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Topic: Growth Stocks

GOOGLE INC. $742 – Nasdaq symbol GOOG

p>GOOGLE INC. $742 (Nasdaq symbol GOOG; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 328.6 million; Market cap: $243.8 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.6; No dividends paid; TSINetwork Rating: Above Average; www.google.com) is the world’s top Internet search engine, with about two-thirds of this market. The company makes money by selling advertising on its websites. Google gets 96% of its revenue from advertising.

The company also offers a variety of free services such as Gmail (email), YouTube (videos) and Google+ (social networking). These services help draw more users to Google’s websites, which lets the company sell more ads and charge higher ad rates.

Android gives Google an edge

The stock is down around 4% from its recent peak of $774 in October 2012. That’s because investors fear that rising use of mobile devices to access the Internet will hurt Google’s earnings. Advertisers pay lower rates for mobile ads, because they are more difficult to see on smaller screens than traditional desktop and laptop computers.

However, Google’s Android software now powers over two-thirds of the world’s mobile devices. That delivers more traffic to the company’s websites, which helps offset some of the lost mobile ad revenue. Moreover, the company’s growing expertise with Android should help it find new ways to profit from mobile services.

Google’s revenue soared by 130.2%, from $21.8 billion in 2008 to $50.2 billion in 2012. That’s partly because of Motorola Mobility, which it bought for $12.4 billion in May 2012. The company recently agreed to sell Motorola’s Home division, which makes TV set-top boxes and modems for cable companies, for $2.35 billion. Even so, Motorola’s remaining mobile phone operations contributed $4.1 billion to Google’s 2012 revenue.

Motorola purchase will pay off

Motorola will help boost Google’s annual revenue from mobile devices and services to $8 billion from just $2.5 billion before the purchase. Moreover, the deal also gave Google access to patents that will help it defend itself against lawsuits launched by competitors such as Apple and Microsoft.

Earnings jumped 150.2%, from $5.3 billion in 2008 to $13.3 billion in 2012. Because of more shares outstanding, earnings per share rose a slower pace of 138.9%, from $16.69 to $39.88. The company spends a high 14% of its revenue on research, so it’s more profitable than it appears.

Google can easily afford to keep making acquisitions and investing in new growth projects. At the end of 2012, it held cash of $48.1 billion, or $146.96 a share. Its long-term debt is just $3.0 billion.

Move to online ads should fuel growth

Even after its recent drop, the stock is still up 22.2% since we first recommended it at $607 in our August 2011 issue. Google’s earnings could jump to $46.13 a share in 2013, and the stock trades at 16.1 times that estimate. That’s a low p/e ratio, particularly as advertisers continue to shift away from TV and print media to online ads.

Google is a buy.

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