Energy Stocks
Resource and commodity stocks in general should make up only a limited portion of your portfolio—say less than 20% for a conservative investor or as much as 30% for an aggressive investor. And as part of that segment, energy stocks could make up, say half of that total. The rest could be fertilizer stocks, mining stocks and so on.
Oil and gas stocks have been below-average performers lately, and many investors are tempted to get out of the industry altogether. However, the energy sector can play a crucial role in your portfolio as a hedge against inflation. The low inflation rates of the past couple of decades deserve some of the blame for the poor performance of the sector. However, energy stocks will likely rebound in years to come as the global economy recovers.
- Invest mainly in well-established companies;
- Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; Utilities);
- Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.
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Teck Resources Ltd., Toronto symbol TCK.B, is a leading producer of metallurgical coal, a key ingredient in steelmaking. It also produces other metals, including lead, copper and zinc. In the three months ended June 30, 2011, the resource stock’s earnings jumped 89.8%, to $1.12 a share from $0.59 a year earlier. Revenue rose 27.2%, to $2.8 billion from $2.2 billion. Teck saw higher prices for silver (up 111%), coal (up 49%), lead (up 32%), copper (up 30%), zinc (up 11%) and molybdenum (up 6%). However, higher operating costs and the strong Canadian dollar slightly offset these gains....
Bellatrix Exploration, symbol BXE on Toronto, produces oil and natural gas in Alberta, B.C. and Saskatchewan. Gas makes up about 62% of its output; the remaining 38% is oil. Bellatrix is one of the natural gas stocks we analyze in Stock Pickers Digest, our newsletter for aggressive investing. In the three months ended June 30, 2011, the natural gas stock’s production fell 2.9%, to 11,783 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas) from 12,141 barrels. However, the decline was mostly due to wet weather conditions....
You may think oil is set to rise sharply, due to fast growth in India and China. Or you may think prices could be set to fall, because high oil prices could prompt users to switch to cheaper natural gas. The truth is, no one knows the future direction of oil prices. That’s why, instead of trying to predict the future direction of oil prices, we continue to recommend that you stick with well-established oil stocks with high-quality reserves and rising production. In addition, you should limit your investments in oil stocks to a portion of your portfolio’s Resource holdings.
Oil stocks: Imperial is looking to the oil sands for long-term growth
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Delphi Energy, symbol DEE on Toronto, explores for oil and gas in Alberta and B.C. Natural gas makes up 74% of its daily output; the remaining 26% is oil. In the three months ended March 31, 2011, the natural gas stock’s production rose 8.0%, to an average of 8,259 barrels of oil equivalent (including natural gas) per day from 7,647 barrels a year earlier. Delphi’s cash flow rose 2.0%, to $15.1 million from $14.8 million. Higher production and oil prices were the main reason for the gain. The company’s operating costs also fell. Delphi sold 3.2 million shares to raise $9.0 million in the quarter. Due to more shares outstanding, cash flow per share fell 13.3%, to $0.13 a share from $0.15....
Trilogy Energy Corp., symbol TET on Toronto, owns oil and gas properties in the Kaybob and Grande Prairie areas of central Alberta. About 78% of Trilogy’s production is natural gas. The remaining 22% is oil. In the three months ended March 31, 2011, Trilogy produced an average of 25,362 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas). That was up 9.9% from 23,079 barrels a day a year earlier. However, the natural gas stock’s cash flow per share fell 13.3%, to $0.39 from $0.45 a year earlier, mostly due to lower gas prices. Still, the company continues to bring new wells into production. Its daily production should jump to an average of 30,000 barrels for 2011....
We continue to advise against overindulging in oil stocks. That’s because the Resource sector (including oil) is highly volatile, and no one can accurately predict future oil prices. For instance, after rising to $115 U.S. a barrel, oil dropped 16% in the first week of May 2011, to $97 U.S., on fears that the global economic recovery may be stalling. That’s why investors should stick with well-established oil stocks with high-quality reserves and rising production.
Oil stocks: Suncor is Canada’s largest integrated-oil company
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Delphi Energy, symbol DEE on Toronto, explores for oil and gas in Alberta and B.C. Natural gas makes up 76% of its daily output; the remaining 24% is oil. In the three months ended December 31, 2010, the commodity investment reported combined daily output of natural gas, liquid natural gas and crude oil rose 24.0%, to 8,539 barrels of oil equivalent from 6,888 barrels a year earlier. Delphi’s cash flow rose 26.5%, to $18.0 million from $14.2 million. Its cash flow per share rose 14.3%, to $0.16 a share from $0.14 a share....
Oil now trades at around $110 U.S. a barrel. That’s up over 29% from $85 U.S. a year ago, and 175% higher than its low of $40 U.S. in February 2009. We think oil prices could rise even further if the global economy continues to rebound, as we expect. Even so, we continue to advise against overindulging in Canadian oil stocks. That’s because the Resource sector (including oil) is highly volatile, and no one can accurately predict future oil prices. However, you can profit nicely over long periods by investing a reasonable portion of your portfolio in well-established or well-managed Canadian oil stocks, especially those with high-quality reserves and rising production. These companies are well-positioned to profit during periods of high oil prices, and are able to at least partly offset price declines by producing more oil....
Cenovus Energy Inc., symbol CVE on Toronto, operates three oil-sands properties in Alberta, and one in Saskatchewan. Cenovus ships the heavy bitumen from these projects to refineries in Illinois and Texas. ConocoPhillips (New York symbol COP) owns 50% of these refineries, as well as 50% of Cenovus’ two main oil-sands projects. Cenovus also owns conventional oil and natural gas properties. Cenovus split off from EnCana Corp. in December 2009. In 2010, Cenovus earned $993.0 million, or $1.32 a share. That’s up 21.4% from $818.0 million, or $1.09 a share, in 2009. The oil stock’s production rose, as did oil prices. These were the main reasons for the higher earnings. These gains were somewhat offset by higher costs for shipping oil due to problems along the Enbridge pipeline system, and costs to upgrade its U.S. refineries. The oil stock’s cash flow fell 15.1% in 2010, to $2.4 billion, or $3.21 a share, from $2.8 billion, or $3.79 a share in 2009. Lower volumes and selling prices for natural gas were the main reasons for the declines....
Copper continues to attract a lot of attention from investors in commodity stocks. That’s because the metal recently hit an all-time high of $4.62 U.S. a pound. That’s up sharply from its low of $1.25 U.S. in late 2008. Right now, copper trades at around $4.47 U.S. a pound. Traditionally, investors have bought copper as a way to profit from general economic growth. That’s because, unlike gold, silver and many other precious metals, copper has a wide range of industrial uses. For example, it’s a key element in electrical wire and pipe.