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  • CEDAR FAIR L.P. $33 (New York symbol FUN; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Units outstanding: 55.5 million; Market cap: $1.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.7; Dividend yield: 4.8%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.cedarfair.com) reported revenue of $881 million from the beginning of the year through the Labour Day holiday weekend. That’s up 4.8%, from the same period in 2011.

    New rides and attractions are helping Cedar Fair draw more visitors to its 11 amusement parks and seven water parks. Overall attendance rose 1%, while average spending per guest gained 4%. The partnership still plans to raise its annual distribution rate from $1.60 a unit (4.8% yield) in 2012 to $2.00 (6.1% yield) in 2013.

    Cedar Fair is a buy.

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  • DUN & BRADSTREET CORP. $80 (New York symbol DNB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Finance sector; Shares outstanding: 44.9 million; Market cap: $3.6 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 2.1; Dividend yield: 1.9%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.dnb.com) shot up from around $70 in late July 2012 on reports that the company may be trying to sell itself.

    Dun & Bradstreet recently cut its full-year revenue outlook for 2012 because the slowing global economy is hurting demand for its credit reports. It now expects revenue to rise between 0% and 3%, down from its earlier forecast of 3% to 5%. However, an ongoing cost-cutting plan should continue to push up its earnings.

    Until the company provides more information, we see the stock as a hold.

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  • CAMPBELL SOUP CO. $35 (New York symbol CPB; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 316.0 million; Market cap: $11.1 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.4; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.campbellsoupcompany.com) is the world’s largest maker of canned soups. It also makes Prego canned pasta and sauces, Pepperidge Farm cookies and V8 vegetable juices.

    In its 2012 fiscal year, which ended July 29, 2012, Campbell’s earnings fell 7.4%, to $783 million from $846 million in fiscal 2011. The company spent $412 million on share buybacks in fiscal 2012. Because of fewer shares outstanding, earnings per share fell 3.9%, to $2.44 from $2.54.

    These figures exclude costs related to a recent restructuring plan, under which the company cut jobs and closed its Russian operations.

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  • CONAGRA FOODS INC. $28 (New York symbol CAG; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 406.1 million; Market cap: $11.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.8; Dividend yield: 3.6%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www. conagrafoods.com) makes a wide variety of packaged foods, including Chef Boyardee canned pasta, Hunt’s tomato sauce, Peter Pan peanut butter, Orville Redenbacher popcorn and Reddiwip whipped cream.

    In its fiscal 2013 first quarter, which ended August 26, 2012, ConAgra’s earnings soared 166.6%, to $250.1 million, or $0.61 a share. A year earlier, it earned $93.8 million, or $0.23 a share.

    If you exclude all unusual items, including gains and losses on hedging contracts that ConAgra uses to lock in prices for wheat, corn and other ingredients, earnings per share would have risen 41.9%, to $0.44 from $0.31.

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  • H.J. HEINZ CO. $56 (New York symbol HNZ; Income Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 320.2 million; Market cap: $17.9 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 3.7%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.heinz.com) makes a wide variety of processed foods, including condiments, sauces, soups, baked beans, pastas and baby food. Its flagship product, Heinz ketchup, accounts for about 60% of U.S. ketchup sales.

    The company continues to target fast-growing markets like China, Russia and Brazil for new growth. For example, in April 2011 it bought 80% of Brazil’s leading maker of tomato pastes, sauces and condiments for $493.5 million.

    Even with these new operations, Heinz’s sales fell 1.5% in its fiscal 2013 first quarter, which ended July 29, 2012, to $2.79 billion from $2.83 billion a year earlier. However, the company gets 60% of its revenue from outside North America, and the higher U.S. dollar is hurting the value of its overseas sales.

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  • GENERAL MILLS INC. $40 (New York symbol GIS, Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 645.2 million; Market cap: $25.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.5; Dividend yield: 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.generalmills.com) is one of the world’s largest food makers. Its top brands include Big G (cereal), Green Giant (canned and frozen vegetables), Pillsbury (baking dough), Old El Paso (tacos) and Progresso (soups and sauces).

    In General Mills’ fiscal 2013 first quarter, which ended August 26, 2012, its sales rose 5.3%, to $4.05 billion from $3.8 billion a year earlier. Most of this gain is due to the company’s July 2011 purchase of a 51% stake in the private company that makes Yoplait yogurt; General Mills has made Yoplait products under license in the U.S. since 1977. The company also recently paid $940 million for a privately held maker of snacks and convenience meals in Brazil.

    The extra sales from these new businesses helped offset the negative impact of foreign exchange rates; overseas markets supplied 27% of its total sales. As well, General Mills lowered some of its prices to compete with low-cost generic brands.

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  • GOOGLE INC. $753 (Nasdaq symbol GOOG; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 327.0 million; Market cap: $243.3 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 5.7; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.google.com) rose to a new all-time high of $764.89 on September 25, 2012. The stock is now up 17% since the start of the year.

    The company’s main Internet search business continues to grow strongly, particularly among mobile users. Google’s Android software now powers around two-thirds of the world’s smartphones. That’s driving more traffic to its websites and letting it charge higher advertising rates.

    Google is also benefiting from problems with the new street-mapping application, or app, on Apple’s (Nasdaq symbol AAPL) new iPhone 5. Apple recently replaced the popular Google Maps app with its own version. However, errors with this new app may prompt Apple to switch back.

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  • Johnson and Johnson Logo
    Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on buying stocks and other investment topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for the Inner Circle. This week we received a question from an Inner Circle member about an American stock that is literally a household name. Like many large U.S. consumer stocks it now generates more sales internationally than at home. While it has moved forward with a new acquisition, it is also recovering from a number of product recalls....
  • chart over data
    LOBLAW COMPANIES LTD. (Toronto symbol L; www.loblaw.ca) recently formed a partnership with J.C. Penney (New York symbol JCP). Under this deal, Loblaw will build Joe Fresh casual-clothing boutiques inside 700 of Penney’s 1,100 department stores in the U.S. These outlets should open in April 2013. Penney will also sell Joe Fresh products through its website....
  • Investing strategy - stock image


    From time to time, companies set up one or more of their divisions or subsidiaries as an independent company, then hand out shares in that company to their own shareholders, as a special dividend or “spinoff”.

    Many investors seem to view spinoffs as a nuisance, because they leave you with a tiny holding in a stock you didn’t choose and that you know little about....
  • investor toolkit image
    Every Wednesday, we publish our “Investor Toolkit” series on TSI Network. Whether you’re a new or experienced investor, these weekly updates are designed to give you specific stock market advice that will help you develop a successful approach to investing. Each Investor Toolkit update gives you a fundamental tip and shows you how you can put it into practice right away. Today’s tip: “Relying on just one or two indicators to help you choose stocks can increase your risk rather than diminish it.”...
  • encana wyoming normally pressured lance
    Encana took its present form on December 1, 2009, after the old EnCana Corp. split itself into two new companies: the new Encana, which focuses on natural gas, and Cenovus Energy, which specializes in oil sands. Falling gas prices have pushed Encana’s shares down about 30% since the split. Oil prices have weakened lately, but Cenovus’ shares are up about 14%. ENCANA CORP (Toronto symbol ECA; www.encana.com) is one of North America’s largest natural gas producers. Its reserves should last over 11 years....
  • picture of women serving coffee.
    Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions on potential stock picks and other investment topics from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for the Inner Circle. This week, an Inner Circle member asked about a stock that practices a form of socially responsible investing. This coffee maker emphasizes fair trade principles in its business dealings—and Pat assesses just how well the company is doing under those conditions. ...
  • WYNDHAM WORLDWIDE $53.52 (New York symbol WYN; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (973- 753-6000; www.wyndhamworldwide.com; Shares outstanding: 142.2 million; Market cap: $7.6 billion; Dividend yield: 1.7%) is one of the world’s largest hospitality companies, with 7,170 franchised hotels worldwide. Aside from Wyndham and Ramada, it owns a variety of other brands, including Days Inn, Super 8, Wingate, Baymont Inn & Suites, Microtel Inns & Suites, Hawthorn Suites, Howard Johnson, Travelodge and AmeriHost Inn.

    In addition to hotels, Wyndham manages vacation resorts, rental properties, luxury clubs and time-shares. The company now has 100,000 vacation rental properties worldwide. This wide range of operations gives it more consistent cash flow than most of its competitors, which mainly focus on hotels.

    Vacation travel remains strong

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  • ATLANTIC TELE-NETWORK $42.74 (Nasdaq symbol ATNI; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (340- 777-8000; www.atni.com; Shares outstanding: 15.6 million;Market cap: $666.7 million; Yield: 2.3%) sells telecommunications services, mainly in rural areas in the U.S., Bermuda
    and the Caribbean region.

    In the three months ended June 30, 2012, Atlantic’s revenue fell 4.4%, to $185.3 million from $193.8 million a year ago. However, earnings jumped to $10.5 million, or $0.67 a share, from $1.8 million, or $0.12.

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  • DOMINO’S PIZZA $34.44 (New York symbol DPZ; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (734-930- 3030; www.dominos.com; Shares outstanding: 56.7 million; Market cap: $2.0 billion; No dividends paid) now operates in over 70 markets worldwide. Its international stores supply almost half of its sales and about a third of its earnings. The company still has considerable room to grow internationally.

    For example, Jubilant Foodworks just opened the 500th Domino’s outlet in India. This company, which has the exclusive rights to operate Domino’s restaurants in that country, aims to continue its aggressive expansion by opening 100 new restaurants over the next year.

    Jubilant also has franchise rights for Domino’s in Bangladesh, Nepal and Sri Lanka.

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  • HECLA MINING COMPANY $6.61 (New York symbol HL; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (208-769-4100; www.hecla-mining.com; Shares outstanding: 285.5 million; Market cap: $1.9 billion) has agreed to pay $3.2 million for a 19.9% stake in Dolly Varden Silver Corp., symbol DV on Toronto. Dolly Varden owns several silver properties in northwestern B.C., including the pastproducing Dolly Varden and Torbit mines.

    Hecla’s expertise should help Dolly Varden develop its properties, which are geologically similar to Hecla’s Greens Creek project.

    Hecla Mining is a hold.

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  • FAIR ISAAC CORP. $44.95 (New York symbol FICO; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (415-472-2211; www.fairisaac.com; Shares outstanding: 33.8 million; Market cap: $1.5 billion; Dividend yield: 0.2%) has been awarded seven patents by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. That brings the company’s total number of patent awards to 128.

    Two of the new patents relate to Fair Isaac’s FICO Insurance Fraud Manager software, which detects fraud, waste and abuse in health care claims. These patents cover a method for analyzing codes that health care providers enter to represent specific medical procedures. That helps the program catch both potential and ongoing systematic fraud.

    Four of the seven patents were for inventions used in FICO’s Blaze Advisor decision-management software. Additionally, FICO was awarded a patent for an invention related to the FICO Score, the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the U.S. This helps determine the conditions in credit scoring in which additional information is needed. FICO spends a high 9% of its revenue on research and development. That lets it stay ahead of the competition—and patent awards like these help reinforce its research efforts.

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  • ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD $45.20 (Toronto symbol ATD.B: TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (1-800-361-2612; www.couche-tard.com; Shares outstanding: 179.4 million; Market cap: $8.1 billion; Dividend yield: 0.7%) has reported sharply higher sales and earnings in its latest quarter. Without one-time costs related to its $2.7-billion purchase of Statoil Fuel & Retail ASA, the company’s earnings per share rose 26.7%, to $0.95 from $0.75 (all figures except share price in U.S. dollars). Sales rose 16.1% to $6.0 billion from $5.2 billion.

    The gains came from higher fuel prices, acquisitions and higher merchandise sales. (The company gets about 30% of its sales by selling merchandise.) The results also included 11 days of operations from the Statoil gas station chain.

    Alimentation Couche-Tard is still our #1 buy for 2012.

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  • SASOL LTD. (ADR) $46.39 (New York symbol SSL; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (082-883-9697; www.sasol.com; ADRs outstanding: 645.0 million; Market cap: $29.9 billion; Dividend yield: 3.1%) reports that in its fiscal year ended June 30, 2012, revenue rose 19.0%, to $20.3 billion from $17.1 billion in the previous fiscal year (all figures in U.S. dollars). Earnings per ADR rose 25.8%, to $5.05 from $3.99.

    Higher oil prices were the main reason for the gains. The U.S. dollar also rose against the South African rand; that pushed up the value of Sasol’s sales outside South Africa.

    The company plans to build an $8-billion to $9-billion gas-to-liquids (GTL) plant in Louisiana. It has also completed a feasibility study for an $8-billion GTL plant in Alberta.

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  • DELPHI ENERGY $1.19 (Toronto symbol DEE; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-265-6171; www.delphienergy.ca; Shares outstanding: 131.2 million; Market cap: $156.1 million; No dividends paid) explores for oil and natural gas in Alberta and B.C. Gas makes up 74% of Delphi’s daily output; the remaining 26% is oil. In the three months ended June 30, 2012, Delphi’s average daily output fell 3.0%, to 8,636 barrels of oil equivalent (including natural gas) from 8,906 barrels a year earlier. Disruptions at third-party processing facilities were the main reason for the decline.

    The lower production, plus lower natural gas prices, pushed down Delphi’s cash flow to $0.05 a share from $0.15.

    The company’s debt of $134.4 million is a high 86.1% of its market cap. However, Delphi trades at 4.4 times its forecast 2012 cash flow of $0.27 a share, and only 3.1 times the 2012 forecast cash flow of $0.38 a share.

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  • BELLATRIX EXPLORATION $3.82 (Toronto symbol BXE; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-266- 8670; www.bellatrixexploration.com; Shares outstanding: 107.5 million; Market cap: $410.7 million; No dividends paid) produces oil and natural gas in Alberta, B.C. and Saskatchewan. Gas makes up about 63% of its output; the remaining 37% is oil.

    In the three months ended June 30, 2012, Bellatrix’s production rose 42.3%, to 16,569 barrels of oil equivalent per day (including natural gas) from 11,643 barrels. The company’s highly effective drilling continues to add to its production: in the latest quarter, it drilled 15 wells with a 100% success rate.

    Cash flow per share rose 4.3%, to $0.24 from $0.23. Bellatrix’s selling price for gas fell 50%, to $2.03 U.S. per thousand cubic feet from $4.06 U.S. a year ago. However, the big production increase offset that decline. The company’s long-term debt is $164.1 million, or a manageable 40% of its market cap.

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  • TIM HORTONS $51.37 (Toronto symbol THI; TSINetwork Rating: Average) (905-845-6511; www.timhortons.com; Shares outstanding: 154.9 million; Market cap: $8.0 billion; Dividend yield: 1.6%) aims to take advantage of fast-growing interest in home coffee systems.

    Under a new agreement, Kraft Foods and Tim Hortons will make and sell plastic cups, called T-Discs, filled with Tim Hortons premium blend coffee, including decaf and latte, and sealed with a foil top.

    Kraft’s Tassimo beverage machine pierces the foil and brews a fresh single cup. The Tassimo system also scans a barcode on the T-Disc that tells it how much water to use, how long to brew the coffee and how hot it should be.

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  • RUSSEL METALS $27.96 (Toronto symbol RUS; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (905-819-7777; www.russelmetals.com; Shares outstanding: 60.1 million; Market cap: $1.7 billion; Dividend yield: 5.0%) is one of North America’s largest metal distributors. The company serves its roughly 33,000 customers through a network of 51 locations in Canada and 12 in the U.S.

    In the three months ended June 30, 2012, Russel’s revenue rose 16.2%, to $718.7 million from $618.6 million a year earlier. All three of the company’s divisions saw gains: higher sales volumes pushed up revenue by 11% at both the steel-distribution and metalservices businesses. And revenue jumped 32% at the energy tubular products division, which supplies pipes for oil and gas firms, thanks to an increase in drilling activity.

    Without one-time items, earnings per share fell 13.5%, to $0.45 from $0.52 a year earlier. The company’s earnings fell despite the higher revenue because steel prices declined in the latest quarter. That cuts Russel’s profit margins and causes it to suffer losses on its current inventory.

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  • GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER CO. $13.48 (NewYork symbol GT; TSINetwork Rating: Extra Risk) (330-796-2122; www.goodyear.com; Shares outstanding: 244.7 million; Market cap: $3.3 billion; No dividends paid) is the world’s largest tire maker, with over 60 plants in 25 countries.

    In the three months ended June 30, 2012, the company’s sales fell 8.4%, to $5.15 billion from $5.62 billion a year earlier.

    North American sales rose 1.7%, to $2.5 billion from $2.4 billion, but weak economic growth cut sales by 21.4% in Latin America; 17.9% in Europe, the Middle East and Africa; and 4.2% in Asia. Unfavourable foreign currency moves also lowered Goodyear’s overall sales by 6%.

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