Topic: How To Invest

What is Pat’s commentary for the week of July 18, 2023

Article Excerpt

Here’s Part One of the most-recent letter I sent to our Portfolio Management clients in May 2023: “Many investors wonder what to expect next from interest rates, following the rise they began in early 2020, around the time when the COVID-19 pandemic first appeared. My best guess is that the rise in interest rates has stalled, at least for now.  I can’t say for sure, of course, and neither can anybody else. It’s a matter of what we call Financial Physics. Interest rates have many proxies in the financial world, but the best one would be trading in U.S. government bonds. The U.S. bond market is among the biggest and most liquid markets in the world. When interest rates go up, bond prices go down, and vice versa. If you could foresee what interest rates would do next, you could use that information to make vast amounts of money by trading bonds. You could become the world’s first trillionaire. If only it was so easy!…