Energy Stocks
Resource and commodity stocks in general should make up only a limited portion of your portfolio—say less than 20% for a conservative investor or as much as 30% for an aggressive investor. And as part of that segment, energy stocks could make up, say half of that total. The rest could be fertilizer stocks, mining stocks and so on.
Oil and gas stocks have been below-average performers lately, and many investors are tempted to get out of the industry altogether. However, the energy sector can play a crucial role in your portfolio as a hedge against inflation. The low inflation rates of the past couple of decades deserve some of the blame for the poor performance of the sector. However, energy stocks will likely rebound in years to come as the global economy recovers.
- Invest mainly in well-established companies;
- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.
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Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on specific stocks and other investing topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on a selection of the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And every Friday, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. One question this week concerned energy stocks, specifically one stock that expects to benefit as the search for new oil production increasingly leads to the deposits found deep in the world’s oceans....
Yesterday we discussed the shale revolution. (View the post: Why the shale revolution will make oil price shocks a thing of the past.) The production of natural gas and oil from shale is rising rapidly in North America. This angers some environmentalists, even as it creates jobs and tax revenues at a time of economic uncertainty. More than that, oil production from shale – which will contribute much more to oil reserves than most people realize – is due to alter the balance of supply and demand in international energy. As we begin to depend less on despotic regimes around the world and more on localized, stable energy stocks, it will keep oil prices in check, to the greater benefit of the economy as a whole....
TRANSCANADA CORP. (Toronto symbol TRP; www.transcanada.com) has agreed to reroute its proposed Keystone XL oil pipeline around an environmentally sensitive aquifer in Nebraska’s Sandhills region. The state government will work closely with TransCanada to find an acceptable route. That should speed up the environmental approval process for this Canadian stock’s biggest pipeline project....
SeaDrill Ltd. is a leading offshore drilling company. Norway-based SeaDrill has a fleet of 60 drilling rigs that can operate in shallow to very deep water.
Commodity investments: Acquisitions help offset weakness in other operations. Ag Growth International Inc. (symbol AFN on Toronto;)), is a
PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT CORP. (Toronto symbol PEY; www.peyto.com) continues to generate higher cash flow. And it’s reinvesting that cash flow to expand production in order to deliver greater returns for its shareholders. The company produces and explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta. Peyto’s average daily production of 34,443 barrels of oil equivalent (including natural gas) is weighted 89% toward gas and 11% to oil....
Over the past decade, political upheaval around the world has caused many to worry about secure sources of energy supply. Some North American energy stocks have simply decided that overseas risk is not worth the trouble and expense. Devon Energy Corp., (New York symbol DVN; www.devonenergy.com) is one of them....
Encana Corp., Toronto symbol ECA, has agreed to sell its midstream operations in Colorado’s Piceance basin. These operations mainly consist of pipelines that collect natural gas from nearby wells and transport it to storage and processing facilities. Encana will hang to its gas wells in this region. The company will receive $590 million when the deal closes later this year (all amounts in U.S. dollars). To put this figure in context, this natural gas stock’s cash flow was $2.0 billion, or $2.77 a share, in the first half of 2011. This sale will help Encana reach its goal of selling $1 billion to $2 billion worth of non-core assets by the end of 2011. That will let the company focus on its main gas-producing properties in Alberta, B.C., Wyoming, Colorado and Louisiana. The cash from these sales will also let Encana keep paying quarterly dividends of $0.20 U.S. a share, for an annualized yield of 3.5%....
Birchcliff Energy Inc., symbol BIR on Toronto, develops, produces and explores for natural gas and oil, mainly in the Peace River Arch area near the Alberta/B.C. border. In the three months ended June 30, 2011, the natural gas stock’s production rose 40.2% in the three months ended June 30, 2011, to 17,324 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas) from 12,357 barrels a year earlier. We analyze Birchcliff in Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter that recommends stocks for the part of your portfolio you devote to aggressive investing....
Trilogy Energy Corp., symbol TET on Toronto, owns oil and gas properties in the Kaybob and Grande Prairie areas of central Alberta. About 76% of Trilogy’s production is natural gas. The remaining 24% is oil. Trilogy is one of the natural gas stocks we analyze in Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter that recommends investments that may be appropriate for the part of your portfolio you devote to aggressive investing. In the three months ended June 30, 2011, Trilogy produced an average of 29,320 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas). That was up 21.7% from 24,087 barrels a day a year earlier. Trilogy’s daily production should jump to an average of 30,000 barrels for all of 2011....