Pat McKeough responds to many requests from members of his
Inner Circle
. Every week, his comments on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. Each week, we offer you a highlight from these Q&A sessions. This week, why the world’s largest farm equipment maker isn’t among our U.S. stocks to buy.
Q:
How do you see things shaping up for Deere & Co.? Is it a buy? Thanks.
A:
Deere & Co.
(symbol DE on New York;
www.deere.com
) started up in 1837 when its founder, John Deere, began making polished-steel plows at his blacksmith shop in Grand Detour, Illinois.
Today, the company is the world’s largest maker of agricultural equipment, with plants in the U.S., Canada, France, Germany, Spain, South Africa, Mexico and Argentina. In addition to John Deere, its top brands include Frontier, Kemper, Green Systems and SABO.
Deere mainly sells these products through independent dealers and home-improvement chains like Home Depot and Lowe’s. It has three divisions:
...
3 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. $54 - Nasdaq symbol TXN
TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. $54
(Nasdaq symbol TXN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.0 billion; Market cap: $54.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.3; Dividend yield: 2.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.ti.com
)
gets 65% of its revenue from analog chips, which convert inputs like touch, sound and pressure into signals computers can understand. Manufacturers use these chips in a variety of products, such as cars, medical devices and appliances.
The company gets a further 20% of its revenue by making embedded processor chips, which perform mathematical calculations. Many clients supply their own software for these chips. This gives Texas Instruments an opportunity to form long-term relationships with these users, as it helps them adapt their software to the new chips. That makes these customers less likely to switch to other chipmakers.
Handheld calculators, specialized chips and licensing fees provide the remaining 15% of revenue.
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
PEPSICO INC. $95 - New York symbol PEP
PEPSICO INC. $95
(New York symbol PEP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 1.5 billion; Market cap: $142.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.1; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.pepsico.com
)
earned $1.25 billion in the three months ended March 21, 2015, down 1.6% from $1.27 billion a year earlier. The company spent $1.1 billion on share buybacks in the latest quarter. As a result, earnings per share were unchanged at $0.83.
Sales declined 3.2%, to $12.2 billion from $12.6 billion. If you exclude businesses PepsiCo bought and sold in the past year, as well as unfavourable currency exchange rates (overseas markets supply 40% of the company’s sales), revenue rose 4.4%.
PepsiCo is still seeing strong demand for its snack foods, particularly in developing countries. However, soft drink sales have suffered as increasingly health-conscious consumers drink less soda.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
EBAY INC. $62 - Nasdaq symbol EBAY
EBAY INC. $62
(Nasdaq symbol EBAY; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 1.2 billion; Market cap: $74.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.2; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.ebay.com
)
has settled a long-standing dispute with classified advertising website Craigslist.
In 2004, eBay acquired a 28.4% stake in the privately held company for $32 million. However, Craigslist accused eBay of using its confidential information to launch a rival classified ad service in the U.S. in 2007. Under the settlement, eBay has sold its shares back to Craigslist for an undisclosed amount.
The deal should help speed up eBay’s plan spin off its PayPal online payments division as a separate company later this year. The remaining firm will focus on auction websites.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Home renovations spur one of our best stocks to buy in U.S.
Home renovations spurred by an improved real estate market help keep Stanley Black and Decker one on our best stocks to buy in the U.S.
2 min read
Jim Bates
Growth Stocks
MACY’S INC. $70 - New York symbol M
MACY’S INC. $70
(New York symbol M, Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 336.4 million; Market cap: $23.5 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.macysinc.com
)
has formed a partnership with zTailors to provide tailoring services to customers who buy clothes from Macy’s websites.
For an extra fee, a tailor will come to the customer’s home or office for a fitting and complete the alterations within a week. If initial trials in three test cities are successful, Macy’s and zTailors will expand the service to all of the U.S. by the end of 2015.
Macy’s is a buy.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
INTEL CORP. $32 - Nasdaq symbol INTC
INTEL CORP. $32
(Nasdaq symbol INTC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 4.7 billion; Market cap: $150.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.7; Dividend yield: 3.0%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.intel.com
)
has purchased Recon Instruments, a privately held Vancouver firm that makes heads-up displays for sports goggles and other specialized eyewear.
This is a small acquisition for Intel: the $175-million purchase price is just 9% of the $2.0 billion, or $0.41 a share, the chipmaker earned in the three months ended March 28, 2015. However, Recon’s technology will help Intel profit from rising sales of wearable devices, such as wristwatches that monitor heart rates and other biological data.
Intel is a buy.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD. ADRs $33 - New York symbol HMC
HONDA MOTOR CO. LTD. ADRs $33
(New York symbol HMC; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.8 billion; Market cap: $59.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.6; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.honda.com
)
is Japan’s second largest carmaker and the world’s biggest motorcycle manufacturer.
In its 2015 fiscal year, which ended March 31, 2015, Honda sold 4.36 million vehicles, up 0.9% from 2014. New models increased Asian sales by 10.8%, but sales fell 0.6% in the U.S., 1.2% in Europe and 7.0% in Japan. Motorcycle sales rose 4.4%. Unfavourable currency rates cut revenue by 8.3%, to $105.4 billion from $114.9 billion. Earnings per ADR declined 21.9%, to $2.42 from $3.10 (each ADR equals one common share).
The company expects its car sales to rise 8.0% in fiscal 2016, while motorcycle sales will gain 2.6%. That should lift its earnings to $2.68 per ADR, and the stock trades at 12.3 times that estimate. The $0.80 dividend yields 2.4%.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
TOYOTA MOTOR CO. ADRs $135 - New York symbol TM
TOYOTA MOTOR CO. ADRs $135
(New York symbol TM; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; ADRs outstanding: 1.6 billion; Market cap: $216.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield: 2.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.toyota.com
)
is the world’s largest carmaker. In its 2015 fiscal year, which ended March 31, 2015, Toyota sold 8.97 million vehicles, down 1.6% from 2014. North American sales rose 7.4%, thanks to strong demand for sport utility vehicles. European sales gained 1.8%. However, sales fell 8.9% in Japan and 7.5% in other parts of Asia.
Revenue declined 3.4%, to $241.0 billion from $249.5 billion, but revenue improved 6.0% in Japanese yen. Cost cuts and favourable exchange rates boosted earnings per ADR by 4.6%, to $12.31 from $11.77 (each American depositary receipt equals two Toyota common shares).
The company expects its fiscal 2016 sales to decline by 72,000 vehicles, to 8.9 million. Even so, its efficiency improvements should push up its earnings by 2.4%, to $12.60 per ADR. The stock trades at just 10.7 times that estimate. The $3.22 dividend yields 2.4%
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
FEDEX CORP. $173 - New York symbol FDX
FEDEX CORP. $173
(New York symbol FDX; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 283.8 million; Market cap: $49.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 0.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.fedex.com
)
delivers packages and documents in the U.S. and 220 other countries through a fleet of 650 planes and 108,000 trucks and other ground vehicles.
The company recently agreed to buy TNT Express NV, a Netherlands-based courier that operates throughout Europe.
FedEx’s main rival, United Parcel Service (UPS), tried to buy TNT in 2012, but antitrust regulators rejected the deal because it would have given UPS too much of Europe’s courier market. Combined, FedEx and TNT would have about 17% of this business, so regulators will likely approve this purchase.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CISCO SYSTEMS INC. $29 - Nasdaq symbol CSCO
CISCO SYSTEMS INC. $29
(Nasdaq symbol CSCO; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 5.1 billion; Market cap: $147.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.0; Dividend yield 2.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.cisco.com
)
has seen falling sales of routers and other computer-networking equipment in China in the past few years.
That’s largely because of fears that U.S. intelligence agencies are secretly using the company’s gear to spy on foreign firms and governments. In the quarter ended April 25, 2015, Cisco’s Chinese sales fell 20% from a year earlier.
The company now aims to reverse the decline by investing in new partnerships with Chinese universities and other institutions. This should help Cisco develop new equipment to compete with products from domestic firms like Huawei Technologies.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
MCDONALD’S CORP. $97 - New York symbol MCD
MCDONALD’S CORP. $97
(New York symbol MCD; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 958.5 million; Market cap: $93.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 3.5; Dividend yield: 3.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.mcdonalds .com
)
earned $811.5 million in the three months ended March 31, 2015, down 32.6% from $1.2 billion a year earlier. Per-share profits fell 30.6%, to $0.84 from $1.21, on fewer shares outstanding.
The company is closing less-profitable restaurants, simplifying its menus and speeding up its drive-through lanes as part of a new restructuring plan. If you exclude unusual items and the negative impact of currency exchange rates, McDonald’s earned $1.10 a share in the latest quarter.
Sales fell 11.1%, to $6.0 billion from $6.7 billion. A drop in customer traffic cut same-store sales by 2.3%.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INC. $52 - New York symbol BR
BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS INC. $52
(New York symbol BR; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 119.9 million; Market cap: $6.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.4; Dividend yield: 2.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.broadridge.com
)
serves the investment industry in three main areas: investor communications, securities processing and transaction clearing. It processes 90% of all proxy votes in the U.S. and Canada. If you exclude one-time items, Broadridge earned $58.8 million, or $0.47 a share, in its fiscal 2015 third quarter, which ended March 31, 2015. That’s up 6.7% from $55.1 million, or $0.44 a share, a year earlier.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
BRADSTREET CORP. $128 - New York symbol DNB
DUN & BRADSTREET CORP. $128
(New York symbol DNB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 36.0 million; Market cap: $4.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.8; Dividend yield: 1.4%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.dnb.com
)
provides credit reports on over 230 million companies. Its clients use this information to make lending and buying decisions.
Dun & Bradstreet gets 64% of its revenue from credit reports. The remaining 36% comes from other information products, like software businesses use to manage websites and customer data.
In 2010, the company sold subsidiary Dun & Bradstreet Credibility Corp. (DBCC) to private investors for $10.0 million. DBCC sells credit reports and related services to U.S. small businesses; it pays licensing fees to use the Dun & Bradstreet brand.
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CONAGRA FOODS INC. $44 - New York symbol CAG
CONAGRA FOODS INC. $44
(New York symbol CAG; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 427.1 million; Market cap: $18.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.1; Dividend yield: 2.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average;
www.conagrafoods.com
)
bought Ralcorp Holdings, the largest private-label food maker in the U.S., for $4.75 billion in January 2013.
The purchase has not worked out as well as ConAgra had hoped, as strong competition hurt Ralcorp’s sales and earnings. As a result, the company has had to write down this investment by $2.1 billion.
In response, ConAgra has launched a restructuring plan aimed at improving Ralcorp’s profitability. This strategy includes better packaging, speeding up deliveries and launching new products. It has also cut its private-label prices, which should help improve Ralcorp’s market share.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
AT&T INC. $36 - New York symbol T
AT&T INC. $36
(New York symbol T; Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 5.2 billion; Market cap: $187.2 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 5.2%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.att.com
)
is the largest wireless provider in the U.S., with 121.8 million subscribers. Wireless supplies 55% of its revenue and 75% of its earnings.
The remaining 45% of revenue and 25% of earnings comes from the company’s wireline division, which sells phone services, television packages and highspeed Internet access to 34.2 million customers.
AT&T’s revenue rose 6.5%, from $124.4 billion in 2010 to $132.4 billion in 2014. Earnings fell 3.9%, from $2.29 a share (or a total of $13.6 billion) in 2010 to $2.20 a share (or $13.1 billion) in 2011, but they recovered to $2.33 a share (or $13.7 billion) in 2012.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. $47 - New York symbol VZ
VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. $47
(New York symbol VZ, Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 4.1 billion; Market cap: $192.7 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 4.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Average;
www.verizon.com
)
gets 70% of its revenue and 95% of earnings from its 108.6 million wireless subscribers. The other 30% of revenue and 5% of earnings comes from its wireline business, which serves 19.5 million traditional phone customers and 26.4 million high-speed Internet and digital TV users. In 2014, the company bought the 45% of the Verizon Wireless joint venture it didn’t already own from U.K.-based Vodafone Group (Nasdaq symbol VOD). Verizon Wireless sells wireless services in the U.S.
Verizon paid $130 billion for Vodafone’s stake, including $58.9 billion in cash. It also issued $61.3 billion worth of common shares to Vodafone shareholders and borrowed most of the remaining $9.8 billion.
The Vodafone stake, along with strong wireless demand, boosted the company’s revenue by 19.3%, from $106.6 billion in 2010 to $127.1 billion in 2014. Earnings fell from $0.90 a share (or a total of $2.5 billion) in 2010 to $0.31 a share (or $875 million) in 2012, mainly due to a $7.2-billion charge related to a change in its pension plan accounting policies. Earnings jumped to $4.00 a share (or $11.5 billion) in 2013 but fell to $2.42 a share (or $9.6 billion) in 2014 as the Verizon Wireless purchase added more one-time charges and other operating costs.
...
2 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Investor Toolkit: When you have found the best stocks to invest in—keep them
Our portfolio advice: when you find the best stocks to invest in, and the shares begin to rise, avoid the temptation to sell them too soon.
3 min read
Pat McKeough
Dividend Stocks
New projects keep this pipeline among Canada’s best dividend stocks
With $44 billion earmarked for new projects, Enbridge builds up its cash flow and keeps our rating as one of Canada’s best dividend stocks.
2 min read
Jim Bates
Dividend Stocks
The wrong way to invest in Canadian dividend stocks
We think the big banks remain some of the strongest Canadian dividend stocks, but warn against buying them through this split share company.
2 min read
Pat McKeough
How To Invest
Whether millions of cups of coffee make a good stock investment
Starbucks is opening 1,650 new shops in 2015 and has strong growth overseas—our take on whether that makes it a good stock investment
2 min read
Pat McKeough
Blue Chip Stocks
Dreamliner has Boeing flying high as prime blue chip among aircraft makers
Production problems solved, the 787 Dreamliner has over 1,000 sales, and that keeps Boeing high on our list of blue chips stocks.
2 min read
Jim Bates
Growth Stocks
DREAM OFFICE REIT $25.34 - Toronto symbol D.UN
DREAM OFFICE REIT $25.34
(Toronto symbol D.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk)
(416-365-3535; www.dream.ca/office; Units outstanding: 108.4 million; Market cap: $2.9 billion; Dividend yield: 8.8%)
(formerly Dundee REIT) owns and manages 176 properties comprising 24.1 million square feet of office space in major cities across Canada.
In Western Canada, the trust has 16% of its total square footage in Calgary and 20% elsewhere. In Eastern Canada, it holds 23% of its square footage in downtown Toronto, 17% in suburban Toronto and 24% elsewhere. Its occupancy rate is 92.8%.
In the three months ended March 31, 2015, Dream Office’s revenue fell 1.6%, to $205.2 million from $208.4 million a year earlier. The trust sold four properties to Dream Industrial REIT (symbol DIR.UN on Toronto) for $33.0 million in September 2014. Dream Office owns 24.2% of Dream Industrial.
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
Growth Stocks
CHEMTRADE LOGISTICS INCOME FUND $19.98 - Toronto symbol CHE.UN
CHEMTRADE LOGISTICS INCOME FUND $19.98
(Toronto symbol CHE.UN; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative)
(416-496-5856;
www.chemtradelogistics .com
; Units outstanding: 68.6 million; Market cap: $1.4 billion; Dividend yield: 6.0%)
is one of North America’s largest providers of removal services for resource firms, such as oil refineries and base metal processors, whose operations create sulphur, acid and other by-products. Chemtrade converts these substances into useful chemicals, like sulphuric acid.
In the three months ended March 31, 2015, the company’s revenue rose 22.5%, to $326.0 million from $266.1 million a year earlier.
Big acquisition working out well
...
1 min read
Pat McKeough
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