Topic: How To Invest

Hi Pat. What is your opinion on American Capital Agency Corporation? How will it be affected by increasing interest rates? Thanks.

Article Excerpt

American Capital Agency Corp., $29.58, symbol AGNC on Nasdaq (Shares outstanding: 128.8 million; Market cap: $3.8 billion; www.agnc.com), is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in securities issues by U.S. government agencies Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. Mortgage securities generally move up with interest rates. That’s because when mortgage rates go down, homeowners often refinance and prepay their old mortgages. Those prepayments cause mortgage bond owners to receive cash flow at periods with low reinvestment rates. To enhance its returns, American Capital Agency uses leverage. But this also heightens its risk. However, no one can consistently foresee interest-rate trends. If the company guesses wrong, its use of leverage will tend to balloon its losses. American Capital’s policy of investing only in government-guaranteed mortgage securities will tend to limit the damage, but Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae all operate in very uncertain markets. The stock has a high 18.9% dividend yield, but it’s uncertain if that can…